View From The Pit 2016 – Finals Week

Well We’ve arrived. The final is here and with it the unexpected prospect of the 69ers vs the Panthers. A bit of a turn up and so many high scoring teams left by the wayside. 69ers have a respectable 3rd ranking in the top scorers but Panthers are a lowly 8th. Clearly they’ve been up for it when it counts, but they have played against the least points in total by some margin.

 

The Saints outscored everyone else last week, we’ve had them before, but heres a perfect song for the week

 

Since its finals week we’ll let the MFLbot have its complete say for a change, then there will be some in depth stats bullshit – so get a cup of tea ready.

Go for it MFLBot:

 

Coming up in a week 16 Earlston Fantasy Football League battle, the 7-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 7-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 15 by a 28.30 point effort from Ty Montgomery, who snuck past the Chicago Bears defense for 1 receiving yards in addition to 162 rushing yards. In addition,Jordan Reed was not injured before the start of his week 15 game, and contributed 0.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 16 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

We need to turn up the intensity,” SanFran-Gordon 69ers coach Richie said.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 15 by a 28.90 point effort from LeSean McCoy, who beat the Cleveland Browns defense for 153 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs in addition to 16 receiving yards.

On any given day any team is capable of beating another team,” Pilton Panthers coach Rab said.

In week 7, SanFran-Gordon 69ers defeated Pilton Panthers by 13.68 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 6-0-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Thanks Bot, I think.

 

You all read that right, Rab’s Panthers have never beaten the niners – but none of that will matter if the trophy gets lifted next week.

 

Lets look at some stats to see where we are at, if you really dont want my stats, but do want my preview – the preview proper starts at the end of the second table – so lots of scrolling on a phone.

STAT TIME – yeah!

These tables contain the real data of; year to date points, the average, the minimum score and the maximum score, those are absolute values and not subject to opinion. However the next 4 columns are less factual – and could be completely misleading:

Median is similar to average score, but is the middle value of the scores for the past 15 weeks – rather than the average.

Cons is consistency – in my calculations it’s the average (Mean for you maths geeks) minus the median score. My feeling is that the lower this value (or closest to zero – negative scores are also ‘bad’) the more consistent the player has been over the season. the reasoning is that the mean score is really strongly affected by a rogue low or high score, whereas the median score is less so. The ideal player would have a high average and also a low Cons number. This is pure conjecture on my part – and I’ve not really checked it out – I worked out consistency a different way a couple of years ago if anyone is interested, however it does show that QBs, TEs and DSTs have higher Cons numbers than the other positions in general.

Closest week is the score that the player got against the same team that they are playing in week 16 or the closest team in terms of points allowed to that position. Rank is the consensus rankings from Fantasypros.com

Niners:

Player/Week YTD Avg Min Max Median Cons closest week rank
Luck, Andrew IND QB 268.44 20.65 11.08 35.50 18.80 1.85 Week 1 – 35.5 3
Hyde, Carlos SFO RB 156.90 13.08 1.40 26.00 12.45 0.63 Week 1 – 21.3 10
Murray, DeMarco TEN RB 233.90 16.71 8.40 26.00 14.85 1.86 Week 8 – 18.8 5
Baldwin, Doug SEA WR 131.50 9.39 2.00 23.90 6.70 2.69 Week 7 – 6.9 14
Hill, Tyreek KCC WR 118.40 8.46 0.70 17.50 7.70 0.76 Week 12 – 17.5 32
Hogan, Chris NEP WR 87.00 6.69 0.00 19.60 5.90 0.79 Week 12 – 7 54
Jones, Julio ATL WR 155.30 12.94 1.60 36.00 13.05 -0.11 Week 4 – 36 7
Montgomery, Ty GBP WR 87.40 6.72 -0.10 28.30 4.40 2.32 Week 2 – 0 20
Reed, Jordan WAS TE 94.60 8.60 0.60 21.50 6.40 2.20 Week 5 – 5.3 11
Clay, Charles BUF TE (Q) 56.70 4.36 0.00 13.20 2.90 1.46 Week 7 – 2.9 18
Gates, Antonio SDC TE 68.90 5.74 0.00 13.50 4.95 0.79 Week 14 – 6.1 10
Henry, Hunter SDC TE (R) 84.50 6.50 0.00 14.30 7.10 -0.60 Week 14 – 7.3 13
Vinatieri, Adam IND PK 128.00 9.14 1.00 21.00 10.00 -0.86 Week 4 – 11 7
Packers, Green Bay GBP Def 85.00 6.07 -3.00 19.00 6.00 0.07 Week 2 – 7 5
Giants, New York NYG Def 116.00 8.29 0.00 23.00 6.00 2.29 Week 9 – 6 9
Possible ‘closest week’ score 161.9

Panthers

Player/Week YTD Avg min max median cons closest week rank
Cousins, Kirk WAS QB 262 18.714 9.96 30.16 18.11 0.604 Week 13- 17.84 8
Rivers, Philip SDC QB 230.2 16.443 9.44 26.36 15.22 1.223 Week 7 – 15.64 6
Coleman, Tevin ATL RB 128.7 11.7 1.7 26.9 11.7 0 Week 4 – 3.3 26
Gillislee, Mike BUF RB 96.6 7.431 -0.4 16.9 7.2 0.231 Week 7 – 2 38
McCoy, LeSean BUF RB 226.2 17.4 1.1 32.2 16.8 0.6 Week 7 – 1.1 3
Yeldon, T.J. JAC RB 88.2 6.3 2 12.9 5.75 0.55 Week 8 – 5.6 35
Ginn Jr., Ted CAR WR 96.8 6.914 0.5 18.8 5.45 1.464 Week 4 – 1.4 46
Jackson, DeSean WAS WR 109.7 8.438 0.5 17.8 5.9 2.538 Week 15 – 11.1 23
Landry, Jarvis MIA WR 123.8 8.843 3 19.6 8.7 0.143 Week 7 – 9.8 21
Nelson, Jordy GBP WR 174.7 12.479 0.9 22.1 12.85 -0.371 Week 2 – 13.3 5
Woods, Robert BUF WR 59.3 5.391 0.5 16.2 4.1 1.291 Week 15 – 0.5 73
Ebron, Eric DET TE 67.8 6.164 0 13.1 5.3 0.864 Week 7 – 7.9 12
Ertz, Zach PHI TE 76.4 6.367 1.4 13.9 5.65 0.717 Week 9 – 9.7 7
Crosby, Mason GBP PK 109 7.786 2 12 8 -0.214 Week 2 – 2 13
Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def 144 10.286 -2 35 10.5 -0.214 Week 12 – 15 3
Possible ‘closest week’ score
87.64

The ‘closest week’  analysis puts the Niners  favourites by quite some way, nearly doubling the Panthers points and getting the yearly top score to boot – however the consensus rankings put the matchup much closer.

At QB it may be a tough choice for Rab, Pip Rivers is the critics choice in rankings, but its pretty close between him and Cousins, Both look likely to score somewhere between 15 -20 – 25 at the outside. Chargers are eliminated from the playoffs, I cant really see why Rivers is ranked better than Cousins. Either of them will likely not match Andrew Luck’s scoring though, Colts are still in the running for a playoff spot – just, and that could really bring out the best in the QB.

At RB Rab has a very slight advantage for RB1 with Lesean McCoy over Murray in terms of the rankings, however the similar week scores are a total disaster for MCoy. At RB2 its Richie all the way – Carlos Hyde outranks everyone on the Panthers roster and had a great game in week 1 against a better Raiders team.

WR has Jordy Nelson matched against Julio Jones. This is a well balanced pairing, but of course Jones may not yet be fit for Richie. That would be a real disaster and drop his WR 3 way down the rankings. Richie has gambled a bit having just 2 RBs for the final week – so we can guarantee that 3 of these WRs will play. Rab has a bit of choice at WR2  and Flex – but look for Jackson and Landry to get the starts here.

TE  is a bit WTF – how did Richie end up with 4 TEs this week – you know you can only play one right? I could understand if you were trying to disrupt Rab, but all 4 of them are ranked lower than Rab’s Zach Ertz. They are also too colse to call for who will get the start – there will surely be 2 TDs between the four of them – but picking the one who will get one of those, let alone 2, will be sticking a pin. I’m sure we’ll hear some explanation on the chat in any case.

Flex is very close in rankings – expect two Wideouts to start here, Jackson and Montgomery look the most likely, though Julio’s status could change all that of course.

Both teams have solid kickers, Mason Crosby is perhaps a little lowly for this stage in the game, but he’s more than capable. Adam Vinatieri was an expensive pickup way back, but that will look like a good move if he goes 10+ in the final.

Finally DST – the Chiefs have been  bossing it all season for Rab – not the highest averaging, but capable of monster scores. The Packers or the Giants look reasonable choices for Richie, which to go with is a touch decision, but Packers maybe have a little more to lose and will be out for blood.

The biggest interest has to be the Vikings Packers game – though no  one has any Vikings worth mentioning, both teams have a few Packers – and this gone game will almost certainly help decide the whole league destiny. If either team gets 10 more than the other here – that could seal the deal.

And with that its all done – I think I promised some stats last year and never did it – but i will have another look at it and see if there’s some 20 20 hindsight that i can bring you in a couple of weeks- have a great final you 2 , and evetyone else have a great break – see youz in the new year.

 

 

View From The Pit 2016 – semi finals week 15

Here we are then, four teams left and at least two of them quite unexpected before last week. Stuart’s Avengers must be still shell shocked, but that’s the way it goes, one of these four will have their name on the trophy in just two weeks time.

The falcons did it again last week with a monster 42 vs the Rams,we’ve had that team tune already, so I’ll use it as an excuse to put this far out video from Atlanta’s Mastodon

 

69ers at Jaguars

7-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers face off against the 11-2 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 14 by a 26.00 point effort from Carlos Hyde.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 14 by a 21.24 point effort from Aaron Rodgers. In addition, Donte Moncrief was not injured before the start of his week 14 game, and contributed 0.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 15 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 2, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars defeated SanFran-Gordon 69ers by 14.70 points, so coach Richie is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 0-4-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Richie has made five changes today in a bid for last minute glory, though it looks likely that only Hauschka and The Falcons will get the start this weekend. That added depth could be helpful in the final week if Richie makes it and with just that one week to go it was maybe a canny move, as the other contenders are down a few more players that they can pick from. The starters for the niners look strong., no one ranked below 17 (Tyreek Hill at flex). ?however there’s no top 1 or 2 players with that guarantee of 100 yds and a TD and no guarantees for those early teen ranked players. Demarco Murray is surely the standout here, with just one week below 10 pts, and even that at 8.5, he’s a strong contender this week despite his ‘lowly’ #5 ranking, the Chiefs have let in 17.5 pts to opposing RBs this year on average, so there’s a good chance at both yards and TDs. Julio Jones could be the make or break for Richie this week, he’s recovering from a bit of turf toe, and the signs point to the Falcons leaning on the run a bit more against the 49ers, but can you really leave out Jones from your starting lineup? it would be a brave coach who benched him, and he only needs one long catch to make his selections worthwhile, who knows..

Jimmy’s two time winning Jags have failed to break 100 pts for 4 weeks in a row  now, is this the beginning of the end for the early unstoppable Jaguars? I’  not sure, its been a regulation 95 pts for 3 of those 4 weeks and lineup choices could have made it 99 in the lowest of the 4, so there are still points in the team yet. However, rankings wise there is no contest at all, Jimmy is behind at all positions except QB, TE and DST. Lets think about that though – QB, TE and DST also have the highest deviation in points (maybe besides some pretty huge kicker outliers this season) QBs have been 10-30ish – TEs 0-15 and DST from minus pts to 20 or so. RB1 and WR1 are must more consistent at the 10-20 pt with similar but shorter scores for the other positions. That wee stats interlude tells us this – although he’s outranked, Jimmy has given himself the better chance in the positions with the most ‘swing’ so don’t count this team out just yet. Aaron Rogers looks to be the star yet again, but maybe this is the week that Doug Martin proves his £86 flex dollar value – he’s ranked as a pretty solid flex play this week and that could translate to a very reasonable 7-15 pts.

The 49ers Falcons game is where Richie has to make his points, that has to wait till after 9 on sunday though, but still he should know which way the wind is blowing before bed time. If Jones and the Falcons DST have more than 20 between them (apart from the 10 starting dst pts) by 10.30 Sunday night this looks to be going Richie’s way. On the other side its the Steelers Bengals Game, Tyler Eiffert is absolutely crucial to Jimmy’s chance at a third league title, and if AJ Green is fit, that’s a big bonus, but its a big if too. Jimmy will want a bit more from these 2, maybe 25 between them, to feel fairly secure going into the later games.

In the end though, I’m calling it for the 69ers, Richie may get a chance at that trophy after all.

Panthers at 187s

7-6 Pilton Panthers, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, face off against the 8-5 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 14 by a 16.80 point effort from LeSean McCoy.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 14 by a 15.40 point effort from Odell Beckham. In addition, Michael Crabtree was not injured before the start of his week 14 game, and contributed 2.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 15 due to an injured finger , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 4, Kelso 187’s defeated Pilton Panthers by 22.90 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

So, the Panthers lucked out facing a crash and burn Avengers team last week, but here they are and no one’s run to the playoffs has been a gift, so a justified semi final place for Rab. Kirk cousins has been solid, though his average has been boosted by a couple of monster weeks, and in reality most of the season has been 15-18 rather than his 19 pts a game average, however he has the good to justify his #3 rank this week facing a middle of the road pass Defense in Carolina. Pip rivers is worth a look though, he has the Raiders at home this week and they’ve let in almost the exact same pts to opposing QBs in 17.5 this season. Lesean Mcoy and Jordy Nelson have been pretty solid for Rab all season with just one serious blip for Nelson way back in week 7, anything less than 25 pts between the tow of them will leave the Panthers on a shoogly peg this week. Elsewhere in the lineup Tevin Coleman and Desean Jackson look to be getting starts and should keep the pts ticking over during the game. Mason crosby and the Chiefs ahve as good a chance as anyone to get some ‘bonus’ pts for the Panthers. Fle might end up being more of a tricky decision, jarvis Landry is ranked a little higher, but there is generally a higher floor for RBs in these lower ranks, so either Yeldon or Gillislee could be tempting for Rab.

187s, though putting up the numbers during the season, are  now seriously struggling for a bit of depth. Odell Beckham is of course the star, and Dak Prescott has been confounding his critics all year long (though he still ranks a lowly 15 in QBs). RB is the problem here, Bilal Powel and Ryan Matthews were nowhere near anyone’s top picks in the draft but that’s where we’ve ended up for the 187s. Sure on good days they are more than capable of getting those all important TDs, Powel was close to 30 last week after all, but the week beopfe that was .3, and there’s been plenty of other weeks less than 5 too. Matthews has been more consistent, b ut his average is skewed by a monster performance in week 10 and very little else. Euan could well be relying on the less glory laden positions to get through to the final – TE, Kicker and DST look to be ranked in his favour, in fact, though Kye Rudolph is only averaging just over 7 pts a game, he has one of the best floors of all TE’s, as they’ve been so inconsistent. Texans will likely get the start over the Giants at DST and the Jaguars have allowed nearly 10 pts a game to opposition DST, so there’s a good chance for points there.

Whilst no game stands out as being make or break for this matchup, the Carolina at Washington game has opposing interest for these two and also the Lions at Giants. with the Washinton game on Monday night it will surely be a late decision as to who reaches the final.

 

 

View from the pit 2016 – Wildcard week

So that’s it, another regular season over with and back to square one for 6 of us and counting, with a chance for glory for our other six challengers.

The Colts led the way in week 13, putting the Jets to the sword along with the hopes of at least a couple of teams in the EFFL.

Lets go with this from Norwegian super serious death folk ambient collective Wardruna – basically, it’s my lovely horse with some chanting in the background, but it suits the mood for at least six of us.

anyway, the two wildcard games:

69ers at Pirates

 

7-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers face off against the 7-6 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 13 by a 29.72 point effort from Andrew Luck. In addition, Julio Jones was not injured before the start of his week 13 game, and contributed 11.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 14 due to an injured toe , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 13 by a 23.84 point effort from Matthew Stafford, who beat the New Orleans Saints defense for 341 passing yards and 2 passing TDs in addition to 22 rushing yards.

In week 9, SanFran-Gordon 69ers defeated Tweedbank Pirates by 21.62 points, so coach Paul is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 5-0-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

69ers season has been very solid, in fact they’ve never dipped below 95 potential points, however lineup choice has not always been the strongest, and there’s been some weeks where Richie has left a load of points on the bench. andrew Luck seems back into winning ways with a pretty monster score last week and looks set to continue that trend for the playoff weeks. Julio Jones is a bit of a worry, with 3 game sthis season sitting around 2 points, but really he’s still a must start and a reasonable match up for week 14. Demarco Murray is surely fit and forget and has only one performance under 10 points all year. The rest of the lineup look good enough too, though there’s room for a new TE and DST in the lineup should Richie choose that route.

Looking at the scoring history for both teams here, what is clear is that Paul’s Pirates have had less consistency over the whole team, but they always had at least a couple of studs do enough to take the game, at least that’s true for the week Paul has won, there have been a worrying 4 weeks hovering around the 75 pt mark or less, and that simply isnt enough to take a semi spot in the EFFL. One of the studs that have boosted the average pts for the Pirates was certainly the vikings DST at the start of then season,  but they’ve failed to live up to that early promise in the latter part of the regular season. Matt stafford and TY Hilton look good enough this week, but elsewhere in the lineup there are some big question marks. TD dependency has been the problem for Paul in those off weeks, wiht just not enough guaranteed yards anywhere in the squad. Travis Kelce is a lone highlight in the rankings when comparing to 69ers, but TE consisitency has been non exisitent throughout then league so you simply canoot rely on that to take you through.

Its an uphill battle for Paul, but not outside the realms of possibility. The Pit thinks that this game is the niner’s to lose. The colts Texans game could decide the outcome of this matchup – as TY Hilton has a decent chance to hoover up any points advantage that Andrew Luck might get – if that doesn’t happen I’d suspect it’s a trip to Davy Jones’ Locker for the Pirates.

Avengers at Panthers

8-5 Kelsae Avengers, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, face off against the 7-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 13 by a 29.50 point effort from David Johnson.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 13 by a 19.10 point effort from LeSean McCoy.

In week 8, Kelsae Avengers defeated Pilton Panthers by 5.70 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Avengers are the team to beat this year, lets be clear, they would have won every other division but Uhura, have faced way more points against than Jimmy and still have a decent budget for waivers in the morning, Panthers will have to go some to get through here.

David Johnson is averaging 21 points a game, more than most teams QBs, and his wee ‘blips’ of closer to 10 points seem a long time ago now. What that means is that the pressure is really off when it comes to Stuart having to select an RB2, there’s no need for TDs and as long as they look likely to get 60- 80 yds the RB combined score should be well over the regulation 20. Mike Evans is also ranked #1 this week, ending up with the #1 RB and WR at the end of the season is no mean feat, whether its luck or judgement I’ll leave other readers to decide. But of course that’s not all, Jimmy graham is now #1 too – we’ve said it before a couple of times, but that was some draft pick – right under everyone elses sneering noses. Cam has gone off the boil a bit in the last couple of weeks, but he’s still good for a floor of around 16, which is nothing to sniff at.

McCoy is no slouch at R1 for the Panthers, and 15 pt average is not to be sniffed at, but that’s 5 behind Johnson. Kirk Cousins has been very up and down, and recovering the week 11 and 12 from may prove tricky against the Eagles away from home. Jordy ?MNelson and the chiefs DST have been quietly putting up the numbers all season and there’s no reason to think that they both are not capable of 10 pts plus this week. Elsewhere in the Panthers team Ebron, Coleman  and Jackson are capable of great things, but their consistency has been poor all season. gs only need to swing by maybe 15

This match up has Avengers written all over it on paper, but things only need to swing towards Rab by 15 pts or so to see this clash go the other way – meaning if Rab’s Panthers can generate an extra 2 TDs over predicted and Johnson is limited to just yards on the weekend, they could be through. This looks like being the bigger scoring wildcard game, and I can see 110 points not being enough for one of these teams, however the more likely outcome is Stuart’s Avengers by 15

View from the Pit 2016 week 13

Week 13 is here, and with it we’ll be saying goodbye to six teams till 2017, seems a long way away the now but it rolls around quick dont you think?

 

week 12 saw the Saints clock up some awesome numbers, though one Brandin cooks must be wondering what he did wrong to not be a part of the actions, anyway, here’s the meters with one of the most sampled songs ever.

 

Avengers at Jaguars

7-5 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 11-1 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.
Kelsae Avengers were led in week 12 by a 22.40 point effort from Mike Evans. In addition, David Johnson was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 22.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured finger , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 12 by a 23.12 point effort from Aaron Rodgers. In addition, Lamar Miller was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 6.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 3, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars defeated Kelsae Avengers by 37.88 points, so coach Stuart is looking for revenge this week. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 1-2-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Jimmy’s run finally came to an unceremonious end last week, with the Jags posting their lowest score of the year, and plenty of points on the bench. However, that’s just academic as they’ve been safely through for a while now.

Avengers have to win to be sure of a wildcard slot, and 8-5 would have been enough to take any of the other divisions, so Stuart will be raging if by shear fluke he doesn’t make it. But beating jimmy may be enough encouragement he needs for this week in any case. Jimmy Graham and David Johnson will surely get some points on the board with their #1 rankings for the week, neither has disappointed too often this season. Cam Newton is a bit lower down the pecking order this week, and there could be a waiver option there for coach Stuart if he’s prepared to take that risk. All in all this looks like a great lineup though, Stuart has maybe had a bit more luck than some with injuries, but the team has solidified and almost everyone in it is punching above their draft position.

Jimmy can rest easy if he likes, now that the chance for a perfect season is done. But unless he drops all of his players there is a formidable lineup somewhere here for sure. WR has taken a bit of a dent, but there’s still options and Moncreif Shepard and Boyd are surely guaranteed a TD between them – but who to leave out? RB is not a lot easier, but perhaps all of the 4 possibles will more than likely net a TD and/or 100 yards, so less of a problem for Jimmy in choosing. Eifert was left on the Bench ch last week but Zach Ertz didn’t really show that hes capable of putting a consistent score up,so expect the Bengal to be back in the squad.

This game likely doesn’t matter too much, but its still Stuart who wants the victory more, to ensure a better run at the payoffs, given the lineups,  i think that’s likely. There’s not really anyone else who cares too much about this result, it will affect someone somehow, but you’ll need to look at the other post for that one.

187s at 69ers

8-4 Kelso 187’s play the 6-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 12 by a 21.70 point effort from Dak Prescott. In addition, Chris Ivory was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 11.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 12 by a 21.50 point effort from Jordan Reed.

187s have clinched their spot and can maybe take it easy, but they have the chance to ruin Richie’s season and leave him waiting for next year. Its not over for Richie with a loss, but it will be a much more complicated route, reliant on several other games.

Euan’s 187s are riding high, but they only have the 6th best scoring this year and have never had the top in a week, there’s been a couple of blips on the scorecard too, so this is by no means plain sailing. Euan needs a DST too, there’s plenty on the wire, but choosing could be  a challenge. Melvin Gordon and Odell Beckham will surely get somewhere north of 30 between them, leaving the rest here to pick up perhaps 70 points between the7 of them. Dak Prescott is pretty much a shoe in for his share, but no one else has the same guarantee.

69ers are still struggling despite their top 3 score on the year. A big chunk of that average came in just week 4 though, only 4 of the other weeks have been over 100. Julio Jones  and Doug Baldwin are the big stars here, and have been outstanding most of the season. Demarco Murray and Terelle Prior on a bye in the last game is bad timing, but there’s no excuse for not making plans to cope with that. Carlos Hyde should put up better than average numbers but can Damian Williams or Robert Turbin come close to their regulation 10 points, not without a TD I’d suggest.

This game could be close, but I’m giving it to 187s given that they have the advantage at RB, and therefore likely to see consistent yards. It could easily go the other way if Richie’s WR end up chasing their games, a 50 yd TD for example could swing this tie Richie’s way.

Bohemians at Fire

6-6 Earlstonian Bohemians play the 4-8 Fife Fire at Balbirnie Stadium.
Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 12 by a 22.80 point effort from Michael Thomas,

Fife Fire were led in week 12 by a 33.50 point effort from Drew Brees.

Even the bot has very little to say about this game. Fire have just not got going in 2016, and have now lost any chance of a playoff spot, that could be good news for the Bohos though who need this win badly to have a chance.
Ally’s Boho’s are looking pretty comfortable, with their formidable RB team and Russell Wilson seemingly back on form there’s a good chance of a playoff spot. WR is less secure, Thomas, Watkins and Diggs are surely in the mix for a spot this week, and any one of them capable of the big plays given a chance. We could see yet more changes with a streamer for TE or DST, but Bennet and the Ravens should be more than capable of getting at least a few points on the board.

Fire have the dubious honour of having the lowest score 4 times this season – there’s not really any rhyme or reason to that, as the rankings suggest this team to be comfortably mid table, but for whatever reason they’ve just not fired on all cylinders. This week though, Drew Brees is ranked #1 and that can perhaps set the spark to see the Fire go out with a bang? unfortunately, so one else in the squad is ranked within the top 10 and that will mean short yardage with just the outside chance of TDs for the team. With no one there who’s averaging 15 or more, it really needs everyone to get lucky the same week to see a win. That could happen, and of course, there has been some bad luck for Shaun, so perhaps he’s due something this week?

The prediction is for a Boho win by some margin, but if Shaun uses some of his vast waiver fortune in the morning, no one can stop him picking up exactly who he wants, a TE and a new DST have to be high on that list for a start.

Fog at Panthers

6-6 Fog on the Tyne challenge the 6-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.
Fog on the Tyne were led in week 12 by a 19.70 point effort from Devonta Freeman. In addition, Rob Gronkowski was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 0.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured back , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 18.76 point effort from Derek Carr in week 13.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 12 by a 30.16 point effort from Kirk Cousins. In addition, Gary Barnidge was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 1.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Fog could go through even at the bottom of their division, but they really need this win to happen for them. the rankings suggest that they are marginally behind Panthers at most positions, but its not a chasm, and of course Panther need to pick up a TE from the wire – with a few folk looking that way too, that could be harder than it appears. Adrian Peterson is apparently close to return, but surely it will not be this week, meaning Freeman and Forte should get starts, there’s 150 yards and a TD between them with any justice, so that averages out at regulation 10 pts. Edelmann and Cole Beasley look not quite so safe, Beasley in particular has gone from the darling of the waiver wire to not a look in just over  a month, can he pick it up for Fog in this last regular season game?

Panthers are finishing well, and a win this weekend clinches a place without worrying about anyone else. Lesean Mccoy and Jordy Nelson should be the ones to get the bulk of the points this week, but any gaps in their perform ace will open a big hole for the Fog to come in. Cousins is on a roll, but that doesn’t mean he’s guaranteed a start over Pip Rivers, who faces a slightly easier matchup in week 13, a tough choice for Rab, there’s bound to be advice out there on the web, but in the end it will be the higher scoring game that is likely to give the higher scoring QB, and Rab has to hope he picks wisely. Picking up a TE could be problematic this week, as there are several people in the league in the same position, Rab has a budget, but it will be finding a player who can score big that is the problem.

This looks close. A big scoring game would be a fine end for both these seasons, but not satisfactory if you don’t make the playoffs, and I don’t think they both can.

Pirates at Earthquakes

6-6 Tweedbank Pirates play the 3-9 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.
Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 12 by a 17.46 point effort from Carson Wentz. In addition, T.Y. Hilton was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 5.40 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured back , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 12 by a 33.14 point effort from Colin Kaepernick.

In week 3, Tweedbank Pirates defeated Earlston Earthquakes by 64.84 points, so coach Cozy is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a 3-4-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

Pirates can go through with a win here and with the Quakes out already that is possible. However Paul has to get past an angry Cozy to do that. The wind has gone from the Pirates sails somewhat over the last few weeks, sure there have been wins and a great score in week 11, but its been around 70 most of the last month or so. Todd Gurley is surely guaranteed an RB start but as for the other slot and a flex, there’s a load of slightly scrappy players to choose from. Its likely at least one of them will have a decent game, but predicting it could be tricky. Hilton Fitzgerald and perhaps Cobb are maybe more secure in their WR positions and Kelce has proved his worth as a TE receiver too.

It all came together for the quakes over the last two weeks, that’s a bit of a kick in the teeth when you are out so fair play for sticking with it. Cozy has the advantage this week for sure though, the Quakes can field higher ranked players at most positions except QB and TE, WR2 could be the only spot where Paul has a significant advantage. There’s not really any need for waivers, though both teams have inexplicably ended up with kickers ranked in the 20‘s, not that it matters too much for kickers, but there will be free for all waiver kickers that are available come 10:00 tomorrow. Mark Ingram, Amari copper and the Pats DST shout lead the scoring for Cozy, with Kaepernick putting in a decent week at QB too.

Paul might be pleading that this one doesn’t matter to Cozy, but if the last two weeks are anything to go by that will fall on deaf ears, and if he sets his prime lineup Cozy looks likely to burst Paul’s bubble.

Tigers at Pickaxe

4-8 Tranent Tigers, who hope to end their 4 game losing streak, play the 5-7 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.
Tranent Tigers were led in week 12 by a 27.10 point effort from Antonio Brown. Tranent Tigers can expect a 15.83 point effort from Tom Brady in week 13.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 12 by a 24.00 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott, who got by the Washington Redskins defense for 97 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs in addition to 23 receiving yards.

In week 3, Nitten Pickaxe defeated Tranent Tigers by 41.40 points, so coach Nicky is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 2-3-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Last but not least Nicky’s Tigers take on Gav’s Pickaxe. The Tigers have lost their teeth a bit come the end of the season and its all over for them. Tom Brady and Antonio Brown have been the sole highlights in an otherwise lacking season, just two weeks over 100 and quite a few less than 75. If there are going to be points this week, they will surely come in the air from Brady, Brown, Demaryius Thomas and Vance Macdonald. Bibbs and Langford at RB are looking likely to be TD dependant for anything like a regulation 10 points, but of course stranger things have happened.

Gav’s season is reliant on this and the Panthers Game. That’s a decent shot at the division though, and as usual there’s a pretty good chance at 90-100 pts in the squad. Last weeks kicker and DST points were a massive bonus, and the lack of a single look form Brandin Cooks is a huge worry if he’s done something to upset Brees, but there doesn’t seem to be any explanation online as to what happened, with their monster score, it surely wasn’t just luck and coverage that saw him left out?  Zeke Elliot and Dez Brant on the other hand continue to score well. Bryant is missing the TDs but is putting up good yardage and seems to be getting a fair share of the looks from Dak Prescott. Ben Roethlisberger seems to be back in decent form, whilst alternative Matt Ryan is just passable, Big Ben likely to get the start for this final regular season week.

With that, we’ll be saying goodbye to 6 of these teams till next year, as we will only be focusing on the competitive games from now on.

View From the Pit 2016 – Week 12

Week 12 is here – 1 team through and 1 team out – there’s still all to play for for everyone else.

Week 11 saw a monster score from Washington. Hmmm, its thanksgiving too. Now America, you’ve been a bit disappointing over the last few weeks – maybe  look at where you are going and stop treading on the wee guys eh?

Bohemians at Pirates

5-6 Earlstonian Bohemians challenge the 6-5 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 11 by a 26.10 point effort from Le’Veon Bell,

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 11 by a 20.00 point effort from the Minnesota Vikings.

In week 2, Tweedbank Pirates defeated Earlstonian Bohemians by 0.44 points, so coach Ally is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 4-5-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

Ally must surely have forgiven Russell Wilson for his less than 10 pt outing a month ago, 3 25 pt game sin a row have to get a QB back in the good books? Added to that Leveon Bell is coming off two monster games and looks in great form, particularly with Ben Roethlisberger back from injury meaning defenses have to think about the pass too. Really you’ve got to think that very little on the Bohos team will change, apart from as ever streaming a DST for the week. All the offensive players are ranked in the top 15 and that’s going to be a lot for anyone to challenge this week.

Paul has come down pretty hard after a great start to the season, and meets Ally perhaps on the way up. Only one of these teams can go through to the playoffs for sure- but there is a chance for both to make it through wildcard. Todd Gurley and Rashad Jennings look solid at RB1 and 2 but will possibly come up 50 yards shorter than the Bohos pairing – so need some Tds as well, not impossible. Its the same story at WR but they are petty evenly matched to the Bohos pair – expect a good 150 yds between them. Flex could be the let down here, there’s really nothing on the squad to compete with one of Ally’s top Rbs, and there will need to be more than a little luck to get 10 pts here. The Vikings could be the ace in the hole though – cooing off a 20 pt game and being the 4th highest scorer on the Pirates roster

All in all, it looks like Ally has the advantage at most positions, but the Vikings and a lucky break at WR could seal the deal for Paul’s Pirates.

The rest of the league must surely now want a Pirates win to open up the other wildcard slot – A win for Ally could put both teams through.

Panthers at Tigers

5-6 Pilton Panthers play the 4-7 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 11 by a 27.40 point effort from Kirk Cousins. In addition, LeSean McCoy was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 10.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured thumb , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pilton Panthers can expect a 16.70 point effort from Kirk Cousins in week 12.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 11 by a 28.40 point effort from Tom Brady. In addition, Ryan Mathews was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 3.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 2, Tranent Tigers defeated Pilton Panthers by 7.42 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 4-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

Panthers are fresh off a divisional win and are maybe smelling blood or the light at the end of the divisional tunnel. However, it was no in any way a league winning score last week and things will have to tighten up if the Panthers are to take the division. Things look a wee bit shoogly for Rab’s Panthers, barring Jordy Nelson there are no players ranked in the top 10 this week, rankings mean nothing if you get the matchups though. LeSean McCoy and Tevin Coleman, though not looking stellar this week are both higher ranked than anything Nicky can offer – they are perhaps looking at 150-200 yds between them but if they can capitalise with a couple of Tds that would be a huge advantage for Rab.

Nicky has just had a bit of bad luck – though the signs were there for Antonio Brown and Big Ben last weekend – both of them really underperformed and that could mean the end of the season for the Tigers. This week Brown and Brady are ranked #1 again – and surely Antonio Brown will want some of those TD passes. Rishard Matthews at Flex could be a good option this week with a reasonable match up against the Bears – tough choice to put him in over Devante Adams though – one of them should score for sure. Gostkowski and the choice of 2 DSTs round things out nicely for Nicky – and should be good for maybe 12-15 between them – perhaps expect a DST to go in the waivers in the morning, if Nicky can still afford to pick anyone up.

This game could decide Shatner – or leave it wide open again – the rest of the league perhaps wanting a Panthers win to leave Pickaxe and Tigers in the dust – but certainly Gav and Nicky need a Tigers win badly.

Fire at 187s

4-7 Fife Fire play the 7-4 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Fife Fire were led in week 11 by a 16.40 point effort from Drew Brees. In addition, Theo Riddick was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 8.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 11 by a 25.64 point effort from Dak Prescott.

In week 2, Kelso 187’s defeated Fife Fire by 20.00 points, so coach Shaun is looking for revenge this week. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Fife Fire hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Its the brotherly no love lost bowl again – 20 pts is a bit of a stinger for Shaun, but then the season hasn’t really panned out as well as expected – there’s a couple of interesting waiver picks around this week and Shaun has the cash to guarantee one of them at least – and he’d still have $40 for next week. That money is going to be be burning a hole in the Fire pockets at the end of the season though – really there’s nothing in the lineup or the waivers that looks a dead cert to take on the brother. Riddick, West, Marshall and Hopkins can perhaps expect 250 yds between them plus maybe a TD – any more than that is looking sketchy and will need a bit of luck. Fire have maybe traded away just at the wrong times this year – Aaron Rogers is outscoring Brees over the season for a start. Its looking a bit of a smouldering wreckage for the Fire at the end of this season.

187s couldn’t get across the line last week – but have another chance to seal the deal in week 12. Dak Prescott is probing himself quite a star – and consistently performing above his already quite high rank – it seems no ‘real pundit’s will believe that a rookie can end the season top 5. Gordon an Beckham have proved their worth over and again this season for Euan’s 187s and that should continue in week 12. Kelvin Benjamin has perhaps taken a wee bit of a tumble after his great season start – but there must be some more TDs in there somewhere. The rest of the squad leaves some choices at RB2, WR and Flex, but you’ve got to suspect that Michael Crabtree is in the mix as well. There’s 40 pts in yards from any number of RBs and WRs here – it will be a case of who is more likely to score those TDs that determines the lineup, and there will be a big bench score for sure.

The rest of the league has to be hoping for the 187s to seal the deal – again leaving a wildcard space open for anyone else, that looks likely this week for sure – the 187s just look too strong for the Fire.

Fog at Avengers

6-5 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 6-5 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 11 by a 21.60 point effort from Derek Carr. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 20.84 point effort from Derek Carr in week 12.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 11 by a 28.00 point effort from David Johnson. In addition, Thomas Rawls was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 8.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured undisclosed , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 2, Fog on the Tyne defeated Kelsae Avengers by 12.94 points, so coach Stuart is looking for revenge this week. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 3-0-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

Its Stu vs Stu again for the wildcard spot in Fog are riding their luck a little in Uhura – Avengers are outscoring them most of the season, just not in the games that matter leaving Fog in front by a nose. The sad news for both these teams is that only one of them can go through – and even then only as a wildcard as Jimmy has it all sewn up. Avengers have to win both this and the last game against Jimmy to stand a chance, where Stuart can get through with one win out of the 2.

fog have been very inconsistent over the season, but have made their wins count. This last stretch could be a bit too far though, there’s only so much that Gronk can do, he’s not the talisman he’s been over the last 3 seasons. Derek Carr Looks serviceable this week – but he’s not really performing better than you might expect from a streaming QB, sop there could be a change there – certainly Stuart can afford a wee bid in the waivers.

Avengers have also just been too up and down all season. David Johnson is interesting as the only player in the whole league to be averaging more than the teams QB over the season, and still yet to post anything below 10 – proving his 1st round status and likely cementing it for 2017 too. Jimmy Graham is in the mix too, the rest of the league collectively trying to forget the giggles that greeted his pick in the later rounds of the draft. Whilst they cant be cocky, Avengers have the advantage pretty much everywhere except flex kicker and DST – and event them they are not far behind.

The rest of the league really want neither of them to win – but surely Stuart is the best hope – facing as he does Jimmy next week.

Jaguars at Pickaxe

11-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars, who hope to extend their 11 game winning streak, challenge the 4-7 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 11 by a 29.34 point effort from Aaron Rodgers. In addition, A.J. Green was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 0.00 points, but he’s listed as out in week 12 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 11 by a 20.00 point effort from Dez Bryant.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2016, and is sure to be a epic battle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Jimmy rolled on to yet another victory in week 11, but it has cost him a starting WR in AJ Green. To be fair Green wasn’t contributing a huge amount of the Jags points in any case – and there are waiver picks that might replace him – Jimmy will have to wait till after 9.00 though – as there’s no money left in the biscuit tin. Aaron Rogers was a great trade at a great time for Jimmy, he’s outscored Carson Wentz, who he replaced, by more than 10 pts a game. Miller Gore Howard and Martin are surely all in the mix for a starting spot this week – $86 is a lot of fantasy dough to spend on a benchwarmer but that could well be the case this week as the others have pretty good matchups.

Gav is cursing his luck this season – week 11 went past with a perfect chance to prove the Pickaxe formula – only to get beaten by a well below standard 80 pts. The silver lining is the Cowboys in the squad, Dez Bryant and Zeke Elliot seem to gel well with Dak Prescott and they are sure to keep their spots this week. Jeremy hills run of TDs came to an abrupt end last week – but with a season ending injury to Giovani Bernard there could be more touches for him – is he fit enough to handle that pace is a big question, Pickaxe are pretty much forced to try their luck with him. Brandin cooks and Greg Olsen can surely only get better from last weeks Thursday night effort.

All in all this is a must win for Gav, but the rest of the league are still hoping for Jimmy’s run to continue – we have to ask if their priorities are right here – we cannot have an unbeaten season yet – what’s left to play for next year? We’ll expect big cheers for Pickaxe come Sunday evening.

Earthquakes at 69ers

2-9 Earlston Earthquakes challenge the 6-5 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 11 by a 31.70 point effort from Rob Kelley. In addition, C.J. Prosisewas not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 14.10 points, but he’s listed as out in week 12 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 11 by a 22.00 point effort from the Steelers In addition, Andrew Luck was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 18.68 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2016, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

Oh dear Earthquakes, Its finally coming together, but just too late, Rob Kelly had some effort last week and that might push him forward for more yards – but he’s ranked just 15th in RBs this week – giving him more like 80yds and a possible 1 TD. Those rankings mean not a lot in the heat of the game though – so there’s no reason at all it couldn’t be more. Amari Copper and the Pts DST are the other highlights this week for Cozy. The rest of the skill players should make up around 300 yds and have a reasonable chance of a couple of TDs between them all. Kaep at QB is maybe not the best available choice this week, and there’s money in the pot for the Quakes to perhaps get a last chance QB to ruin a couple of folks seasons.

69ers are close – a win here should get them at least a wildcard spot – and there’s still a chance of the division. Demarco Murray and Julio Jones are the stars here, and show no real signs of slowing down – they are perhaps not the highest averaging pair across the league but they have been consistent – though Julio has had 2 less than 5 pt performances too – so chickens should not be counted just yet. Doug Baldwin could end up being a great late season pickup for Richie and last weeks effort certainly helped the niners cause. He’ll likely start again and put a good 100 yds on the board give or take a TD.

A win for the Quakes would please everyone except Richie – but the stats say no. However that has been the case all season and its not really panned out that way for the niners – so anything could happen here

View From the Pit 2016 – week 11

Week 11 is here – 1 team definitely through and 1 team definitely eliminated. for the rest of us, its all still to play for. Theres still some action to be had on the waivers too – so its still all to play for – especially now that there’s a ig difference in waiver budgets left.

 

Week 1 saw the Titans  clock up a monster 47 pts.

and with that we’re on to our own action

Uhura:

Jaguars at Fog

10-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars, who hope to extend their 10 game winning streak, face off against the 6-4 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 10 by a 27.54 point effort from Aaron Rodgers. In addition, Jordan Howard was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 9.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 11 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars can expect a 19.60 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 11.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 10 by a 22.14 point effort from Joe Flacco. In addition, Michael Floyd was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 10.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 11 due to an injured neck , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 1, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars defeated Fog on the Tyne by 33.34 points, so coach Stuart is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars hold a 7-1-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

Jimmys $86 investment way back in week 4 could finally be paying off, with Doug Martin doing pretty well with his limited snaps for the Buccs last week. Much as I’m sure they’d like to keep him protected, they’ve really no one else to turn with a string of further injuries. In fact, Martin may be the #1 RB for the Jags this week ,but that’s just the start – there’s a good chance of a team all ranked in the top 15 this week for Jimmy, and although he’s guaranteed that bye in the playoffs he’ll no doubt be looking to extend the unbroken run of victories. AJ Green and Allen Robinson at WR give him a pretty good chance of that.

Fog on the other hand have a world of problems with bye weeks, Devonta Freeman and Matt Forte out this week will leave a big hole in the Fog Lineup. Stuart also needs a kicker, but that will likely wait till the free agency period, as he maybe hopes to bring in a bye week stud. Jacquizz Rogers will likely be just sitting on the bench taunting the rest of Fog as Doug Martin gets all his touches. Edelman and Beasly have a decent shout at 150 yds and a TD between them, but surely no match for Green and Robinson on the Jags side.

This doesn’t bode well for Stuart, unless he just lucks out with either just a stellar game for one of his or perhaps an injury for Jimmy, this is going to the Jags all the way.

What does the rest of the league want? With Jimmy already through and others maybe wanting him to use up all his luck now its got to be a win for the Jags, but really, no one would be that disappointed to see Jimmy’s run stopped now

TJ Hooker

69ers at Fire

5-5 SanFran-Gordon 69ers challenge the 4-6 Fife Fire at Balbirnie Stadium.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 10 by a 26.00 point effort from DeMarco Murray.

Fife Fire were led in week 10 by a 23.90 point effort from Doug Baldwin.

In week 1, Fife Fire defeated SanFran-Gordon 69ers by 5.16 points, so coach Richie is looking for revenge this week. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 1-2-0 all-time series record against Fife Fire.

69ers have been caught off guard a bit this week with byes for Julio Jones and Brandon Marshall, who have contributed quite a lot to the scores over the last 10 weeks – Jones much more so of course. Demarco Murray and Jordan Reed could well be the stars this week for Richie, and with a TD for Reed and a few hard yards, that could easily make up for the WR woes. Murray has been averaging way over 15 pts for the season, and last week even tried his hand as a QB, throwing a TD pass. Tricky though that is and fair play to Murray, he would have scored more if he’d run it in himself! Richie needs to hope that Murray is on tremendous form again this week.

Shaun’s Fire are second only in scoring to bottom placed Earthquakes, and with $92 in the bank if there was anything worth pouncing on on the waiver wire Shaun would be sure to take it – unfortunately it hasn’t panned out that way, and though he can make those bids there’s precious little to bolster his slightly struggling squad. This is a good week for the Fire’s matchup with the niners though, everyone is ranked top 30 even with a couple of players out hurt. Shaun should hoe for a decent 25 from Brees and maybe 400 yds plus 3 TDs from his 6 skill players – giving something like 58. There’s the possibility of a kicker change, and perhaps more likely a DST, there’s plenty on the wire and a bid above 3 or 4 bucks would be guaranteed to get your first choice surely?

Anyway, though Murray has shown his all round skill, that’s about it as an advantage for Richie, the pit sees this one going to Fire.

What does the rest of the league want? 187S look to be the clear leader at the moment in Hooker, so a win for Fire would suit more second place finishers than 69ers going into the black.

Kirk:

Earthquakes at Bohemians

1-9 Earlston Earthquakes play the 5-5 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 10 by a 9.50 point effort from Rob Kelley.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 10 by a 26.52 point effort from Russell Wilson.

In week 1, Earlstonian Bohemians defeated Earlston Earthquakes by 17.18 points, so coach Cozy is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 3-4-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Its officially over for the Quakes, a season lost by some bad draft decisions, bad luck and bad injuries. There’s still pride to play for though – and there’s no guarantee of that #1 draft pick. Cozy’s team looks very capable of a 100 pt game this week, Amari Copper the star and maybe a streaming QB of the wire too, Cousins perhaps? There’s little else to add CJ Prosise seems to have risen to the top of the Hawks depth chart, but perhaps not enough to gain a starting place in the Quakes lineup. You’ve just got to think that they can come together with a few TDs one week.

Bohemians are on a bit of a roll, and with Pirates on a 3 game losing streak Kirk is well up for grabs. A super deep RB set means that there are options to play any 3 of 4 top 10 RBs this week, WR is a litrle less secure, but really as long as there’s a TD, 100 yds and no injuries between Thomas and Diggs, what’s to complain about. Ally’s BOHOs are coming of a week high 130 pts and there’s no reason to think this weeks lineup couldn’t get a similar score given a bit of TD luck. Legarrette Blount may have secured his spot in the lineup with last weeks 25 pt effort, even with coach Ally’s love hate relationship with the RB. Russell Wilson could be back in favour too, could we see a settled Bohos lineup this week?

It is surely a better score than last week for the Quakes, but even then it looks likely that the Bohos will take the victory.

What does the rest of the league want? Bohemians and Pirates are tied at the top, and one of them is guaranteed through, however, with Cozy definitely out now a win for him does no one else any harm.

Shatner:

Pickaxe at Panthers

4-6 Nitten Pickaxe face off against the 4-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 10 by a 38.90 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 10 by a 18.60 point effort from Jordy Nelson.

In week 1, Nitten Pickaxe defeated Pilton Panthers by 27.18 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 5-2-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Pickaxe finally brought their 6 week losing streak to an end with an emphatic win over the Avengers in week 10 – despite a very poor showing from Matt Ryan. Big Ben looks to be back in action to cover Ryan’s bye week though so don’t expect too many changes for the Pickaxe. Gav needs a DST though so there could still be some streaming over the last 3 weeks. The Chargers were a big let down last week ,so surely there are more than 2 pts somewhere on the wire. Dez Bryant seems to be back to decent fitness and has got to grips with rookie Dak Prescott’s style so there could be a decent 70 – 100 yds from him with maybe a TD thrown in. Brandin Cooks is coming of a 98 yd game too – so there’s definitely some points possible there. Zeke is the star though – and could be the difference between a playoff spot or not – can he stay fit is the question.

Panthers need a QB to get their team going this week – there are plenty of streaming options at 15 pts or so – and of course at least one of them will get 25, picking the right one could be the problem, but Rabs final $15 should be enough to secure who he needs if he wants to make sure, perhaps more likely a lower bid or even waiting till free agency – can the Panthers coach tough it out – wait and see. Lesean McCoy is more than capable of keeping up with Zeke Elliot, and has surpassed him oin several week this year. RB1 Could decide this matchup, so both Rab and Gav will be looking to the 6.00 games for some good news. The Chiefs are the other stars for Rab this week, and could easily get 5-10 more points than anyone on the wire, so don’t leave them out of any decisions about who will eb winning this game.

All in all, it could be close, but the pickaxe rankings are just that little bit too much better than the Panthers, and should be enough to secure a win.

What does the rest of the league want? With all three Shatner teams on 4-6, these divisional matchups are going to be crucial. And it seems unlikely that Shatner will provide a wildcard slot, so no one is probably too bothered until next weeks divisional game, Nicky’s non divisional might be more important for the rest of the league.

Non Divisional

Pirates at 187s

5-5 Tweedbank Pirates, who hope to end their 3 game losing streak, face off against the 7-3 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 10 by a 13.30 point effort from Larry Fitzgerald.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 10 by a 19.76 point effort from Dak Prescott.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Pirates have not had the best of it in the last 3 weeks, coach Paul must be getting twitchy for a 100 pt game. It will come, but will it be in time to save the Pirates sinking season? Quincy Enunwa and the Jets are on a bye for Paul this week, but expect the Jets to be dropped in the morning, assuming there’s is anyone Paul can see his way to picking up. Those 2 byes should not pose too much of a problem, though the Vikings early season DST dominance seems to have faded fast. TY Hilton and Travis Kelce are the best ranked players this week though Matt Stafford looks none too shabby either at QB. Elsewhere there are certainly yds and TDs, pretty much everyone is a starter and there’s no one here who we’d expect to be limited to 40 yds or less. TDs will be the big bonus, and there’s plenty of chances of that in the Pirates lineup.

187s have bye week misery with 5 players out for week 11. Fortunately its not a divisional game for Coach Euan, though whether that’s luck or judgement I’ll leave to you to decide. Three wins on the bounce have to give Euan some confidence going in to this match, a win would just about see them through on a wildcard, but those bye week missed players are going to really hurt the scoreline. Whether there is anyone on the waivers to plug the skills gap will be up to Euan, or he could just ride out the storm and hope for a win in the next 2 divisional games. Ivory and White have got to be good for maybe 120 yds between them, a TD perhaps an unexpected bonus. Odell Beckham and Kelvin Benjamin could of course soak up any lost yards to third string RBs so its not all bad news for the 187s, both of them have just about held on to their 10 pt averages for the season.

It could go to the 187s but the signs point for a favourable wind for the Pirates.

What does the rest of the league want? 187S are nearly through – so another win for them leaves the door open for the wildcard teams.

Avengers at Tigers

5-5 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 4-6 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 10 by a 23.84 point effort from Cam Newton.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 10 by a 20.40 point effort from Antonio Brown.

Last but not least its the Avengers Tigers matchup. Avengers have to be a wee bit sore at losing last week with a decent enough score, though they were nly 5th top scorer in the week. Cam Newton is still the fit and forget QB, but those hits are still doing the damage, and so he could come to nothing in any week, so could every other QB though and he shows no sign of being stopped in his running ways. David Johnson was outgunned last week by Zeke Elliot, but that wont bother Stuart this week – any score above 20 will be a big bonus for the Avengers. Mike Evans and Jimmy Graham have the chance to score well too this week, so there’s plenty for Stuart to look out for.

However, the Tigers actually have 3 #1 ranked players to start this week, Tom Brady, Antonio brown and Steven Gostkowski. Gostkowski’s rank perhaps counts not quite in the same league as Brady’s and Brown’s but nevertheless that’s a formidable stat and one that no one else has repeated this season. Unfortunately, there are some bye week holes elsewhere in the tam, and particularly at RB we could see a bit of a struggle, perhaps 15 yds between them and maybe a TD too – that would leave Brady and Brown to have just ‘average’ weeks in order to get the Tigers to regulation. Nicky needs a DST but the waivers will surely provide something with at least 5 pts, so there’s little to worry about there, with onyl 12 bucks left though – Nicky may want to save some cash and wait till the open Waiver section.

So, although this is a non divisonal game, it could actually put either of these teams at the top of their divisions, so all to play for – though Nicky has those #1 players, Stuart is close behind at those positions and has the advantage nearly everywhere else, so we’ll give it to the Avengers.

What does the rest of the league want? Avengers are at the bottom of TJ Hooker but could still get in the wildcard mix – so the rest of the league maybe hoping for a win from Tigers.

And that’s the lot – 2 more weeks of regulation, before the season is officially over for 6 teams

 

View From the Pit 2016 week 10

Week 10 has arrived, and what a week.

What can you say, its just such as shock but at the same time so inevitable. How did we get here, how did some guy who’s just breezed though his entire career, ridden rough shod over everyone he deals with and been pretty much a tax exile go on to win? But enough about Jimmy, lets get to this weeks action.

Chargers and Falcons both got 43 points on the board but we’ve had the Falcons twice so lets go with this for the chargers:

time for this weeks match ups.

Panthers at Jaguars

4-5 Pilton Panthers face off against the 9-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 9 by a 18.70 point effort from Philip Rivers, Pilton Panthers can expect a 16.58 point effort from Philip Rivers in week 10.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 9 by a 26.18 point effort from Aaron Rodgers, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars can expect a 21.81 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 10.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 1-5-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Rab is next to face the so far unstoppable Jags. He’s picked a really bad week to do it though as 4 of his players are on a bye week. Panthers are really struggling to get anything on the board at RB this week and really need to hope that Rivers can get it going on in the air and that his wideout pairing of Jordy nelson and Jarvis Landry get at least 3 Tds between them – if that doesn’t happen its surely curtains for Rab’s Panthers. Rivers has a decent chance against a sub perfect Dolphins D so there is a chance for a 25+ score there, but that is about it. The Chiefs DST have been a reasonable source of points too though – and seem more than capable of scoring some defensive Tds, Rab’s gonna need them.

Jimmy breezed through his big bye week and is getting close to being back to full strength. Aaron Rogers and AJ Green were good pickups at the appropriate point in the draft, and are proving their worth but Tyler Eifert could be a secret weapon here, coming off a bye week but before that a 100yd and a TD game, lots of stories reckon he’s back for good. Frank Gore is a loss at RB on his bye week for sure – but there should be more than enough points to make up for his place in the rest of the team.

This looks like just another walk in the park for Jimmy – but surely his luck has to run out sometime.

187s at Tigers

6-3 Kelso 187’s challenge the 4-5 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 9 by a 32.10 point effort from Melvin Gordon. Kelso 187’s can expect a 17.67 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 10.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 9 by a 22.54 point effort from Jameis Winston. Tranent Tigers can expect a 21.14 point effort from Tom Brady in week 10.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

This matchup is all square after 2 years, and both teams could do with a win – Kelso could just about clinch the playoffs, or at least have set themselves up for a decent run at the divisional games. Tigers need a couple more wins to put themselves in pole for Shatner.

187s look solid this week ,Michael Crabtree on a bye but he’s been up and down like a yo yo anyway. The rest of the team are ranked about half in the top 10 and half in the 20’s, which is not too shabby. Perhaps a dilemma at flex – which could make all the difference of course. Personally I’d go with Chris Ivory over Tim Hightower, his numbers have not been stellar, but he’s been really hit by fumbles over the last 4 weeks which surely is more bad luck than a lack of skill. You’ve got to wonder if Euan knows something we don’t if he is sticking with the Giants D – there are better chances at points still on the wire

Tigers also have a decent lineup choice for week 10, no one on a bye so Tom Brady and Antonio Brown should lead out the Tigers to another 95 pts plus week. RB and TE are the shonkiest of the Tigers team, but even there there’s probably 250yds and a TD between them. Kapri Bibbs is the surprise package here, up off the waivers there’s lots of thought that he could be jumping up the depth chart in Denver, if that were to happen then it could be Grrrrreeeeaaaat for those Tigers.

All in all this looks fairly close, but the Tigers stats edge it. It could be a fascinating game with Devontae Booker on one side and Bibbs on the other – my bet is that the match up will be decided by no more than the difference in their scores – so whoever manages to convince Rick Dennison to give them more carries will decide the game. In fact the Denver at New Orleans game has nearly all the action worth anything in this match up – so expect both coaches to be glued to their seats Sunday form 6.

69ers at Bohemians

5-4 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 4-5 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 9 by a 17.10 point effort from Julio Jones. In addition, DeMarco Murray was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 14.00points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured toe, which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 15.20 point effort from Carson Palmer in week 10.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 9 by a 26.28 point effort from Russell Wilson. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 17.24 point effort from Russell Wilson in week 10,

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Its still hard to work out why the 69ers are just 5-4 – they have the second highest total score, and have faced the 4th lowest points against – so where does it go wrong in those off weeks? The problem is the boom or bust nature of the team, TD dependence across the board means that the week 4 huge total has skewed the stats somewhat. Still, every one of the team are ranked within the top 20 and over half in the top 10 – so there’s always a chance for another monster score. Luck and Vinatieri are on byes so it’s second string QB Carson Palmer that’s will get the start, he’ s had a few good weeks so far and has a decent match up against the 49ers in week 10. Julio Jones is still ranked highly at WR, and he needs Matt Ryan to continue his run of from as much as Pickaxe do.

Bohemians just haven’t really got started this year. This could have something to do with having 6 RBs who’ve played for the team with an average score of over 12 – but only 3 of them are still on the roster, perhaps Ally finally realising that he can only use 3 at a time. The scoring history page on MFL looks more like a game of battleships with all the wee x’s for players that have been moved on. Ally is likely to keep on streaming this week though and its worked well enough to keep him in with a good chance at the playoffs.

All in all, this is the best ranked match up across the whole league, with both teams likely to score over 100 one of them goes away disappointed, and the Pit prediction is for that to be Ally this week.

Avengers at Pickaxe

5-4 Kelsae Avengers play the 3-6 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 9 by a 30.70 point effort from Latavius Murray. With Murray on bye in week 10, they’ll need to count on their second-string RB to carry the team this week. In addition, Jeremy Maclin was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 0.00points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured groin , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 20.90 point effort from David Johnson in week 10.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 9 by a 28.76 point effort from Matt Ryan. In addition, Antone Smith was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed4.20 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 18.70 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 10.

Avengers could be the big loser in the league this year – with Jimmy sewing up his place in the playoffs Stuart and Stuart have to tough it out not just with each other but also with the other second place finishers across the league. Avengers have the 4th best score in the league, more than fog – but of course Fog have that all important divisional win over the mighty Avengers. Avengers Stu really has to make these last couple of games count. Latavius Murray is a bit of a loss this week, after last week’s 30 pt monster, but David Johnson is averaging nearly 20 pts a game, so there’s not too much to miss, the 3rd string RBs will only need to get 50yards or so if Johnson brings his A game. At WR its asimilar story, Mike Evans looks set to gain enough points so that the WR2 and Flex need only just about turn up.

Coach Gav is proper Ragin’. A top 3 scoreline, but facing the most points in the league by pretty much a whole games worth. Sitting at 3-6 is just not where this team should have been – there’s been some injuries, and its unlikely a Buccs RB will get anywhere near the Pickaxe roster next year, but even with those injuries, Pickaxe have been up to regulation points nearly every week. For 6 weeks now though they’ve face unstoppable luck for their opponents. That has to stop sometime but will it be in time to make the playoffs. Those 2 divisional victories in the early weeks will help – but Pickaxe have to get to 6-7 at the very least to stand a chance. Lucky talisman Zeke Elliot has been scoring well for the Cowboys, but how can you plan for him doing so well that he’s taken off in the 4th because they simply don’t need him any more!

Ah well, this game is the turning point for either of these teams, and really it surely has to be a week for the Pickaxe.

Fog at Earthquakes

5-4 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 1-8 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 9 by a 19.00 point effort from Jay Ajayi, w In addition, Matt Forte was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed15.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.24 point effort from Joe Flacco in week 10.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 9 by a 29.10 point effort from Mark Ingram. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 16.82 point effort from Jay Cutler in week 10.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

Fog are having a decent season, but still have a lot of work to do to qualify – almost certainly needing another 2 victories, 6-7 wont cut it in second place unless other games go their way. Derek Carr on a bye is a week having had a bit of a nightmare outing last week – not even making 10. Joe Flacco is the streamer of choice coming out for the Fog – Stuart has to hope he’s up to the challenge, he’s ranked 15th this week which is probably the best you can hope for a streamer with so many teams stashing 2 QBs. Jay Ajayi and Devonta Freeman are the best pair of RBs in the EFFL this week – neither is ranked super high – but both have a good chance at 15-20 pts, and surely they have a 10 pt floor barring injury. Gronk will bolster the scoring at TE for sure, its really only at WR that Stuart has any worries, but Edelman and Beasley both have 50 yards in them and perhaps at least 1 TD between them.

Quakes winning ways lasted just 1 whole week. Cozy has had no luck at all this season, and unfortunately that looks likely to continue for week 10 Sanders and Montgomery at WR are the only 2 lights in what appears to be a very dark tunnel for the Quakes. They are both ranked higher than any of Stuarts WR, but only just and even then – its more like 8 points each plus maybe a bonus TD. I’m being a little unfair – Jonathan Stewart and Mark Ingram would be snapped up by anyone should they fall on to the wire – they are just not quite as likely as Stuart’s pairing to get those all important TDs. Really though – there’s only a few yards in it, so if either team has a low TD week – it’s anyone’s game.

The stats say Fog for sure – but a win for Cozy would keep both Kirk and Uhura Interesting, so lets go with that.

Pirates at Fire

5-4 Tweedbank Pirates face off against the 3-6 Fife Fire at Balbirnie Stadium.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 9 by a 23.22 point effort from Colin Kaepernick. In addition, Todd Gurley was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 7.40 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured thigh , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 16.99 point effort from Andy Dalton in week 10.

Fife Fire were led in week 9 by a 24.72 point effort from Drew Brees. Fife Fire can expect a 17.91 point effort from Drew Brees in week 10.

Last but not least its the Pirates who are riding the crest of their wave at the top of Kirk division at Fire who are decidedly a damp squib at the bottom of TJ Hooker, and sitting on $92!

Pirates have had a couple of very bad weeks and though they are still in front in Kirk – they need this victory to see themselves through to the divisional weeks. Starting at the bottom, the Vikings are not ranked #1 dst for about the first time this year ,no need to panic though Paul as they are still 3rd and likely to keep most of their 10 starting points intact. Larry Fitzgerald is perhaps the best ranked of the outfield Pirates, but although they are not all top 10 – they have a real consistency across RB and WR – there’s no stand outs this week, but neither are there any real duds at least a couple of them should be getting a TD and we can imagine a good 60 yard average for RBs WRs TEs and Flex – so that’s a good 55 -60 points secured there. Andy Dalton looks set for a 18-22 pt game so Paul is looking at the best part of his regulation 95 pts without having to rely on too much luck at all.

Shaun’s Fire are really going to miss Theo Riddick and Marvin Jones this week, the 2 outfield players that have kept an average over 10 on the Fire Roster. Drew Brees should keep them in the game but elsewhere its reliant on DeAndre Hopkins and Doug Baldwin to get all of the receiving action in their games or this points tally is going nowhere fast. The whole outfield looks to be averaging more like 40 yds and less chance of TDs than the Pirates so Shaun’s Fire really needs a good bit of luck to win this week. Delanie Walker and Steve Smith are ranked just higher than their Pirates counterparts, and if either of them get a TD it will make the scoreline more flattering for Fire. Shaun’s one lifeline is that Pirates have been TD dependent.

The Pit is going with the stats though – and that’s Pirates all of the way.

And we are done for the week

View From the Pit 2016 – week 9

Week 8 is over, and one of our mammoth streaks is finally over. Unfortunately for everyone else, its the losing streak that is over, meaning we are back, just about, to having 12 horses in the race. Jimmy is guaranteed a playoff spot now with his 8 victories. The rest of the league is still wide open and there’s not much more we’ll know till at least a couple more weeks when the divisional games start up again.

New England got a massive 40 points last week, and really is there any other song to choose than this one. I’ll make an exception for my rule against live versions for this one. 

Back to our action

Tigers at Jaguars

4-4 Tranent Tigers play the 8-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 8 by a 30.10 point effort from Tom Brady, but he’s on a bye in week 9, they’ll need to count on their second-string QB to carry the team this week.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 8 by a 33.84 point effort from Aaron Rodgers, who got by the.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 0-2-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Can Nicky be the one to finally put a stop to the Jags. Jimmy has a few bye week worries again, with his New England and Cincinnati studs on a bye week for a start. That means he’s either going to have to pick up some randoms on the waivers (though with only $5 that could be a problem or go with what he has and some players ranked down in the 40s. It’s a tougher choice than it might appear, will he go for extending the unbeaten run or just consolidate for his guaranteed playoff berth. Nicky has to hope for the latter, but Jimmy is nothing if not a competitor, so expect some movement tomorrow- even if it is after 10.00. with the Cards on a bye at the very least he needs a DST.

Tigers now lead Shatner division after last weeks win, but its a shoogly peg as far as the stats go as he is also struggling with 4 players on a bye. At least the Tigers have a full lineup if Nicky decides to ‘wait out the storm’ of his monster bye week. Jamies Winston seems a good enough sub at QB and Nicky would struggle to beat his prospects on the wavers. WRs Antonio Brown and Demaryius Thomas still look starter worthy – Though Browns numbers will be affected by a fully fit or not Big Ben at QB for the Steelers. Isaiah Crowell and Ryan Matthews look good enough for 2 RB starters and surely there is 20 points plus between them. All in all a team that looks capable of anywhere between 80 – 110 points, the bottom end of which might not be enough to win – but surely the top end would – the choice is Nicky’s whether to go for broke on the waivers.

The stats say Nicky for this one, and the Pit is going with that – but there are no guarantees.

Pirates at 69ers

5-3 Tweedbank Pirates face off against the 4-4 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 8 by a 20.46 point effort from Andy Dalton. With Dalton on bye in week 9, they’ll need to count on their second-string QB to carry the team this week. In addition, Larry Fitzgerald was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 7.40 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 8 by a 19.40 point effort from Andrew Luck, who got by t.  Was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 18.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured toe , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a 0-4-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

Pirates are sitting comfortably on top of Kirk Division but there is no room for complacency, coming off a defeat and with another week of bye week woes. Paul has shored up the team again this morning on the FCFS waivers, wisely saving his bucks for maybe a more important week – either that or he was just outbid for a stud like most everyone else. Gurley and Hilton should lead the scoring as RB1 and WR1 for the Pirates – both are ranked comfortably in the top 10 and should get 20 pts plus between them – Tds a bonus. Kelce could be the ace in the hole for Paul – but as usual as a TE he will be very TD dependent – expect 80 yds though, enough to make up for perhaps a few yards short for RB2 and WR2. The real choice for Paul is flex – Perhaps the fairly consistent Darren Sproles or hot hand WR Quincy Enunwa, Sproles maybe due a TD where Enunwa has had his share? Tough call, and will come down to a bit of luck.

Richie’s 69ers have got to be disappointed at sitting at 4-4 when they have the second highest total in the league. Tough to swallow but Richie will just have to suck it up and get on with it this week. With a massive 5 players on bye (2 of them TEs!) you would think this was the chance for those pirates to steal the some thunder? It looks good for the 69ers though – niners players consistently outrank the Pirates everywhere except TE and DST – though the Vikings have shown that they are capable of making up in special teams what a fantasy team might be lacking in skill players. Julio Jones is ranked #1 WR – with the likelihood of at least some playing time for Ben Roethlisberger that seems justified, but it is a short week and a Thursday night game, so nothing guaranteed. Even with this monster bye week, Richie is still able to put up a decent team

Really you cant see past the 69ers in this game.

Bohemians at Fog

3-5 Earlstonian Bohemians face off against the 5-3 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 8 by a 13.60 point effort from Stefon Diggs. In addition, Spencer Warewas not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 4.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 8 by a 36.82 point effort from Derek Carr. Jacquizz Rodgers was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 13.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured foot , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

Bohemians, whether by luck, bad planning or just through playing the long game, have ended up with 5 players on a bye. There’s a team to play, but its pretty rag tag and will take some luck to get over the finish line. Despite last weekends bravado on having faith in, then completely disowning Russell Wilson, he’s still the top choice for coach ally – perhaps there was just nothing better on the waivers or maybe his erratic numbers suit the Bohemian lifestyle? Whatever, there’s better players in the lineup who could score more too. Le’Veon bell is the first and most obvious of those – expect another 150 yd game with a TD or 2 if he’s lucky on top. Spencer Ware, Peyton Barber and DeAngelo Williams surely have 30 pts between them – but one of them needs to be on the bench – who that will be is up to coach Ally, WRs have a chance at TDs as every week – but without those its looking like 12 – 15 pts between them.

Fog also have some waiver woes. Gronk is surely the biggest loss, Jack Doyle broke out in week 7 but failed to live up to the hype in week 8 – he’s ranked highly but will need to have luck on his side in Green Bay. Freeman and Forte at RB look the best pairing across the league this week, both with great chances for both yards and TDs, expect them to be the hub for scoring in the Fog lineup . However, Edelmann and Floyd will be a big gap at WR as they are both on Byes – there could be precious little at WR here- likely less yds than the Bohos and less chance of TDs – there’s no points for a half chance at a TD though – so if Fog can repeat last weeks endzone glory days Stuart will be on a winner.

The stats say Bohos for this one – but its closer than it might appear.

Pickaxe at 187s

3-5 Nitten Pickaxe, who hope to end their 5 game losing streak, play the 5-3 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 8 by a 24.42 point effort from Matt Ryan.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 8 by a 27.28 point effort from Dak Prescott.

Nitten Pickaxe hold a 0-2-0 all-time series recordagainst Kelso 187’s.

Pickaxe Pickaxe Pickaxe, the season started so well but this middle phase will be best forgotten. Pickaxe have faced the most points against by quite some distance though – and even with injuries and byes have stayed close to the 100 pt mark – so there’s wins to come from the Nitten crew. Jeremy Hill is on a bye week, and Gav’s RB squad is not the deepest – Smith or Asiata will get the call to suit up this week – Smith perhaps guaranteed at least a few carries for the Buccs in their likely RBBC setup. Asiata will get a boost if Jerrick Mckinnon is out for another week and would probably get the nod if that is the case. Dez Bryant was back with a vengeance last week – collecting a cool 100 yds and a TD – seems that soupfingergate has come to nothing. Brandin Cooks is proving a worthy backup too getting his regulation 10 in the last 3 games.

187s are sitting atop TJ Hooker and coming off a win. There’s some points here for sure, Dak Prescott is pretty good so far this season and shows no sign of letting the pressure get to him. That’s certainly interesting in this matchup though as Gav will score points for quite a lot of Dak’s successes though Bryant and Elliot. Devontae Booker, Melvin Gordon and Odell Beckham are the core of the team this week and should see a combined score of 45 plus – with at least a couple of TDs between them. There’s a bit of choice at Flex, not least waiver pickup Tim Hightower who could be in line for a fair few carries after coming in for the fumbling Mark Ingram.

All in all this is a decent scoring contest – making it tougher to predict – but the Pickaxe boys have it on the strength of Matt Ryan and Zeke Elliot.

Fire at Panthers

3-5 Fife Fire face off against the 3-5 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Fife Fire were led in week 8 by a 20.70 point effort from Drew Brees.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 8 by a 15.40 point effort from Mike Gillislee. In addition, DeSean Jackson was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed4.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured head , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Down at the more dusty end of the league – we have two teams with losing records- so at least one of them gets a boost this week coming closer to getting in to the black. Fire need a kicker before Sunday, but that shouldn’t be a problem – plenty of 5-10 players sitting on the waivers. Fire have a big edge at RB when the Panthers look to WRs to get all their points. Both Teams have pretty big bye week troubles with at least 3 players out on both sides.

Shaun’s Drew Brees is a little erratic this season, but that’s only really in how much over 18 pots he gets – which is a pretty safe place for a QB. Carlos Hyde and Theo Riddick are perhaps not the 2 top 5 RBs you’d wish for at this stage in the season, but they are more than capable of 100 yds each plus a TD so plenty of scope for points. WR is a little lighter, Baldwin and Jones are perhaps looking at 6-8 receptions between them – as long as they get a couple of 30 yarders that should see them reach a decent enough total of 15-20 and any TDs will be a bonus.

Rab’s Panthers will need some luck to beat the Fire- Jordy Nelson can provide some of that though – along with Jarvis Landry there should be 25 -30 pts at WR for Rab. RB is a bit of a struggle, and flex is the choice of a few second string or even third string players. Even with those woes, there is plenty of chance for a TD, if not mammoth yardage at RB. Gary Barnidge surely will not go the whole season without a TD – could be this week.

A tough match to call – but the Fire have the advantage of slightly more consistency and low floor, leaving Rab needing just a bit more luck than Shaun if he’s to win.

Earthquakes at Avengers

1-7 Earlston Earthquakes play the 4-4 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 8 by a 23.30 point effort from Amari Cooper. In addition, Alex Smith was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 9.98 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured head , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 8 by a 12.78 point effort from Cam Newton.

Last but not least the Earthquakes have finally got their win. There’s still a chance to qualify too – but things really have to go Chris’ way for that to happen. Getting a QB is the first priority before any thoughts of the playoffs – there’s guaranteed to be a 20 point plus QB on the waivers, but who is it to be? Tannehill, Fitzpatrick, Bradford – or maybe get a trade in with someone with 2 QBs, needs to go through now though. Chris also needs a kicker, but that will be easier to find. Jerrick McKinnon says he’s back – but the rankings don’t agree, it will be up to Chris to decide what is best for the Quakes, but Stewart and Ingram could be better plays even if he’s fully fit. Sanders and Cooper will surely get the start at WR and should get 15-20 pts. Quakes have to play for pride at least – and it may be time to shake things up a bit further still.

Avengers are sitting level pegging but talisman David Johnson is on a bye this week after a slightly disappointing outing last week – only in comparison to his host of 20 pt games though – he;s reached his regulation 10 pretty much all season. Avengers pulled the trigger on Charcandrick West this morning – there must have been at least a couple of other bids but coach Stuart had the deepest pockets. He’s certainly got a chance to prove his worth to the Chiefs, but may only get a week to do it. If he gets over 100 yds this week he will be hard to shift from at least a decent number of snaps going forward, and Stuart has to hope for that too. Mike Evans and Jordan Matthews are not perhaps in the same league as each other in terms of capability – but Matthews can certainly bolster the WR numbers even when Evans takes all the glory – expect 30 pts between them. Jimmy Graham has been a bit quiet after a couple of great weeks, he’ll need to do more if he’s to get a shot at draft pick of the year – but with a couple of TDs he has a shot at that still.

A balanced game, but without a QB and a Kicker to look at the crystal ball says avengers all the way.

View From the Pit 2016 Week 8

We are officially over half way to the playoffs. If you are in the black now – you are well on your way to getting it done and having a shot at the title – remember that the runner up only has to get beat once!

Last week saw a couple of teams  get 34 points the Colts and the Buccs, not making it easy to choose a tune, but here goes

Its time to go disco with this for the Bucs:

Many many songs about horses, I’ll resist the urge to put my lovely horse in here and go with this instead:

Anyway, back to our own action, where are we now?

Fog at Pickaxe

the 4-3 Fog on the Tyne play the 3-4 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 7 by a 27.60 point effort from Jay Ajayi. With Ajayi on bye in week 8, they’ll need to count on their second-string RB to carry the team this week. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.45 point effort from Derek Carr in week 8.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 7 by a 25.20 point effort from Jeremy Hill.

Fog on the Tyne hold a 4-1-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

This is a bit of a grudge match for Gav – just one victory in 5 meets over the last 3 seasons. However, with key players coming back from injury and bye weeks Pickaxe could be up to full strength.

Stuarts Fog are on a wee bit of a roll, with 2 victories and some decent depth with points on the bench too. Jay Ajayi on a bye has to hurt a bit but there are still 3 Rbs ranked in the top 10 to choose from so they should be select and forget for at least 35 between them. WR is a bit more problematic and Stuart will have to select his 2 or 3 carefully. Derek Carr looks to be a good option at QB, a streamer is possible but that would be a bold move, Carr looks set for a solid 20 point game. As ever ,the Gronk is the not so secret weapon here, and may make up for any deficiencies at WR.

Gav will be pleased to have a bit more of a proper starter squad, though fill in players did OK last week, Matt Asiata in particular could be a lucky waiver pick as he seems to be getting plenty of goal line carries, though he couldn’t convert from 2 tries from 3 and 1 yard last week. Dez Bryant is a wee bit unknown, he should be back but there is no guarantee that he will be fully fit – and cutting himself making soup wont have helped – we’ve all done it i guess, but surely a WR’s hands are worth a bit more than mine! Big Ben could be out for a while, a tough decision on whether to drop him, but Matt Ryan should be able to cover the gap – 14 pts last week wasn’t great, but this week should see a bounce back. Finally, big Zeke is back in action, and hoping to continue his run of 100yd games.

Game to watch – apart form the Washington v Bengals match in London (where Stuart currently has no interest, Washington DST maybe?) the other game will be the packers Falcons game, with Matt Ryan and Devonta Freeman both expected to score well, it will be a case of seeing is the Packers can keep up – forcing Ryan to throw.

187’s at Bohemians

the 4-3 Kelso 187’s play the 3-4 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 7 by a 30.10 point effort from Melvin Gordon.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 7 by a 22.94 point effort from Kirk Cousins.

Kelso 187’s hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

187s and the Bohos are both coming off a disappointing loss and both have some serious bye issues.

187s coach Euan may feel that is is finally time to drop Eli Manning – his bye week and some really sub par performances surely make him a candidate to cut loose. Tough call – but maybe Dak Prescott on the waivers will be a better option? Melvin Gordon and James white will be the likely RBs, not superstars but a healthy 15 points guaranteed. WR should be Crabtree and Benjamin, with another in at flex. There are points to gain in all of the skill positions, but no one here is guaranteed their regulation 10 – so if any of them struggle Euan will need TDs to save the day

Bohemians just could not finish the job, LeGarrette Blount on the Bench will haunt not just Ally but the rest of the league for a while, as it set Jimmy to 7-0 by less than half a point. Its a new week though and Ally has a decent chance against a weakened 187s team. He still has 3 RBs in the top 10 for week 8 despite the loss of LeVeon Bell to a bye – just get over yourself and play Blount – you’ve been down on him since you ‘accidentally’ played him in week 2 for 18 points! Half the league wish they had these problems.,.,Jeffrey and Diggs should get 15- 20 between them so with the RBs we should see Ally well over the regulation for outfield points. Ally needs a DST this week – the question is will he go for that in the waivers or wait till a later 1 buck round, maybe trying to pick up a WR? We’ll find out in the morning.

Game to Watch – it looks like the Pats Bills game will hold most of the attention for these 2, though of course it is possible the Euan’s QB and Ally’s DST will end up playing each other, whoever they are.

Fire at Earthquakes

3-4 Fife Fire, face off against the 0-7 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

Fife Fire were led in week 7 by a 24.68 point effort from Drew Brees.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 7 by a 17.26 point effort from Alex Smith.

Earthquakes, Earthquakes, Earthquakes – what can you say? Well although a playoff berth may be very hard to reach – Cozy can at least console himself with the fact that he’s been up against the most total points all season – effectively like playing the niners or the Jags all year – that’s tough to swallow, but the team just haven’t performed. The Quakes honour is surely too great to let just let the season go – and that would be a shame as there’s points here for sure – they just have never come in the same week – 15 boom or bust players will do that. We can only hope that the likely starters of Ingram Stewart, Cooper and Sanders perform.

Fire had a decent victory over Pickaxe last week – it was looking shaky until the end of the Sunday early game but the stats won out in the end. There are some bye week problems here, Carlos Hyde and Mike Davis for a start – but Shaun should be able to fill those dropped points with a good WR matchup team this week, DeAndre Hopkins and Doug Baldwin should get over 25 between the pair and the second string RBs will certainly not be left pointless – so expect a reasonable 40 points form the 4 skill position starters, Marvin Jones will likely be in at Flex, and he’s no slouch this week either, Drew Brees comes off the back of a good performance.

Overall, Chris’ Quakes will need some waiver wire magic to win this week – but with nothing to lose, maybe that will free him up to go boom/bust all the way? Whatever, the stats say Fire but does anyone want to see someone go 0-8?

Game to watch- Packers Falcons for Sure – the battle of the DSTs will seal the match

Jaguars at Pirates

the 7-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars, challenge the 5-2 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 7 by a 24.74 point effort from Aaron Rodgers.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 7 by a 20.32 point effort from Andy Dalton.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars hold a 1-3-0 all-time series recordagainst Tweedbank Pirates.

That’s interesting – is this Jimmy’s bogey team? Who knows but certainly the pirates are in with as good a chance as anyone to stop this insane run, well they would be if everyone wasn’t on a bye week – luck or judgement on Jimmy’s part, who can tell?

Jags looks to have a line-up despite some banged up players on the bench – having a full squad doesn’t normally stop Jimmy though so expect some movement on the waivers tomorrow. It wont be Aaron Rogers or AJ Green though – they have their squad places tied up for sure – Maybe a new WR or even a TE – but there’s little left in the cookie jar for Jimmy, (note to everyone else, pick up some players 😉

Paul is not able to put a full squad together as at Tuesday night – he’ll need to find a fit RB to make up the numbers – the waivers are extremely thin on the ground but there could be a deal done on the trades over the next couple of days. Paul’s WR and TE positions are well covered – there will be some TDs amongst the 4 of them for sure- perhaps over 40 points between them – Pirates will need that as they may struggle for 15 at RB. The Viks are on hand to buff up the numbers with their consistent DST performances though – and that could easily save the Pirates this week.

Potentially this is still a high scoring game- despite Paul needing to pick up a 5 point RB. The Pit can see this one going either way – but it is a Pirates win that most every one else wants.

Game to watch its the Washington Cincinnati game in London for sure with action on both sides.

69ers at Tigers

the 4-3 SanFran-Gordon 69ers challenge the 3-4 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 7 by a 27.82 point effort from Andrew Luck.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 7 by a 18.18 point effort from Tom Brady.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

69ers got back on track with a win last week, their points are still up there at the top of the board and the rankings look pretty good again – perhaps time for a new DST on the wire tomorrow – plenty available ranked above the Bills, especially with the Pats on a roll. There could be anywhere from 40-60+ points from Murray, Michael, Jones and Marshall leading the team out at WR and RB though all of them have had weak weeks. Andrew Luck is having a resurgence after a 3 week drought in the first month. There’s articles placing as possible season MVP again, so Richie has to be pleased that he’s stuck with it apart form one miss step putting Carson Palmer in a couple of weeks ago.

Tigers are having some ups and downs, last week was only their 4th opportunity to go over 100 points and they failed to take that chance, benching Devante Adams. Whether he can sustain that kind of form is debatable but leaving him out this week would be a bold decision for Nicky. Antonio Brown and Mike Wallace are on Byes this week leaving not a lot of choice for Nicky unless he goes to the waivers, but there are still players ranked in the top 20 or thereabouts to choose from so its not a disaster.

Tigers have a chance here, but the stats say its slim – unless none of Richie’s outfield players score this should go to the Niners

Game to watch – likely to change – but Nicky’s QB against Richie’s Dst would be the game as it stands, and really you can only see that going one way!

Panthers at Avengers

the 3-4 Pilton Panthers play the 3-4 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 7 by a 15.64 point effort from Philip Rivers.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 7 by a 24.00 point effort from the Philadelphia Eagles Defensive Team.

Panthers don’t have too many bye week worries – but a lot of Rab’s players have really tough matchups this week – non one is playing anyone ranked less than12 at stopping points in their respective positions . Jordy Nelson is perhaps the pick of the bunch ranked WR 13. Gary Barnidge has been a dependable 6 points all season which really is OK for a TE. Mason Crosby is the lone exception with a good match up and likely to get a few opportunities for both extra points and Field goals playing the Falcons.

Avengers are sitting this week with the #1 ranked RB and the #2 ranked WR and TE – Jimmy Graham is still putting 2 fingers up to the draft day naysayers. Coach Stuart has a lot to be thankful for this week, though there are still some tough looking match ups even for the #1 studs in the team. There’s no bye week worries and likely not a lot to waiver for this week – so its fit in Johnson, Murray and Mike Evans, sit back and watch the points roll in

the Pit has to give this one to the Avengers – and it could be a real pumping.

Game to watch – not a lot involving both teams, maybe the chiefs Colts game to see the the Chiefs can stop Jeremy Maclin getting the ball.

View From the Pit 2016 – week 7


Here we go then – the half way point of the regular season approaches and there’s still all to play for – even for Cozy, though of course he needs an epic run in to the play-offs.

Last week saw both Jimmy and Chris extend their runs – Jimmy is 6 to the good whilst Chris is yet to record a victory

 

Last week the Bills got a massive 45 points:

We’ll start with the league bookends again as these may have the most interest for everyone.

Bohemians at Jaguars

3-3 Earlstonian Bohemians play the 6-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 6 by a 29.80 point effort from Lamar Miller.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 6 by a 19.60 point effort from Coby Fleener.

Ally’s Bohos are in with a good shout to finally end Jimmy’s run. Bell, ware, Miller or Blount – pick 3 and forget about it as far as Rbs are concerned – of course one of them will get more Tds than the others and you don’t want him on the bench but whatever – there should be 40 points between them in yards and maybe 3 Tds as well. Jeffrey and Benjamin look a little less stellar at WR but still within the top 20 this week – so expect another 20 pts plus here. All in that is a very healthy outfield. currently, Jimmy has the advantage at Kicker, DST and QB, but Ally has been streaming them all season in any case, so it could all change come the morning

Jimmy is still sitting on top of the pack, last week was a wee blip though – even starting his optimal line-up he didn’t make the magic 95 points – for the sake of the league this has to happen in a week his opponent fires on all cylinders. Could that be the Bohos? This is going to be a high scoring game without a doubt – Jimmy has no one raked outside of the top 20 this week and that means the potential for big scores. Those rankings as ever, are misleading though – as they are based on percentage likelihood of Tds, of course you cannot score 50% of a TD, so there is massive room for error. Jimmy has the advantage at WR for sure – but those Rbs should be more likely to score consistently for ally – its the big plays that will be the game changers here – you’d expect the winner of this match-up to be at 120 or more.

The Pit will have to call it for the Bohos, but there is certainly no guarantee here.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Game to watch Chiefs Saints for sure – with plenty of action on both teams for both players.

Tigers at Earthquakes

Chris has really not lucked out at all this season, his team are fraying round the edges and just cannot get a break all together in the same week.

2-4 Tranent Tigers face off against the 0-6 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 6 by a 27.24 point effort from Tom Brady. Tranent Tigers can expect a 19.63 point effort from Tom Brady in week 7.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 6 by a 20.50 point effort from Jonathan Stewart. With Stewart on bye in week 7, they’ll need to count on their second-string RB to carry the team this week. In addition, Charles Clay was not injured before the start of his week 6 game, and contributed 5.20 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 7 due to an injured ankle.

For The Quakes, Jonathan Stewart was back with a vengeance last week and Amari Cooper is on a bit of a roll too. This team still has potential and it just needs a wee bit of luck to bring it all together at the right time. Of course, with Stewart now on a bye, they will have to dig deep to find a replacement. Expect bids for TE, K and DST in the morning or just after – those often forgotten places on the squad could make or break the Quakes this week. QB is also a streaming option for Chris, but there are only so many waivers and so much money you can spend – at least one of these places will have to wait until the FCFS phase.

Tigers are struggling too – even their potential points are looking like creeping above 100 just 3 times so far. Nicky wants this win as much as Cozy – perhaps more if the Quakes coach has already thrown in the towel? Surely not, there’s pride at stake. Nicky needs Tom Brady to continue his form coming back to the league – but where are the TDs everywhere else? Not a single player broke 10 pts last week for the Tigers, that will need to change for sure if he’s to beat the Quakes. Gostkowski and The Broncos are both ranked #1 this week at Kicker and DST, there’s no shame at all in winning from the less glorious positions, and both of these could really add some teeth to the Tigers bite.

The Pit has to see this as the turning point for Chris – its a win for the Quakes for sure.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 0-2-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

Game to watch: We are all over the place with this one, but I’d suggest that the Pats Steelers is the game to watch – with Big Ben out for the Steelers, Tom Brady is likely to get all the chances in the world to make scoring drives – Chris really needs the pair of these to be under 30 between them to have any chance at all.

Pickaxe at Fire

3-3 Nitten Pickaxe, who hope to end their 3 game losing streak, play the 2-4 Fife Fire at Balbirnie Stadium.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 6 by a 23.50 point effort from Brandin Cooks. In addition, Ben Roethlisberger was not injured before the start of his week 6 game, and contributed 9.56 points, but he’s listed as out in week 7 due to an injured knee.

Fife Fire were led in week 6 by a 32.60 point effort from Drew Brees. In addition, Carlos Hyde was not injured before the start of his week 6 game, and contributed 5.20 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 7 due to an injured shoulder.

Fire have picked the best week to take on the Pickaxe, with 3 of Gav’s studs on a bye, not that Dez Bryant was back anyway. Big Ben Roethlisberger is out for at least a few weeks by the sounds of it too – so it could be a bit of a struggle for the Pickaxe. There is hope though at both ends of the squad – QB and DST are both highly ranked for the week – Matt Ryan confounded his critics in the last 2 weeks, having had what many considered an easy start to the season – he’s come through that phase with ease and now faces a less than perfect Chargers DST. Elsewhere in the squad, Golden Tate may finally be living up to the promise, and Brandin Cooks seems back to winning ways – but will that be enough to prop up a really struggling set of RBs? Jeremy Hill just hasn’t been cutting it so far so unless something happens to the Bengals Giovani Bernard it could be a struggle to get 15 points between both RBs, Gav needs a sneaky poached TD.

Fire have the Firepower, Carlos Hyde and Marvin Jones perhaps the stars this week – but neither of them is top 10, so there is work to do here. Shaun is still to pick up a DST, but there should be something available that will guarantee 5 points, anything else will be a bonus. Delanie Walker and Drew Brees should be the heart of the team, there’s plenty of opportunity for Brees to get a decent score over 20 this week against the Chiefs, however to do that he’ll have to avoid interceptions, so expect lots of 15 yard plays, if Brees is forced to go longer, the chiefs are more than capable of stopping that dead, of course Brees shouldn’t do as badly as Fitzpatrick’s 6 interceptions a couple of weeks ago. Consistency has been the problem for Fire since week 1 – the yards are just about there, but the TDs just haven’t been coming, that has to change sometime though…

This could be a low scoring game – its not impossible that both QBs will score as much as the rest of their teams put together – but that’s not too likely, between the 12 outfield players there must be 3 of 4 TDs, it could balance out of course, but more likely someone will have a luckier week – Given Gav’s run of 3 duff weeks the Pit has to go with the Pickaxe.

Game to watch – Washington Detroit for sure – If Golden Tate can go on from his good form last week this game is going Gav’s way – if not then Shaun has it – a tense Sunday evening for both then.

69ers at Panthers

3-3 SanFran-Gordon 69ers challenge the 3-3 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 6 by a 20.30 point effort from Christine Michael. In addition, Carson Palmer was not injured before the start of his week 6 game, and contributed 12.42 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 7 due to an injured hamstring.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 6 by a 32.20 point effort from LeSean McCoy,

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 5-0-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

69ers Coach Richie has been pretty full of the joys when talking up his chances this week – no wonder though – he’s pretty much tied for top score over the first 6 weeks, and must be pretty mad to be just 3-3. consistency has been good for the niners all season, most weeks have had the possibility of over 100 points, and really you cannot argue with that. Poor decisions at starters can always hurt you though – and last week there were nearly 40 points left on the bench. This week sees the entire squad ranked #22 or below at respective positions – which of course leaves yet more dilemmas of who to start and who to bench – there’s guaranteed to be points left out this time around – but will there be enough in the starters. Demarco Murray and Christine Michael should be guaranteed a place and will repay that with some 200 yds and a TD between them for sure. Julio Jones should be well above 8 pots too – any TDs will be a bonus to his regulation 10 scored.

The Panthers have a wee mini streak going – Rab is doing his homework this season for sure, and bolstering an already stable team. As every year – Pip Rivers has been up and down – this week against the Falcons could be another shoot out and that works to Rab’s advantage, expect 20 pts or thereabouts for Rivers. Lesean McCoy has barely dropped below 15 points all season , there’s no reason for that top stop this week. Jordy Nelson has been less effective despite his top billing, but he’s due a decent match and no reason it couldn’t be against the Bears. Rab has the Chiefs as mentioned in the previous match-up – I’d suspect that any points they get are going to be for interceptions and sacks, rather than points blocked – you cannot see the Saints going less than 20 points.

Rab will score points for sure, but the stats say this is another week for Richie. Assuming he picks the right starters.

Game to Watch – Maybe Chargers Falcons – Pip Rivers and Julio Jones on opposite sides should be the big scorers of the week – if this match is one sided then it could seal the deal one way or the other,. Expect both coaches to be up till midnight to check on those scores.

187’s at Fog

4-2 Kelso 187’s face off against the 3-3 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 6 by a 33.20 point effort from Odell Beckham.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 6 by a 32.70 point effort from Jay Ajayi.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

187s have the dubious honour of having the worst average score of the 4 divisional leaders. No shame in that for sure but it does maybe show that there is work to do in getting this team up to speed. They’ve struggled to get their 100 points consistently, and the cracks need to be filled quickly – James White looks like a good pick-up though – Coach Gav cursing dropping him week 4 – Can the Patriots continue to provide 10 points plus to 4 outfield players? Melvin Gordon and Odell Beckham should be the heart of the scoring this week, and will likely get 30 points on the card between them White could add a few more – but expect him to be very up and down over the rest of the season, still worth a start though? Eli Manning is certainly not the top flight QB that Euan wants- but he should still be capable of 15- 20 points. So, all in there are 95 points plus on offer for the 187s this week.

Fog have also struggled, not least thanks to Derek Carr’s ups and downs. Devonta Freeman and Rob Gronkowski should put up some decent numbers in week 7, the Gronk is back to being consistently ranked #1 which will be a relief for coach Stuart. Its WR where The fog could struggle – with none of Stuarts ranked as high as Beckham or Crabtree on the 187s roster. RBs offer a more consistent point font though – and Fog will need all of his to be producing. Perhaps a choice at Flex, and I wouldn’t like to say which of Forte Johnson or Rogers should go in flex for Fog, maybe Forte will get options with Geno Smith taking over as Jets QB, or will he want to stake his claim by throwing all day?

All in the 187s have the advantage in this match up – their RBs are only just outranked by the Fog, and the WR should outscore the fog by 10 points.

Game to watch – there doesn’t seem to be any one game that stands out – maybe the Raiders Jags Game, but there could be points for both teams there, or none of course.

Pirates at Avengers

4-2 Tweedbank Pirates play the 3-3 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 6 by a 28.20 point effort from Matthew Stafford. In addition, Randall Cobb was not injured before the start of his week 6 game, and contributed 11.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 7 due to an injured back.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 6 by a 31.80 point effort from David Johnson. In addition, Jordan Matthews was not injured before the start of his week 6 game, and contributed7.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 7 due to an injured knee.

Last but not least this week, 2 teams riding high for different reasons after 6 weeks

Pirates are well in the black going 4 -2 – a loss last week due to a severe lack of TDs and just some bad luck. #Matt Stafford and Travis Kelce are both highly ranked this week and should see off the opposite numbers with ease, for the other skill positions it really is too close to call. Gurley and Hilton should be getting a TD between them, and you would put money on another one for at least 1 of RB2, WR2 and flex, but of course that can be blown away – yardage alone has not been enough to sustain this Pirates team who need those TDs to come every week – I’d say 2 for Stafford and 4 for the outfield would be enough to seal this for the Pirates.

On the other side – Avengers have reversed their poor start and are riding high on a 3 win streak to come back to all square – a play-off spot well within their grasp now. David Johnson and Mike Evans are surely the stars this week for the Avengers, the rest of the team making up the number but providing more than ample back up. Jimmy Graham is still proving perhaps the pick of the draft. Cam Newton and Alfred Morris on a bye is a bit of a pain for Stuart of course, but Marcus Mariota is all over the QB streamers lists – so shouldn’t see more than a tiny dent in the average QB score – he’s not rated as high as Stafford of course, but should be within 4 pts.

All in all, this looks close – The Avengers have it on the pure numbers- but the upside to the Pirates team is undeniable. The pit always goes with the stats though – so a win for Stuart.

Game to watch – maybe one of the DST games – as that could decide this fixture for sure – more likely Paul’s Vikings, as that is a bit more civilised than waiting up till 4 for the Seahawks