Week 11 is here, and we are back to the crucial divisional games. With a couple of teams still on bye weeks this could be a struggle for some and a bonus for others.
Its crunch time across the league, there’s still no one guaranteed a place in the playoffs, as no one has yet reached the magic 8 wins. A few teams are approaching it though – so let’s see how we are set up with our divisions during the week – 4 teams are not playing in their own divisions, leaving them with a two-game run at that playoff spot for the last 2 weeks.
Fog at Tigers
7-3 Fog on the Tyne play the 6-4 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.
Fog on the Tyne were led in week 10 by a 17.92 point effort from Eli Manning. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.81 point effort from Derek Carr in week 11.
Tranent Tigers were led in week 10 by a 35.66 point effort from Cam Newton. With Newton on bye in week 11, they’ll need to count on their second-string QB to carry the team this week. Tranent Tigers can expect a 20.85 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 11.
This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.
Fog can seal their playoff spot with a win here, no one else in Uhura could catch them if they get to 8 victories. Its looking ok too -despite a few Q’s in the squad and Matt Forte on a bye week they can still put out a team, with plenty of stars in it too. Derek Carr should lead them out but Julio Jones is surely due a decent game – he’s been ranked top 5 all season yet really only delivered in week 7, this week he’s ranked third. Leonard Fournette, Brandin Cooks and Cameron Brate (all #8) look a pretty good bet for a few points too. Duke Johnson looks the weakest link – but even he’s top 20 – all in all this is a solid team for week 11. Stuart should at least win one of his last 3 games which is all he needs to do – so expect his waiver picks to be focused on the playoffs.
Tigers are looking ok for a playoff slot too – they are just one win behind Gav’s Pickaxe, 2 out of three wins in these last weeks should see them to at least a wildcard, given the state of the other divisions. Alex Smith is in line for a decent week, but its Antonio Brown who is the start here, averaging a high of 18.5 pts a game. Travis Kelce is ranked as the #1 TE this week and could prove a not so secret weapon this week. Elsewhere there’s a bit of gap to the next ranked players, Ravens D are liked for the week, but Orleans Darkwa, Isaiah Crowell and Rishard Matthews would be warming the benches of some other teams this week.
Nicky has the advantage in ranking at 5 out of 9 positions, but only by a couple of ranks in most cases, in those 4 where Stuart has the advantage, he’s got 10 -15 rank places on Nicky, so though both sides could have a couple of monster scores that would swing it their way, the odds say Fog and that’s what we’ll go with.
Earthquakes at Kestrels
6-4 Earlston Earthquakes, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, play the 4-6 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.
Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 10 by a 20.00 point effort from Christian McCaffrey. With McCaffrey on bye in week 11, they’ll need to count on their second-string RB to carry the team this week. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 21.50 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 11.
Kelso Kestrels were led in week 10 by a 17.94 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger. In addition, Allen Hurns was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 14.00 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 11 due to an injured leg, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 16.43 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger in week 11.
This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle.
Chris’ Quakes are on a bit of a roll, sitting at 6-4 they have an outside chance at Kirk division, and a couple of wins in the last 2 weeks will see them to the wildcard slot. They have three players on a bye in this crucial game and that could be costly. However, things look very good indeed at the top of their starters board, Russell Wilson, Le’Veon Bell and Rob Gronkowski all ranked in the top 3 and guaranteed to put on 50 pts between them? Gronk is ranked #3 TE on the week, showing perhaps that his days are coming towards a close, at least for fantasy, but I suspect we’ll have another 40 pts before the end of the season. Sanders and Parker make up the WR cohort with Javorious Allen in at RB. Allen hasn’t quite lived up to his star waiver wire billing every week, but seems to at least have a good 7 pt. floor with the outside chance of 20 plus.
Ryan’s Kestrels continue to hover despite losing a few feathers (I waited till week 11, that’s not bad surely?). It really hasn’t been an ideal rookie season for them, and Ryan’s slightly battered stats hide some pretty good coaching decisions given the disastrous luck so far. Of course, there’s still the chance to make the playoffs, probably with a wildcard, but a slim chance of clinching TJ Hooker if other results go his way (unlikely, but possible perhaps). Ryan has been looking to trade for a bit more action at WR, and nothing seems to have come good for him yet – there’s still a couple of weeks tho. RB is where its at for this team, Jerrick McKinnon and Lamar Miller have both been scoring well, last week perhaps a bit of a dip for both though. Ryan needs a DST to go this week, but should be able to find something capable on the wire tomorrow.
Chris has a significant advantage almost everywhere this week, just RB2 and flex look to see the Kestrels in front. There is a chance for Ryan, but a lot has to go right at the same time, and I cannot see that happening, it’s a win for Quakes.
Bohemians at Pirates
4-6 Earlstonian Bohemians face off against the 7-3 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.
Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 10 by a 22.64 point effort from Tom Brady. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 21.51 point effort from Tom Brady in week 11.
Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 10 by a 24.80 point effort from Alvin Kamara. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 20.46 point effort from Drew Brees in week 11.
In week 1, Earlstonian Bohemians defeated Tweedbank Pirates by 3.94 points, so coach Paul is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 6-5-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.
This is crucial match for both teams, it’s must win for Ally to be in with a chance at a playoff space. Interestingly, everyone in Kirk is 1-1 for divisional games, making these last games very important. Ally has the advantage at 5 positions out of 9 this week – Tom Brady is #1, Harrison Butker #2 Tyreek Hill #4 and AJ Green #9. Tevin Coleman just scrapes his top ten, and there’s a steady drop to Amari Cooper in at flex at the 19th ranked WR – still that’s some team to put out when your record is 4-6, and it shows that those rankings mean very little week to week if you are coming up against a team that are all firing together.
Paul really just needs to get one out of his last three to be top of Kirk. Pirates have looked great all season, and their injury luck has just about held things intact. As in previous weeks though – the starters don’t have anyone ranked less than#15 whilst the bench is pretty much all over #40, so there really is no room for any injuries for Paul – fortunately no one even has a Q status and we should see Drew Brees lead out those pirates full of confidence at sealing that playoff spot. Todd Gurley and LeSean McCoy will get a good 30 between them, Fitzgerald and Crabtree should be over 25 too. Ryan Succop and the Rams are perhaps weaker links in the chain at K and DST, and Paul might look to replace them for players with good matchup in the playoff weeks, other than that – he’s all set.
This looks like being a high scoring match, which makes it harder to call of course, but the Pirates haven’t really put a foot wrong all season, and for that reason we can only go with them for the win.
Pickaxe at Panthers
7-3 Nitten Pickaxe challenge the 3-7 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.
Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 10 by a 37.10 point effort from Robert Woods. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 23.93 point effort from Jordan Howard in week 11.
Pilton Panthers were led in week 10 by a 31.10 point effort from Mark Ingram. In addition, Marcus Mariota was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 17.66 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 11 due to an injured shoulder, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pilton Panthers can expect a 23.56 point effort from Mark Ingram in week 11.
In week 1, Nitten Pickaxe defeated Pilton Panthers by 4.70 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 6-3-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.
Gav’s Pickaxe saw their second defeat by less than a point in week 10. They are close but not secure of the playoff place they were heading boldly for in week 5. Some dodgy performances last week have left the Pickaxe rankings in tatters, just 3 in their top 10 rankings. There’s no one ranked after the 20’s though, so this is certainly a serviceable team. Jordan Howard has a bit of a disaster last week and is consequently only ranked 9th in RBs but should see at least a wee upsurge in numbers for week 11. Marvin Jones’ targets took a tumble last week too, perhaps the only plus side to Gav’s WR woes, after losing OBJ and Deandre Hopkins’s QB, is that Hopkins stats still look good, based on sheer volume alone. Savage cannot be considered even a capable QB, but he is still trying to throw, and he tends to throw to Hopkins. Zach Ertz should be back from injury, but that’s by no means guaranteed as of Tuesday night.
Panthers just have not performed, though that’s five straight weeks of 100 plus scores, so Rab is doing something right. Consistency is the issue, Mark Ingram has the best average at 17.3 but then we are down to a trio of 15 averages in Tate Mariota and Thomas, all of whom have had a couple of weeks under regulation 10 pts. Anyone on this team is capable of big games though. Mark Ingram is certainly well liked at #2 RB and Tate and Thomas are #6 and 7 WRs, way higher than Pickaxes offerings. Rab needs a TE and that could be a bit of a ‘stick a pin in and hope’ as though there’s always a 15 pt. TE on the waivers, predicting who it will be is a bit of a nightmare. Gostkowski looks likely to have a great game and the Texans are a capable DST too.
There are some big rankings advantages for Rab this week. But after a couple of narrow losses, look for the Pickaxe numbers to all come together this week.
69ers at 187s
3-7 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 6-4 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.
SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 10 by a 30.60 point effort from Adam Thielen. In addition, Devonta Freeman was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 0.30 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 11 due to an injured concussion, which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 17.16 point effort from Tyrod Taylor in week 11.
Kelso 187’s were led in week 10 by a 17.30 point effort from Greg Zuerlein. Kelso 187’s can expect a 22.01 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 11.
In week 1, Kelso 187’s defeated SanFran-Gordon 69ers by 12.08 points, so coach Richie is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 3-4-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.
Richie’s 69ers cannot get a break this season and it looks like they are out of it. There is still an outside chance of the division by the look of it, but that means every game being won from now on and Kestrels beating the 187s. This week does not look like a good start to that – just 2 players ranked in their respective top 10s in Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks. There’s several starters who look to be ranked in the 20’s and even 30’s. there’s $4 in the coffers to use on the waivers tomorrow and there are higher ranked players available that could be bought for that kind of cash – so there is time for Richie to pick up the pace this week.
187s are within touching distance, and must be smelling blood for this week. Though not the best EFFL ranked team in the week, Euan outranks Richie at nearly every position. Mike Evans should be the big star for the week, but Dak Prescott, Jared Cook and Greg Zuerlein should be pretty good too. Chris Thompson and Adreian Peterson are capable RBs and either could have a big game. Euan has also landed the #1 DST for this crucial tie; the Jaguars looks to get a good few points on the board at the Browns this week.
Really, what can we say, it would take some significant luck for Richie this week, and he could be looking at a sub 100 performance, Euan does not really have to have anything more than an average week to see himself into the playoffs.
Avengers at Jaguars
5-5 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 2-8 Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.
Kelsae Avengers were led in week 10 by a 24.06 point effort from Case Keenum. In addition, Doug Baldwin was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 14.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 11 due to an injured groin, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelsae Avengers can expect an 18.15 point effort from Melvin Gordon in week 11.
Jerman Jaguars were led in week 10 by a 21.66 point effort from Matthew Stafford. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 17.44 point effort from Matthew Stafford in week 11.
In week 1, Kelsae Avengers defeated Jerman Jaguars by 69.68 points, so coach Jimmy is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Jerman Jaguars.
Avengers had their worst score of the year last week, scraping in at 88.46, though that was still better than the Kestrels of course. This week they have 6 top 10 ranked players, which should see them well over 100 to regain some pride. Carson Wentz is a good start and we should see him up in the 25 or so, Kareen Hunt has taken a wee bit of a dip in the last couple of weeks before his bye, failing to get 100 combined yards, look for him to bounce back a little against the Giants after a longer rest. Melvin Gordon and Doug Baldwin are also liked in the week and could see some decent numbers. Stuart needs a kicker, but should be able to find someone capable of 8 or so to see him through.
Jaguars? Those Jaguars? Yep, we are seeing a big drop in the fortunes of EFFLs most successful franchise. Jimmy’s luck/skill has deserted him this season and its now over for the season. Jimmy is still fighting for pride though, which is certainly good for the rest of the league as Avengers will be likely fighting for a wildcard slot, so the rest of the league could do with Jimmy stepping up. Its not happening this week though, Matt Stafford and Evan Ingram look lonely highlights in the Jags squad, and even then, Stafford is outranked by Wentz on the other side. Losing Zeke for the season now is a real blow, and Jimmy must be wishing that he’s served his ban earlier – as he’s be back by now of course. Ah well, not a lot you can do about that now. Of course, there is potential in this squad, Demaryius Thomas is always capable, and Mohamed Sanu should surely play beyond his lowly #33 rank.
Much as the rest of the league might want an Avengers win with their 2017 head on, with their 5 year hearts they might be wanting the salt rubbed in those Jaguar’s wounds, and I think that is what will happen this week.
That’s your lot, by next week we should be looking at wildcard slots a bit more closely, so good luck everyone who’s still in with a chance.,