View From The Pit – Semi Final Week

Week 15 sees the EFFL semi final games. Pirates are still the favourites at this point, but with not a single game below 100 on the year, are perhaps overdue a bit of bad luck?

We’ll see, there’s some games on Saturday this week – don’t forget your lineups. That’s going to mean scores dotted about all over the weekend – we are not going to know much until Tuesday morning.

Pickaxe at Pirates

8-5 Nitten Pickaxe play the 9-4 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 14 by a 28.50 point effort from Todd Gurley. In addition, Alvin Kamara was not injured before the start of his week 14 game, and contributed 5.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 15 due to a concussion, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 21.15 point effort from Drew Brees in week 15.Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 14 by a 36.90 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins.  Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 19.25 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 15.

In week 6, Tweedbank Pirates defeated Nitten Pickaxe by 0.32 points, so coach Gav is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 2-3-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

That’s right 0.32 points in week six that should have been a 0.62 win for Pickaxe – with a wrongly attributed catch, Pickaxe would have the by and be playing someone else….yadda yadda yadda, who cares? This is where we are at. The leagues top scorer will take some beating, can the mighty Pickaxe be the ones to sink those Pirates?

QB:

Pickaxe got away with a disastrous score from Matt Ryan at QB last week, even after picking up Matt Stafford during the week – Stafford’s hand still seems to be causing some problems, though he is fit enough to play. This week Stafford is #9 whilst Ryan is #10 so a tough choice for coach Gav

Pirates have the option of playing just declared fit Aaron Rogers, he is good to go in week 15 and is highly ranked despite a few weeks off. Drew Brees is very hard to bench though – and is ranked higher in the week.

Pickaxe have a woeful history of QB numbers for the year, averaging well below 15, whilst Paul’s Pirates can boast upwards of 16 – it’s a slight advantage to the Pirates here.

RB

Gav’s Pickaxe have ended the season with a quartet of very serviceable running backs, any of Jordan Howard, Carlos Hyde Kenyan Drake or Alex Collins could have a 20 pt. game, the difficulty will be deciding which one to leave out of the team, they are all so closely ranked – between 8 and 16.

Paul has the full house though Todd Gurley is averaging 22, Alvin Kamara 20 and LeSean McCoy 16.5. He’s got this far without injury to any of them and that has to be good news, they are ranked an incredible 2,3,4 this week, its fit and forget for Paul, he could afford for one of them to have a dud game and still come out on top.

Paul is the on paper leader here, but Gav’s Quartet have hit their stride at just the right time, there’s nothing to say they wont equal or better last week’s performance.

WR

DeAndre Hopkins seems to be QB proof is last week is anything to go by. The third string QB in the Texans lineup may struggle a bit against the very tough Jags DST but there should still be enough targets to make his start worthwhile. Marvin Jones is ranked way down at 22, but is coming off a few good weeks, scoring well with receptions even if there has not been a TD.

Paul has Larry Fitzgerald and Jarvis Landry averaging over 16 on the year, and both have a decent floor, expect them both to start this week and get a decent 30 points for Paul between them.

Its pretty even at WR, Gav has the 1 and 4 whilst Paul slots in the middle with 2 and 3 – this will come down to TDs – they’ll be really crucial at WR in particular in this semi

TE

Pickaxe suffered from a bit of miscommunication last week ,Zach Ertz was back, then he wasn’t, but all indications are that he’ll be playing this week and that should be good news for coach Gav, even with the loss of Carson Wentz at QB

Paul appears to be streaming Vernon Davis this week, a reasonable choice and someone more than capable of some big  numbers, he has a floor just over 8 on the season, which is more than good enough to get in most EFFL lineups.

Gav has an advantage here, though its not much

Kicker

Matt Prater and Kai Forbath have been pretty accurate, though both have missed field goals during the season. It will come down to opportunities. Both games have similar under overs at around 42-44, though the Vikings are due to score a couple more – overall score is not important for kickers, as of course field goals are where its at – both games are in Domes, so should not be affected by the weather.

DST

Both Gav and Paul have upgraded for this crucial matchup – Gav going for the Saints against the Jets whilst Paul has the Vikings at home to the Bengals. The jets are actually predicted to score a couple more points than the Bengals, but will be suffering under an unproven QB, which Gav has to hope gives some turnover opps, especially after blowing the waiver budget on a DST.

All together this is probably as close a match up as Gav could have hoped for, whist slightly thinner on the ground than Paul would have wanted. With a huge score on the year, Paul has to be favourite, but we are going to stick our necks out and say that the Pickaxe will get revenged for that robbed game in week 6 and win by a ingle TD.

 

187s at Tigers

7-6 Kelso 187’s challenge the 9-4 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 14 by a 19.00 point effort from Giovani Bernard. In addition, Josh McCown was not injured before the start of his week 14 game, and contributed -0.46 points, but he’s listed as out in week 15 due to an injured hand. Kelso 187’s can expect a 18.27 point effort from Keenan Allen in week 15.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 14 by a 32.30 point effort from Antonio Brown. Based on projections from Fantasy Sharks, Tranent Tigers can expect a 18.86 point effort from the Baltimore Ravens Defensive Team in week 15.

In week 4, Kelso 187’s defeated Tranent Tigers by 24.04 points, so coach Nicky is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

Tigers lost their regular season game to the 187s by some margin, have they got enough in the tank to overhaul them in the playoffs?

QB

Euan has had Dak Prescott over the year, and barring two weeks he’s scored well, they were pretty disastrous weeks, but it doesn’t look like that that performance will be repeated, expect closer to 20 pts this week

Mind you Nicky’s Cam Newton has not been totally consistent either, and he’s had a few more weeks around the 10 points than Dak’s couple of blips.

Expect both of these stud QBs to be fine for the week, though if either of them misfire it could be the end of their team.

RB

Neither team has stellar RBs. Euan is looking at Marshawn Lynch and Frank Gore – both averaging just 10 points or so this season. Giovani Bernard might be a better start if Joe Mixon can’t get through the concussion protocol during the week.

Nicky has Isaiah Crowell and CJ Anderson – ranked at 28 and 29 and neither averaging over 10. Bilal Powel and Orleans Darkwa are possibilities, but really they’d be a shot in the dark this week, Nicky has to hope that he can get a regulation 20 pts from Crowell and Anderson.

RB wise, a TD from any one of these 4 players would be a bonus and could really change the face of the game – perhaps Lynch is the most likely to achieve that advantage for Euan.

WR

187s have Keenan Allen, Dez Bryant and probably Josh Gordon at Flex. That’s a pretty healthy trio on any day. Allen is getting 17 pts a game with Dez on near 13, and 30 pts between them is exactly what Euan needs, any less will open the door for Nicky.

Nicky has the ace here, with Antonio Brown, one of the few players in the league with an average above 20 pts – however it’s a big jump down after that to Mike Wallace, averaging less than 10. Added to this is the problem of choosing either an average WR or and average RB at Flex, Kerwyn Williams may get the start there after a quick pick up this evening.

Antonio is the best there is, but its not enough on his own – Euan has an advantage overall here.

TE

Jason Witten will be a solid if not stellar starter for the 187s, there’s certainly no one better on the waivers, and with a 10 pt. average he should get a few on the board for Euan

Travis Kelce gets the nod for Nicky and its easy to see why with a 16 pt. average.

Nicky certainly has an advantage here, with the distinct possibility of a big score

Kicker

Greg Zuerlein is the better kicker in this matchup – and the Rams are predicted a close, reasonably high scoring game – which is always great for kickers.

Robbie Gould has a home advantage, but his game against the Titans is predicted a lower score, if still balanced – so there will be opportunities.

DST

187s have ended the season with the on fire Jaguars – a DST averaging over 13 pts a game is a season winner, so this will be a real asset for Euan in this semi final

The Ravens are close by though, and have massive potential, averaging 12 pts a game, even with 2 minus scores!

This game is looking like it could go anywhere, both teams have massive potential for success or failure, some of the most erratic players in the league. All in though, Euan has an advantage across the board, and should be through to the final come Tuesday.

Just one more week to go,

 

Advertisements

View From the Pit 2017 – Wildcard Week

The playoffs are here! It seems just yesterday that we were all at Pauls on a hot September day for the draft – but in fantasy terms at least, we are closer to the next draft than that one. For some that’s the next fantasy action they can hope for, though we do have our rookie draft some time earlier in the spring/summer.

Anyways, with just 4 teams playing this week there’s the irony of me having more time to go into depth about each game, but then only 3 folk to read it – 1st world problems and all that – or playoff qualifier problems I guess.

Let’s get started

Pickaxe at Fog

8-5 Nitten Pickaxe face off against the 8-5 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 13 by a 16.00 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins. In addition, Zach Ertz was not injured before the start of his week 13 game, and contributed 4.40 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 14 due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 18.14 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 14.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 13 by a 18.50 point effort from. Based on projections from Fantasy Sharks, Fog on the Tyne can expect a 16.66 point effort from Derek Carr in week 14.

In week 10, Fog on the Tyne defeated Nitten Pickaxe by 0.82 points, so coach Gav is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 1-6-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

I think I’m right in saying that Pickaxe have a 0-6 record against the Fog in regular season games (2 games in 2013), but a 1-0 in postseason. That’s some record for Stuart, but of course it’s those post season games that really count, and Gav’s name is already on the trophy.

How do they stack up this week?

QB

Pickaxe have Matt Ryan at home to the Saints. Ryan has simply failed to live up to expectations all year, being held to under 20 points in every single game. He’s ranked 12th overall QB this week and represents a poor investment over the year for pickaxe, however, there’s not much better on the waivers so the best Pickaxe can hope for is maybe 15 plus here.

Derek Carr at Kansas looks a not much better bet for Stuart’s fog. The Chiefs have let in a few points to QBs but Carr actually has a lower average than Matt Ryan over the year. Fog have the option of going with Andy Dalton at home to the bears, but the rankings say Carr all the way.

RB

Pickaxe chose very poorly last week in terms of the results themselves, with none of Gav’s 3 RBs coming in over 10 points whilst there were nearly 50 pts going begging on the bench. Those big games have shuffled the rankings somewhat for the week and Kenyan Drake has leapt to the top of the possibles for Pickaxe, he’s hosting the Patriots on Monday night and that should give him at least a few chances to score big points. Dion Lewis could be the other choice, and on the other side of the same game that could make for an interesting Monday night if Gav goes that way. Carlos Hyde and Jordan Howard, stars of the early season, have faded, particularly last week, but they are still on the mix at Houston and Cincinnati respectively.

Fog have Leonard Fournette against the Seahawks and Samaje Perine at the Chargers as their two most likely picks for RB. Fournette has been a safe bet all season and he’s started every game for Stuart. He’s the top scorer over the season and we’d expect that to continue were it not for the fact that the Seahawks have been one of the tougher defenses for RBs over the year. Samaje Perrine has done the rounds of the league, but Stuart may have picked him up at just the right time in week 12, he’ll be looking to build on two solid performances in the last fortnight and there could well be some chances for a score in LA, where the Chargers are sitting as the 11th most porous defense against RBs

WR

Pickaxe lost 1st round pick OBJ way back in week 5. DeAndre Hopkins has been a pretty decent sub at WR1 but consistent WR2 numbers have been harder to come by. Many folk thought that Hopkins’s numbers would plummet after the loss of Houston’s star QB, but in PPR he’s been a godsend to the Pickaxe roster, still getting masses of targets, and hauling in more than his fair share of short balls as well as one or two long ones each week. Marvin Jones has filled in pretty well after the loss of Beckham, but he seems to be very much at the mercy of the rest of the Lions team, he’ll either get all or nothing in terms of receptions, Tampa have let in the most points though, and that could work in Jones favour for this crucial match up.

Fog have Julio Jones in as their #1 receiver. He’s certainly capable of huge numbers, but in theory they could be tempered by Gav having QB Matt Ryan. That didn’t work so well the other week though, as Stuart got a huge 12 points or so from Jones when he took a pass from Atlanta’s #2 receiver Mohammed Sanu, Gav has to hope that no one else will fall for that trick play this season. Brandin Cooks is certainly not far behind and he’s playing Monday night in Miami. He’s’ been averaging some great numbers over the season, even if last week was a bit of a dip. Miami have been pretty mid-range when it comes to letting in pts from wideouts.

TE

Zach Ertz has been a great pickup for pickaxe, drafted in the 9th and playing as the most targeted TE all season. However, he’s taken a nasty knock to the head and will likely be in the concussion protocol for this weekend, leaving Gav to find a replacement at a position that is very hard to predict outside of the top 5.

Stuart has gone through a few TEs over the year, and has been left with Tyler Kroft for this crucial game. He’s ranked 15th of all TEs this week, and there might be slightly better on the waivers, with Gav’s TE potentially out, this could be a chance to make up some points on the week, so we could expect a pounce for even an average TE tomorrow night.

Flex

For Gav there’s plenty of choice at Flex, maybe some reception points with Desean Jackson or perhaps more guaranteed touches with an RB like Jordan Howard or Alex Collins – either way there should be at least a few points here.

Stuart is likely looking at a receiver here, Sterling Shepard looks the better out of him and Diggs and a much better option than Duke Johnson at RB.

Kicker

Matt Prater for Pickaxe and Justin Tucker for Fog have both been consistent over the year. Detroit have a very slightly better over under score, which can favour kickers, but really its so close we are sticking a pin in for any predictions here.

DST

Gav has the Patriots, the #1 ranked DST on the week – they’ve repaid a wee waiver investment in week 12, and Gav has to hope that continues with the turnover prone Dolphins on Monday night.

Stuart has the Lions, who travel to Tampa on Sunday, there could be a better streaming option, as the Lions have not really been much over the last fortnight, where they are -3 for 2 games.

So – all in all we can say that Gav has an advantage at QB and DST, whilst Stuart may well have the better TE on the night, everywhere else its pretty open and this could be a close game – expect it to go to Monday night for sure, as both teams will have players in the Miami New England Game, and it won’t be decided until the small hours of Tuesday. The Pit has to go with Pickaxe though – if only to even up that horrific record against the Fog.

 

Quakes at 187s

8-5 Earlston Earthquakes play the 7-6 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 13 by a 29.20 point effort from Le’Veon Bell. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 21.13 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 14.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 13 by a 31.14 point effort from Josh McCown. Kelso 187’s can expect a 18.57 point effort from Keenan Allen in week 14.

In week 10, Earlston Earthquakes defeated Kelso 187’s by 19.78 points, so coach Euan is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Unlike the other game, its all square with the Quakes and the 187s. 4 years of battles have not produced an outright winner, and this must be the first time these two have met in the post season.

QB

Russel Wilson is the no brainer starter for the Quakes on Sunday. However, the Jags have let in the fewest points to opposing QBs over the year and that might put a wee knock into Wilson’s 23 pt. average on the year. He did get just 9 points in week one, so Chris has to be hoping that now he’s deep in the season he’ll be on top form against this tough opponent.

Dak Prescott is the better ranked QB this week for the 187s, however Josh McCown is the hot hand and has doubled Prescott’s score in the last month – even with a bye week. That makes for a tough choice for Euan. Dak is up against the 4th most leaky defense though – so that might help the choice.

RB

Chris hummed and hawed over his first pick in the draft this year, convincing a few folk he was going for David Johnson but in the end the trusted hands of Bell won out – that decision must be looking pretty good from the Quakes dugout right now as Bell has repaid that investment over and over again with a 21-pt. average on the year. He’s ranked #1 and he’s fit and forget yet again this week. Christian McCaffrey is put in the shade somewhat by Bell’s stats, but he’s been consistent over the year and barring a few 10 pointers, his floor has been mid-teens, which would get him onto the starting squad of any EFFL team.

Euan has some depth at RB and will have plenty to choose from, bit nothing to match the quakes pair. Marshawn Lynch has justified his return from retirement, but is more of a journeyman now than the Beastmode of old, he’s been pretty varied too – with a floor of just a couple of points he’s a bit of a risky start against the mid ranked Chiefs. Frank Gore will likely get the other spot, and he’s nothing if not consistent, pretty much a guaranteed 10 or so every week. Euan needs a bit of help here, but there’s nothing on the waivers to boost these two so he’ll need a little luck. Gore is at the Bills, and they’ve let in the most points to RBs all year, so maybe that counts as luck?

WR

If his RBs were the pick of the bunch, we could say that the WR choice is more the runt of the litter for Chris. We are looking at Robby Anderson and Emmanuel Sanders getting the starts this week. Now Anderson has a lowly 24th rank on the week, but he’s averaging 14.5 pts a game over the year and coming off a couple of great weeks so that seems a bit harsh. Emmanuel Sanders has a 10-pt. average, but he’s been massively inconsistent over the year with a couple of games for just 3 or so pts. He’s hosting the Jets this week, and they have let in a bunch of points to receivers over the year, so that could give him a boost, even at his lowly 33rd rank.

Euan has a better choice. In the end it was the 187s who took a risk on Josh Gordon a couple of weeks ago, and he caught 4 passes in his season debut last week. In fact, though, he’s 4th out of 4 ranked WRs this week for the 187s so may not get a game. Keenan Allen and Mike Evans are the higher ranked WRs in the squad. They both have averages well over 10 and that should justify their place in the starting lineup over Gordon. Dez Bryant is the only other option, and he’s got a peachier matchup than either Allen or Evans, together these 4 make a tough choice for Euan.

TE

Rob Gronkowski never disappoints, a second-round pick on a TE has got to be a good 15 pts in the bag every week and that is what Gronk has delivered for Chris all year. Oh dear though – a moment of madness has seen him suspended on the week – and that will really hurt the Quakes in this must win game.

Jason Witten or Jared Cook will start for Euan – neither is obviously better than the other and their stat lines show that they both have a very low floor, making a very tough choice for Euan. Either is capable of big things though, so watch this space.

Flex

Quakes are struggling at flex a little, its looking like Ted Ginn from this point, but there could be a late free agency bid on a flyer later tomorrow. Ginn is averaging a good 10 pts though and has a high floor, so he’s a solid start, even against a top-class Atlanta Defense.

For the 187s its more a question of who to leave out. Adrian Peterson is an option, but realistically are you going to leave out Dez Bryant and Josh Gordon over him – I don’t think so, but I have to say I wouldn’t want to choose Euan’s 3 wideouts this week.

Kicker

Will Lutz at Atlanta for Chris – that’s a reasonable shout and backs up Ted Ginn too on the squad, mitigating against no TDs by likely getting at least a couple of field goal attempts.

Greg Zuerlein in LA against the Eagles is a similar prospect and should see at least 4 attempts overall, whether they are extra points or fieldgoals who can say.

DST

Chris has ended up with the Saints and the Raiders – neither of whom has a great match up on the week. There will be better available – even in free agency

Euan has the Jaguars, who are averaging one of the best DST scores at over 14 pts a game – there’s no reason for that to stop this week.

Overall

There’s a big advantage at RB for Chris, and maybe even a small advantage at QB, but everywhere else its looking like Euan’s week. The loss of the Gronk is supremely costly for the Quakes and unless Chris can luck out with a needle in a haystack TE, this is going the 187s way.

so that’s it, The Tigers and the Pirates await the winners of these two games next week

 

View From the Pit 2017 – week 13

Week 13 has come, and with it the end of the line for 6 teams, 5 of which we already know, Bohemians, Panthers, Kestrels, 69ers and Jags. We know that the 187s and Fog have clinched a divisional spot, and that Tigers, Pirates, and Pickaxe have clinched at least a playoff spot – leaving just the Earthquakes and Avengers to fight it out for that last playoff spot.

There’s still a much to play for though – as a bye week is on offer for two of Pirates, Pickaxe, Tigers and Fog, and some folk might even be eying up which would be the easiest route through the playoffs.

Let’s get our ‘goodbye games’ over with first, there’s a couple that will have no affect at all:

 

Jaguars at Panthers

2-10 Jerman Jaguars challenge the 4-8 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 12 by a 19.60 point effort from Cooper Kupp. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 16.11 point effort from Matthew Stafford in week 13.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 12 by a 17.80 point effort from Devin Funchess. Pilton Panthers can expect a 30.00 point effort from Mark Ingram in week 13.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 6-1-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

This cat fight has not a lot going for it – but last year’s champ and a 2 times winner show that there’s pride at stake, and Rab maybe has more to lose here – trying to get back towards an even record with Jimmy.

Kestrels at 69ers

5-7 Kelso Kestrels play the 5-7 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 12 by a 25.50 point effort from Joe Mixon. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 20.89 point effort from Kirk Cousins in week 13.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 12 by a 28.86 point effort from Philip Rivers, who tore apart the Dallas Cowboys defense for 434 passing yards and 3 passing TDs. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 16.53 point effort from Philip Rivers in week 13.

In week 3, Kelso Kestrels defeated SanFran-Gordon 69ers by 1.00 points, so coach Richie is looking for revenge this week.

Ryan has acquitted himself well during a tough year and more than justifies his spot in the EFFL Pantheon (ooooh, big words week), it just wasn’t to be though. Richie’s early season confidence is always high, but yet again the team has let him down. He has over a games worth of points over Ryan though so this last week should see him to 6-7.

On to the two teams battling for the last playoff spot

Two games will decide our last playoff. Chris has the better chance purely on game odds – he can either win, or both he and Stuart can lose to be through. Stuart needs to both win and for Chris to lose. In addition, Chris is playing Ally, who’s already out, whilst Stuart will be up against Fog Stuart who could clinch a bye week with a win as he’d be 4-0 in the division.

Earthquakes at Bohemians

The 7-5 Earlston Earthquakes play the 4-8 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 12 by a 32.60 point effort from Robby Anderson. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 21.88 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 13.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 12 by a 21.70 point effort from Tevin Coleman. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 17.15 point effort from Tom Brady in week 13.

In week 3, Earlston Earthquakes defeated Earlstonian Bohemians by 23.18 points, so coach Ally is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 5-4-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Chris has done well this season – slowly creeping up on the playoffs with the second highest total score of the year, including the biggest total so far. Russel Wilson is ranked #2 and Le’Veon bell and the Gronk are #1 as usual, so expect high output from them. Robby Anderson is a bit of a dark horse, and he seems to be building to a bit of a crescendo towards the end of the season. There’s perhaps some room for an upgrade or two elsewhere in the squad – with a bit of a drop to Emmanuel Sanders and Ted Ginn at WRs #25 and #36, but whether there’s anything on the waivers for a buck, we’ll have to wait and see.

Ally’s Bohemians should really have been better. But with the lowest average in the league they have just not performed. 7 weeks below 100 pts, 6 of them on the bounce. Tom brady has been ranked #1 all season, but the reality is that he’s had just a couple of standout performances and the rest of the time has been hovering around 20 – which even the #12 ranked qb can just about achieve. AJ Green, is the only other standout on this squad ranked at #6 for the week. Tyreek Hill is averaging pretty close to Green tough and has played above his rank in many of the last 12 weeks, both of these receivers, and Corey Davis who will likely be in at flex, are better ranked than their Earthquakes equivalents.

This could be a close game, the ranks are pretty even, but the year’s results say Quakes all the way. Will ally turn the knife on his divisional rival and leave Pirates as the sole playoff contender from Kirk? I’m going to say no – I think this is going to the Chris by a wee margin.

Fog at Avengers

8-4 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 6-6 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 12 by a 50.80 point effort from Julio Jones. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 18.52 point effort from Derek Carr in week 13.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 12 by a 23.98 point effort from Carson Wentz. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 18.12 point effort from Carson Wentz in week 13.

In week 3, Fog on the Tyne defeated Kelsae Avengers by 37.04 points, so coach Stuart is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 4-1-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

Fog are through, and all they have to play for is a bye week. There’s still $11 in the kitty too should Stuart want to get some depth for the playoffs. There’s room for a QB upgrade this week for sure, Derek Carr and Andy Dalton are ranked #15 and #22 so there could be a punt on a waiver pickup to come tomorrow night there. Cameron Brate at TE is ranked #27 too – which is way off for a TE so expect a change there too. No need to spend anything on RBs though Leonard Fournette has been scoring well all season and though his last 2 outings have been a bit weaker. Samaje Perine might have done the rounds on a few EFFL teams, but now the dust is settling its Stuart that has come up with the gold, now he’s the only RB left in Washington. Julio Jones and Brandin Cooks have both had massive scores over the season, and this week at least one of them should be over 20 pts.

With the Fog on Fire, is there any hope for Stuart’s Avengers? Well, yes is the answer. Carson Wentz is on a roll, Melvin Gordon Doug Bladwin and Delanie Walker are all top 10 and the RB2 and WR 2 look not bad either. Flex is perhaps more of an issue for Stuart and there could be a chunk of that last $6 spent tomorrow on someone a bit better than Martavis Bryant on the week. The Eagles look a reasonable bet for this final regular season week, but there are higher ranked DSTs on the waivers if Stuart wants the best chance of clinching his spot.

In this battle of the Stuarts, it’s the Avengers that have everything to lose – and they are up against it. Fog are well placed to score big this week, and I’d be expecting 120 plus. It wouldn’t take much to swing it Avengers way – perhaps just one big reception or TD on either side will be enough – the odds say fog though, and I’m going with them.

Tigers at Pickaxe

8-4 Tranent Tigers, who hope to extend their 3-game winning streak, face off against the 8-4 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 12 by a 40.90 point effort from Antonio Brown. In addition, Damien Williams was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 8.20 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 13 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tranent Tigers can expect a 19.21 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 13.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 12 by a 28.90 point effort from Marvin Jones. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 17.17 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 13.

In week 3, Nitten Pickaxe defeated Tranent Tigers by 22.68 points, so coach Nicky is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 2-5-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Nicky has had a late run of form to guarantee a playoff spot. The only question is whether it will be a divisional or a wildcard – and the divisional slot would come with a bye week bonus too. Cam Newton has been erratic, almost as much as Nicky’s choice to put him in or go for Alex Smith. Smith ahs the better average by a point or so, even though Cam is Consistently ranked above him every week. Antonio Brown has a better average than either of them though, surely 15 plus points in the bag most weeks, he’s #1 this week so expect that not to change. Travis Kelce is also up there at #3 but its very much downhill from there, #28 as the choice for RB1 in Orleans Darkwa has to sting and #33 for WR2 in Rishard Matthews.

Pickaxe got back to winning ways last week. After a great start to the season, the loss of OBJ still haunts coach Gav, and Pickaxe have struggled to build momentum. Jordan Howard and Carlos Hyde have not quite performed as well as expected, though they are both just about top 10 for the week. DeAndre Hopkins has suffered with the loss of Deshaun Watson at QB, but only really in terms of yards, he’s still picking up most of the smaller receptions, making him a PPR star. Zach Ertz got back to big numbers last week after a shaky return form injury. Marvin Jones had an awesome game last week, but faces a little tougher opponent this week away at the Ravens.

With a guaranteed progression to week 15 and the semis, this seems like a big game for both teams. Nicky has been going well most of the season, but in the last week his stars seem to face tough opponents meaning that the Pickaxe should be taking the division.

 

Pirates at 187s

8-4 Tweedbank Pirates challenge the 7-5 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 12 by a 36.80 point effort from Alvin Kamara. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 17.85 point effort from Drew Brees in week 13.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 12 by a 34.20 point effort from Keenan Allen, who beat the Dallas Cowboys defense for 172 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. Kelso 187’s can expect a 20.34 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 13.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Both these teams are though – but pirates have a chance at a bye week, so long as fog don’t win.

Its looking good for Paul’s RB trio, Todd Gurley, Alvin Kamara and LeSean McCoy are ranked 2, 3 and 5 respectively this week, pretty much guaranteeing 40 plus points from them, with an upside of a lot more. WR is a little less exciting, Jarvis Landry and Larry Fitzgerald just 16 and 17. Drew Brees has been solid if not stellar all season and looks likely to be high tens plus this week. The Rams are a good bet for decent points at DST, its just kicker that could do with a quick upgrade, all Paul’s other attention can be focused on shoring up the bench for the playoff weeks

187s have the dubious honour of winning the least competitive division in the league. In fact, they rank just 7th in overall points scored. Euan has one of the best WR pairings in the league for this week though, Keenan Allen and Mike Evans are ranked #3 and #4 for this matchup and that should guarantee 25 pts plus with the extra point for receptions. There could be an upgrade at QB, Dak Prescott ranked just 17 for week 13, but Kicker and DST should give some points at the bottom of the scorecard as they are ranked #2 and #1 respectively in Greg Zuerlein and the Jaguars respectively.

Paul has a significant advantage at RB, but Euan reverses that with his WR pairing and a much better TE. Though Pirates could run away with it if their RB game scripts go Pauls way, I’m going to call this one for Euan and his receivers.

And that’s that. The EFFL is over for another year for 6 of you. 13 weeks in a flash. Next week we’ll go for some more in-depth coverage of the 2 wildcard games but until then, cheers for the year.

 

View From the Pit 2017 – Week 12

Week 12 is here, just 2 weeks left to secure a playoff spot. There’s a couple of teams eliminated as far as I can see, Jaguars, 69ers, Panthers and Bohemians cannot now qualify as they will not be able to get to the 7 wins required, there is (I think?) a slim chance for those at 4-7 that they could still sneak in with a 6-win record, but I suspect even that’s extremely unlikely due to the points that those on 6-5 have already scored. Pauls Pirates have guaranteed Kirk Division, and likely a bye, but there’s still al to play for for our other seven teams.

I’m afraid there’s one game that really matters very little this week, lets get that out of the way;

Bohemians at 69ers

4-7 Earlstonian Bohemians, who hope to end their 3-game losing streak, play the 4-7 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 11 by a 25.56 point effort from Tom Brady. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 20.78 point effort from Tom Brady in week 12.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 11 by a 24.30 point effort from Adam Thielen. In addition, JuJu Smith-Schuster was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 8.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 16.41 point effort from DeMarco Murray in week 12.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

Whatever lads, I can see this going the Bohemians way, but I’m afraid that’s all the time we can spare as the other games have much more affect…

 

187s at Kestrels

6-5 Kelso 187’s challenge the 5-6 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 11 by a 40.20 point effort from Keenan Allen. In addition, Chris Thompson was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 10.30 points, but he’s listed as out in week 12 due to an injured lower leg , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelso 187’s can expect a 19.32 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 12.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 11 by a 25.98 point effort from Kirk Cousins. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 23.63 point effort from Kirk Cousins in week 12.

In week 2, Kelso Kestrels defeated Kelso 187’s by 3.94 points, so coach Euan is looking for revenge this week.

Kestrels need 2 wins plus a little luck in the other games, but they could still just about qualify in their rookie season, which would be some achievement given the injuries they’ve suffered. 187s also need to win both games to guarantee it, this is by far the most important game of the week. A Kelso Derby too – could it get any more exciting?

This is a finely balanced game and should prove the most exciting of the weekend. Euan has the advantage at every receiving position, whilst Ryan is significantly better at QB and RB. 187s should see the benefit of a few more targets at their stud WRs and TE, but there are no guarantees.

Euan’s 187s have not had any guaranteed stars every week, with no one on the tam averaging much more than 15 pts. However, we could also argue that this is a strength, spread betting on likely big games as it were, and it’s been working not bad for most of the season – though a few games below and around the 100-pts mark. Euan’s efficiency rating may be lower than some others due to the boom bust nature of many of his players, but in nearly every week, he’s’ had 130 possible pts available.

Ryan has soldiered on despite losing a fair few good players and high draft picks to injury. Kirk Cousins is riding a bit of a wave and should see Ryan to the end of the season in style. Unfortunately, after that there’s a bit of a drop down to the next best averages for the Kestrels, Lamar Miller showed last week that the is capable of a big game, and TY Hilton should be looking to bounce back after a poor performance before his bye week. Jerick McKinnon should join Lamar Miller in double figures this week, but there’s no guarantee Ryan looks to be finishing the season with a pretty good kicker and DST too, so all together we should see a plus 100 score.

It could be a tough wait for Euan, but the likely outcome is a win for the 187s. I suspect it won’t be either a whitewash or a super close game in the end – expect a 10-pt. victory come Tuesday morning.

Pirates at Earthquakes

8-3 Tweedbank Pirates, who hope to extend their 3-game winning streak, play the 6-5 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 11 by a 25.60 point effort from Alvin Kamara. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 18.35 point effort from Drew Brees in week 12.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 11 by a 31.92 point effort from Russell Wilson. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 23.01 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 12.

In week 2, Tweedbank Pirates defeated Earlston Earthquakes by 18.42 points, so coach Cozy is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a record against Earlston Earthquakes.

So, Paul is through. He can focus his attention on week 14 – 16 and try to shore up any gaps in the team using his last 8 bucks. Cozy must hope that he focuses all his Pirates attention that way, as he really need to sneak a win here to get to 6-6.

I’ve said it before, Paul probably has the best starting lineup in the league, but there is some depth lacking, he’s been lucky with injuries and even if he’s through, he cannot rest any players! An injury to Gurley, Kamara Fitzgerald or Landry would be a big broadside into the Pirates Galleon, though he’s clearly in full sail at the moment. Paul does not have any of his own handcuffs, so perhaps time to try and pick someone out on that basis?

Cozy is looking ok this week. Now the byes are finished it’s a sprint to the finish, and this team certainly looks the part at QB, RB and TE. WR is weaker than some others in the league but there’s potential for decent scores every week from Robby Anderson and Emmanuel Sanders. Expect a streaming DST in week 12. Javorious Allen might be a candidate for a replacement, he’s done not bad as an early week waiver pickup, but he’s been pretty up and down and now that Danny Woodhead is back in action, expect Buck to be bench warming at best.

Jaguars at Fog

2-9 Jerman Jaguars challenge the 7-4 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 11 by a 25.00 point effort from the Los Angeles Chargers Defensive Team. In addition, Jake Elliott was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 1.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 16.60 point effort from Matthew Stafford in week 12.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 11 by a 26.90 point effort from Brandin Cooks. In addition, Duke Johnson was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 16.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 15.38 point effort from Derek Carr in week 12.

In week 2, Fog on the Tyne defeated Jerman Jaguars by 10.54 points, so coach Jimmy is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 8-2-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

Its looking likely that two playoff contenders will come from Uhura this year, but neither of them are going to be Jimmy. It’s a big comedown for the two-time champ, and the question for Stuart is will the Jags roll over or have a last stab at a pride saving victory. Jags have no divisional victories yet, so this is their last chance, and given his track record we can expect that Jimmy will take this as seriously as he can.

Unfortunately, Jimmy’s team is looking decidedly ragged for week 12. There’s just 2 top 10 ranked players to choose from, and that’s TE and Kicker, the rest are well into the teens and 20’s. No one is lower than #30 though – which means there’s plenty of hope for a big game- just Jimmy needs that to happen 7 times.

Fog look pretty good to seal the deal this week, 8 wins would guarantee them the division, and a win in week 13 would see them on a bye week. Stuart has two top 10 WRs, but he also has a massive 5 players with Q status on Tuesday night and a further one suspended. Fournette is playing through an ankle injury, and has said that he ‘knows how to handle it’ – I’m not sure that those words will be enough to reassure Stuart that he doesn’t need to look to the wire to get some backup.

TBH I can only see this going the Fog’s way – but the whole team are looking a little rough round the edges, and with the biggest BBID pot I’d expect Stuart to shore up a few cracks that could develop into holes for the playoff weeks.

Panthers at Tigers

4-7 Pilton Panthers face off against the 7-4 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 11 by a 24.50 point effort from Mark Ingram. Pilton Panthers can expect a 27.64 point effort from Mark Ingram in week 12.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 11 by a 42.40 point effort from Antonio Brown. In addition, Orleans Darkwa was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 17.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 12 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tranent Tigers can expect a 21.38 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 12.

In week 2, Tranent Tigers defeated Pilton Panthers by 7.62 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 5-2-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

Tigers are on a late surge, as are the Panthers of course, but just too late for them with Nicky’s win last week too. There’s still time for Rab to ruin the Tiger party, but a win in either of these last 2 weeks should see Nicky through on a wildcard at least. Where is that catfight going to be won and lost?

Last years champ can still finish above half way on the league results, and Rab has the team to do it too. There’s a great spread of talent across the positions, with a top 10 contender at every skill position. Mark Ingram looks the pick of the bunch this week and should see a good 15-20 pts plus maybe a TD, he’s been getting 3-5 reception pts each week which has really boosted his numbers. Michael Thomas also looks good for a better than regulation score, with Golden Tate not far behind. Un fortunately it’s a bit too late for the Panthers and Rab.

Nicky’s Tigers look ok for the week, but there’s a wee bit of a skills gap at RB and certainly a bigger gap at WR, after Antonio Brown of course, mind you, Brown is averaging 2 x the regulation 10 pts and was good enough for 4 lots last week – so that may not be too much of a problem. Kelce is a not so hidden gem here as well, with an average over 15 pts he’s up there with a very small bunch of elite TE’s and should see Nicky all the way to the end of the season with no issues. Rishard Matthews and Sammy Watkins should pick up the pieces at the other receiving slots. Orleans Darkwa and Bilal Powel, whilst not outstanding by any means, should be capable of at the very least 15 between them, and so as long as the receivers keep above average, there should be no issues getting over 100 for this team.

Rab has the better team on paper this week, the question is does he care, certainly there’s at least one team in the league who hope he still does, and for that reason I’m going for a Panthers win.

 

 

 

Avengers at Pickaxe

6-5 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 7-4 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 11 by a 20.02 point effort from Carson Wentz. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 18.20 point effort from Kareem Hunt in week 12.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 11 by a 18.50 point effort from Jordan Howard. In addition, Robert Woods was not injured before the start of his week 11 game, and contributed 16.10 points, but he’s listed as out in week 12 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 19.50 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 12.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Avengers have a great pair of RBs in Kareem Hunt and Melvin Gordon, and this week they are ranked #6 and #7 respectively. There has not been a week this year when the pair of them together scored less than 20 pts, and in week one it was 64 pts between them. Doug Baldwin and Alshon Jeffrey are looking solid too. There’s more of a gap to Stuart’s Flex player, but its likely to be Jordy Nelson rankled at #48Wr this week. Carson Wentz looks to be a good bet for the week and should be a solid bet for a decent 2o pt. ish performance. The Eagles DST rounds things off at the bottom of the roster and should see a fair few points in their match up with the Bears.

Coach Gav had his third close defeat of the season last week, albeit by more than a point this time, but still a bit of a sting. What looked like a guaranteed divisional title at the start of the season is turning into a bit of a nightmare finish. There’s still talent in the tam, it just has a habit of hiding at the worst possible time. Zach Ertz and Deandre Hopkins are still highly ranked, but Ertz had a quiet game on his return last week and Hopkins is still missing Deshaun Watson at QB, at least he’s getting target volume if nothing else. Carlos Hyde and Jordan Howard look to start at RB, and with that late game injury to Robert Woods it could be a first time this season for a 3 RB setup with Dion Lewis coming off a good game in week 11.

Both teams need this win, and it could go either way. In a surprise move the pit is going to go for the Pickaxe to take this by a nose in week 12.

That’s everything for week 12 – all to play for and some important game, so no blinking till Tuesday morning.

 

 

View From the Pit 2017 – Week 11

Week 11 is here, and we are back to the crucial divisional games. With a couple of teams still on bye weeks this could be a struggle for some and a bonus for others.

Its crunch time across the league, there’s still no one guaranteed a place in the playoffs, as no one has yet reached the magic 8 wins. A few teams are approaching it though – so let’s see how we are set up with our divisions during the week – 4 teams are not playing in their own divisions, leaving them with a two-game run at that playoff spot for the last 2 weeks.

Non-divisional

Fog at Tigers

7-3 Fog on the Tyne play the 6-4 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 10 by a 17.92 point effort from Eli Manning. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.81 point effort from Derek Carr in week 11.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 10 by a 35.66 point effort from Cam Newton. With Newton on bye in week 11, they’ll need to count on their second-string QB to carry the team this week. Tranent Tigers can expect a 20.85 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 11.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

Fog can seal their playoff spot with a win here, no one else in Uhura could catch them if they get to 8 victories. Its looking ok too -despite a few Q’s in the squad and Matt Forte on a bye week they can still put out a team, with plenty of stars in it too. Derek Carr should lead them out but Julio Jones is surely due a decent game – he’s been ranked top 5 all season yet really only delivered in week 7, this week he’s ranked third. Leonard Fournette, Brandin Cooks and Cameron Brate (all #8) look a pretty good bet for a few points too. Duke Johnson looks the weakest link – but even he’s top 20 – all in all this is a solid team for week 11. Stuart should at least win one of his last 3 games which is all he needs to do – so expect his waiver picks to be focused on the playoffs.

Tigers are looking ok for a playoff slot too – they are just one win behind Gav’s Pickaxe, 2 out of three wins in these last weeks should see them to at least a wildcard, given the state of the other divisions. Alex Smith is in line for a decent week, but its Antonio Brown who is the start here, averaging a high of 18.5 pts a game. Travis Kelce is ranked as the #1 TE this week and could prove a not so secret weapon this week. Elsewhere there’s a bit of gap to the next ranked players, Ravens D are liked for the week, but Orleans Darkwa, Isaiah Crowell and Rishard Matthews would be warming the benches of some other teams this week.

Nicky has the advantage in ranking at 5 out of 9 positions, but only by a couple of ranks in most cases, in those 4 where Stuart has the advantage, he’s got 10 -15 rank places on Nicky, so though both sides could have a couple of monster scores that would swing it their way, the odds say Fog and that’s what we’ll go with.

Earthquakes at Kestrels

6-4 Earlston Earthquakes, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, play the 4-6 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 10 by a 20.00 point effort from Christian McCaffrey. With McCaffrey on bye in week 11, they’ll need to count on their second-string RB to carry the team this week. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 21.50 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 11.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 10 by a 17.94 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger. In addition, Allen Hurns was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 14.00 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 11 due to an injured leg, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 16.43 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger in week 11.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle.

Chris’ Quakes are on a bit of a roll, sitting at 6-4 they have an outside chance at Kirk division, and a couple of wins in the last 2 weeks will see them to the wildcard slot. They have three players on a bye in this crucial game and that could be costly. However, things look very good indeed at the top of their starters board, Russell Wilson, Le’Veon Bell and Rob Gronkowski all ranked in the top 3 and guaranteed to put on 50 pts between them? Gronk is ranked #3 TE on the week, showing perhaps that his days are coming towards a close, at least for fantasy, but I suspect we’ll have another 40 pts before the end of the season. Sanders and Parker make up the WR cohort with Javorious Allen in at RB. Allen hasn’t quite lived up to his star waiver wire billing every week, but seems to at least have a good 7 pt. floor with the outside chance of 20 plus.

Ryan’s Kestrels continue to hover despite losing a few feathers (I waited till week 11, that’s not bad surely?). It really hasn’t been an ideal rookie season for them, and Ryan’s slightly battered stats hide some pretty good coaching decisions given the disastrous luck so far. Of course, there’s still the chance to make the playoffs, probably with a wildcard, but a slim chance of clinching TJ Hooker if other results go his way (unlikely, but possible perhaps). Ryan has been looking to trade for a bit more action at WR, and nothing seems to have come good for him yet – there’s still a couple of weeks tho. RB is where its at for this team, Jerrick McKinnon and Lamar Miller have both been scoring well, last week perhaps a bit of a dip for both though. Ryan needs a DST to go this week, but should be able to find something capable on the wire tomorrow.

Chris has a significant advantage almost everywhere this week, just RB2 and flex look to see the Kestrels in front. There is a chance for Ryan, but a lot has to go right at the same time, and I cannot see that happening, it’s a win for Quakes.

 

Kirk

Bohemians at Pirates

4-6 Earlstonian Bohemians face off against the 7-3 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 10 by a 22.64 point effort from Tom Brady. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 21.51 point effort from Tom Brady in week 11.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 10 by a 24.80 point effort from Alvin Kamara. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 20.46 point effort from Drew Brees in week 11.

In week 1, Earlstonian Bohemians defeated Tweedbank Pirates by 3.94 points, so coach Paul is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 6-5-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

This is crucial match for both teams, it’s must win for Ally to be in with a chance at a playoff space. Interestingly, everyone in Kirk is 1-1 for divisional games, making these last games very important. Ally has the advantage at 5 positions out of 9 this week – Tom Brady is #1, Harrison Butker #2 Tyreek Hill #4 and AJ Green #9. Tevin Coleman just scrapes his top ten, and there’s a steady drop to Amari Cooper in at flex at the 19th ranked WR – still that’s some team to put out when your record is 4-6, and it shows that those rankings mean very little week to week if you are coming up against a team that are all firing together.

Paul really just needs to get one out of his last three to be top of Kirk. Pirates have looked great all season, and their injury luck has just about held things intact. As in previous weeks though – the starters don’t have anyone ranked less than#15 whilst the bench is pretty much all over #40, so there really is no room for any injuries for Paul – fortunately no one even has a Q status and we should see Drew Brees lead out those pirates full of confidence at sealing that playoff spot. Todd Gurley and LeSean McCoy will get a good 30 between them, Fitzgerald and Crabtree should be over 25 too. Ryan Succop and the Rams are perhaps weaker links in the chain at K and DST, and Paul might look to replace them for players with good matchup in the playoff weeks, other than that – he’s all set.

This looks like being a high scoring match, which makes it harder to call of course, but the Pirates haven’t really put a foot wrong all season, and for that reason we can only go with them for the win.

Shatner

Pickaxe at Panthers

7-3 Nitten Pickaxe challenge the 3-7 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 10 by a 37.10 point effort from Robert Woods. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 23.93 point effort from Jordan Howard in week 11.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 10 by a 31.10 point effort from Mark Ingram. In addition, Marcus Mariota was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 17.66 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 11 due to an injured shoulder, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pilton Panthers can expect a 23.56 point effort from Mark Ingram in week 11.

In week 1, Nitten Pickaxe defeated Pilton Panthers by 4.70 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 5-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 6-3-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Gav’s Pickaxe saw their second defeat by less than a point in week 10. They are close but not secure of the playoff place they were heading boldly for in week 5. Some dodgy performances last week have left the Pickaxe rankings in tatters, just 3 in their top 10 rankings. There’s no one ranked after the 20’s though, so this is certainly a serviceable team. Jordan Howard has a bit of a disaster last week and is consequently only ranked 9th in RBs but should see at least a wee upsurge in numbers for week 11. Marvin Jones’ targets took a tumble last week too, perhaps the only plus side to Gav’s WR woes, after losing OBJ and Deandre Hopkins’s QB, is that Hopkins stats still look good, based on sheer volume alone. Savage cannot be considered even a capable QB, but he is still trying to throw, and he tends to throw to Hopkins. Zach Ertz should be back from injury, but that’s by no means guaranteed as of Tuesday night.

Panthers just have not performed, though that’s five straight weeks of 100 plus scores, so Rab is doing something right. Consistency is the issue, Mark Ingram has the best average at 17.3 but then we are down to a trio of 15 averages in Tate Mariota and Thomas, all of whom have had a couple of weeks under regulation 10 pts. Anyone on this team is capable of big games though. Mark Ingram is certainly well liked at #2 RB and Tate and Thomas are #6 and 7 WRs, way higher than Pickaxes offerings. Rab needs a TE and that could be a bit of a ‘stick a pin in and hope’ as though there’s always a 15 pt. TE on the waivers, predicting who it will be is a bit of a nightmare. Gostkowski looks likely to have a great game and the Texans are a capable DST too.

There are some big rankings advantages for Rab this week. But after a couple of narrow losses, look for the Pickaxe numbers to all come together this week.

TJ Hooker

69ers at 187s

3-7 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 6-4 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 10 by a 30.60 point effort from Adam Thielen. In addition, Devonta Freeman was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 0.30 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 11 due to an injured concussion, which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 17.16 point effort from Tyrod Taylor in week 11.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 10 by a 17.30 point effort from Greg Zuerlein. Kelso 187’s can expect a 22.01 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 11.

In week 1, Kelso 187’s defeated SanFran-Gordon 69ers by 12.08 points, so coach Richie is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 3-4-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Richie’s 69ers cannot get a break this season and it looks like they are out of it. There is still an outside chance of the division by the look of it, but that means every game being won from now on and Kestrels beating the 187s. This week does not look like a good start to that – just 2 players ranked in their respective top 10s in Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks. There’s several starters who look to be ranked in the 20’s and even 30’s. there’s $4 in the coffers to use on the waivers tomorrow and there are higher ranked players available that could be bought for that kind of cash – so there is time for Richie to pick up the pace this week.

187s are within touching distance, and must be smelling blood for this week. Though not the best EFFL ranked team in the week, Euan outranks Richie at nearly every position. Mike Evans should be the big star for the week, but Dak Prescott, Jared Cook and Greg Zuerlein should be pretty good too. Chris Thompson and Adreian Peterson are capable RBs and either could have a big game. Euan has also landed the #1 DST for this crucial tie; the Jaguars looks to get a good few points on the board at the Browns this week.

Really, what can we say, it would take some significant luck for Richie this week, and he could be looking at a sub 100 performance, Euan does not really have to have anything more than an average week to see himself into the playoffs.

Uhura

Avengers at Jaguars

5-5 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 2-8 Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 10 by a 24.06 point effort from Case Keenum. In addition, Doug Baldwin was not injured before the start of his week 10 game, and contributed 14.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 11 due to an injured groin, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelsae Avengers can expect an 18.15 point effort from Melvin Gordon in week 11.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 10 by a 21.66 point effort from Matthew Stafford. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 17.44 point effort from Matthew Stafford in week 11.

In week 1, Kelsae Avengers defeated Jerman Jaguars by 69.68 points, so coach Jimmy is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Jerman Jaguars.

Avengers had their worst score of the year last week, scraping in at 88.46, though that was still better than the Kestrels of course. This week they have 6 top 10 ranked players, which should see them well over 100 to regain some pride. Carson Wentz is a good start and we should see him up in the 25 or so, Kareen Hunt has taken a wee bit of a dip in the last couple of weeks before his bye, failing to get 100 combined yards, look for him to bounce back a little against the Giants after a longer rest. Melvin Gordon and Doug Baldwin are also liked in the week and could see some decent numbers. Stuart needs a kicker, but should be able to find someone capable of 8 or so to see him through.

Jaguars? Those Jaguars? Yep, we are seeing a big drop in the fortunes of EFFLs most successful franchise. Jimmy’s luck/skill has deserted him this season and its now over for the season. Jimmy is still fighting for pride though, which is certainly good for the rest of the league as Avengers will be likely fighting for a wildcard slot, so the rest of the league could do with Jimmy stepping up. Its not happening this week though, Matt Stafford and Evan Ingram look lonely highlights in the Jags squad, and even then, Stafford is outranked by Wentz on the other side. Losing Zeke for the season now is a real blow, and Jimmy must be wishing that he’s served his ban earlier – as he’s be back by now of course. Ah well, not a lot you can do about that now. Of course, there is potential in this squad, Demaryius Thomas is always capable, and Mohamed Sanu should surely play beyond his lowly #33 rank.

Much as the rest of the league might want an Avengers win with their 2017 head on, with their 5 year hearts they might be wanting the salt rubbed in those Jaguar’s wounds, and I think that is what will happen this week.

 

That’s your lot, by next week we should be looking at wildcard slots a bit more closely, so good luck everyone who’s still in with a chance.,

 

 

 

View From The Pit 2017 -week 10

Week 10 already. The tipping point is behind us now and at least one team is in the black for the season – though still not guaranteed that playoff space. Jags are now surely out – I’ve not done the full maths, but it looks like their best possible is 5-8 which just won’t be enough as Fog are already at 6 wins.

Things are hotting up, with just one week of byes and then 3 weeks of divisional games, the end is in sight. Expect teams to be looking to the playoff spots when waivering tomorrow night, though with the season so far, it’s hard to predict one minute to the next let alone a month’s time.

We’ll get started at the bottom, two teams that we are unlikely to hear about much anymore are the Jags and Panthers

Jaguars at Bohemians

1-8 Jerman Jaguars play the 4-5 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 9 by a 22.44 point effort from Matthew Stafford. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 19.68 point effort from Matthew Stafford in week 10.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 9 by a 28.44 point effort from Jared Goff. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 16.81 point effort from A.J. Green in week 10.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Jags had a feint chance last week, but it just wasn’t to be, and Pauls Pirate put them to the sword. In fact, even the potential pts in week 9 were under 100, for the first time this season, a few bye weeks and a transfer didn’t help that stat line of course. This week actually looks a lot better, Zeke may still be in, Matt Stafford is #3 rated QB and Demaryius Thomas is #9. Jimmy needs a kicker but that’s no worries. There’s still a few bucks in the coffers too if he decides to try and bolster the team now – if only for pride.

Bohemians are struggling at the bottom of Kirk division. There’s been some lineup disasters but again, last week there was not even the potential for 100. Ally’s Bohos are nearly 200 pts off the pace on the season and that has shown on any week where they’ve faced a bit of class. This week could be a bit of a struggle too as there’s three on a bye, its asking a lot of Tom Brady and AJ Green, even if he has avoided a suspension for his fight on Sunday night. Ally needs a kicker too and may be fighting Jimmy for the best one. Given that the game could come down to those points it may be worth a couple of bucks to secure the right one.

So, it may be too late, but with Ally’s bye week woes this looks like it’s going the Jags way for once, leaving the Bohos with a lot of work to do in the divisional weeks.

Panthers at Avengers

2-7 Pilton Panthers challenge the 5-4 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 9 by a 18.30 point effort from Golden Tate. Pilton Panthers can expect a 21.16 point effort from Mark Ingram in week 10.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 9 by a 24.76 point effort from Carson Wentz. With Wentz on bye in week 10, they’ll need to count on their second-string QB to carry the team this week. In addition, Vernon Davis was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 13.20 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured hand , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 16.49 point effort from Doug Baldwin in week 10.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

Panthers have had a couple of weeks with a potential below 100, but over the last month they’ve been up there in the 120s. Not enough top guarantee a win for Rab, but perhaps it would have been enough to lift them off the bottom of Shatner division. Rab could still qualify by the looks of things, but he would be relying on some results from Nicky, as there’s no way now to catch Gav’s Pickaxe. This week looks good though, Jay Ajayi on a bye (hard lines for Rab by as he’s actually had 2 byes this season due to the trade.) but there’s still plenty of talent with 2 top 10 WRs and a top 10 RB. Mark Ingram, Michael Thomas and Golden Tate should see Rab to well over 100 points if there’s any justice this week.

Avengers on the other hand have a bye week and injury nightmare, there’s only 8 active members on the squad and 2 of them are TE’s. Stuart needs a QB and a DST before even starting plus he may want to bolster some other positions. Although Avengers are looking in a reasonable position, they could do with catching Fog in Uhura, as it looks like there will be a strong contest for wildcard slots. With the divisionals coming up, there’s no option to just let this week slide for Stuart. Melvin Gordon and Doug Baldwin are lone stars in the lineup this week, Will Fullers potential has taken a nosedive with the loss of Deshaun Watson, but could still pick up if Savage can get any sort of rhythm going.

All in all, this is the week to be playing the avengers. Rab could steal a cheeky win here despite the Panthers poor performance so far. That would suit most of the rest of the league too.

Fog at Pickaxe

6-3 Fog on the Tyne challenge the 7-2 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 9 by a 25.60 point effort from Matt Forte. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.84 point effort from Julio Jones in week 10.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 9 by a 29.70 point effort from Marvin Jones. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 20.08 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 10.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 5-1-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Fog are getting close, and with the nightmare that Avengers have this week, Stuart must think now is the time to pounce, especially against a team he’s beaten 5 out of six times. He just needs to find a QB to slot in for the week, there should be someone capable of 15-20 there with no problems, a kicker is needed too, but that’s no issue to find. Leonard Fournette and Julio Jones are the stars here, though of course, Julio’s not been in the endzone too much this season and his score will be slightly tempered by Gav having Matt Ryan in his squad. Apart from the 2 missing players on Tuesday night – there’s no one ranked outside the top 20 though, and there should be a QB and kicker will within that on Wednesday night – so expect a quality lineup capable of a good 130 pts.

Coach Gav rode a bit of a storm to victory last week, having to find a TE in the last 5 minutes before the game due to Zach Ertz getting all ready only to be told to go home very late in the day. It all came good though, and even De Andre Hopkins was reasonably productive, despite having only Savage to throw to him. This week it’s Ertz on a bye, hopefully giving him an extra week to recover, but leaving the Pickaxe with a bit of a TE shaped hole, expect AJ Derby to hit the waiver wire tomorrow. However as long as a TE can be found tomorrow, there’s only Desean Jackson who is outside the top 20., so there’s still a competitive team getting ready in the Pickaxe locker room.

Fog have an edge at most positions where they have players to field, but Pickaxe can field almost a full-strength team so we’re going with them for week 10.

Earthquakes at 187s

5-4 Earlston Earthquakes play the 6-3 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 9 by a 23.58 point effort from Russell Wilson. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 22.13 point effort from Russell Wilson in week 10.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 9 by a 26.66 point effort from Dak Prescott. In addition, Dez Bryant was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 13.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelso 187’s can expect a 20.06 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 10.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 1-2-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Earthquakes have had a strong middle section to this season, whether that can continue into the last month and a playoff space we’ll have to wait and see. Chris certainly looks to be in a strong position for week 10, just Javorious Allen on a bye, but plenty above him in the depth chart in any case, as Le’Veon Bell is back from his own bye and straight into the #1 rb slot and Christian McCaffrey sneaks into the top ten at #9. WR is not quite so strong but Devante Parker and Robby Anderson are hovering about the top 20 mark and should see enough receptions to be worthy of a place in the squad. As Usual, Gronk is sitting in his #1 TE spot, perhaps the best bit about his scoring is not the chance at big days, which he has often, but his very high floor for a TE, 3 receptions for 30 yards is six guaranteed points, no one else in the league can guarantee any receptions at all.

187s are looking a shoe in for the TJ Hooker division, and probably just need one more win to seal a place in the playoffs. Of course, there’s the divisional games to come, but as long as they can win at least one of those, they should be through unless Ryan or Richie has a great last month. Mike Evans will be serving a suspension in week 10 which is a bit of a hole in the squad, and Euan will also need to find a replacement TE, he’ll have to wait till open season though as there’s nothing left under the bed for the 187s. There’s a tidy squad here apart from that though, Dak Prescot is #1 now that Deshaun Watson is out, and the Jags D are also sitting at the top of the rankings for the week. With those two bookending the squad there should be room for a couple of less than stellar numbers as long as a couple of TDs come from the middle ground.

This looks like a close one. Though both teams look likely to go over 110, It looks as if the Earthquakes have more chances for TDs and we are going with them for the win.

69ers at Pirates

3-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 6-3 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 9 by a 27.90 point effort from Tyrod Taylor. In addition, Jimmy Graham was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 10.90 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 16.90 point effort from Tyrod Taylor in week 10.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 9 by a 32.20 point effort from Alvin Kamara. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 19.86 point effort from Drew Brees in week 10.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 6-0-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

Richie’s 69ers have an outside chance to still make the playoffs. They have a full squad to play with for week 10, though there’s only really Jimmy Graham ranked in the top 10 at the skill positions. He and both RBs Devonta Freeman and DeMarco Murray are carrying Q tags and that needs to be watched for the weekend. Kicker Chris Boswell is back from his bye, so expect Ka’imi Fairburn to be dropped on the waivers tomorrow, there could be a starter sitting on the waivers, but with just $4 to play with Richie will be lucky to find him.

Pirate’s are cruising again, last weeks win sent them well over the 1100 points and they are one of only a couple of teams to have not dropped below 100 all season. Michael Crabtree and LeGarrette Blount are on a bye, but that still leaves 8 players in their respective top 10’s, Larry Fitzgerald is just #15. With the bye weeks there is a slight lack of depth, not that it matters in week 10.  Assuming all of the starters make it to the weekend, which was certainly not the case for others last week. Amazingly, the Pirates (and previously the Flush) have never beaten the Niners, is this the only one-sided record still in the league?

 

Paul is unlucky not to have secured a playoff spot already and this could be the year he breaks the 69ers curse, its looking that way and we can only hope we don’t jinx it by saying its pirates all the way.

 

 

Kestrels at Tigers

4-5 Kelso Kestrels face off against the 5-4 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 9 by a 34.50 point effort from T.Y. Hilton. In addition, Matt Bryant was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 7.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured leg , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 16.43 point effort from Josh McCown in week 10.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 9 by a 20.30 point effort from Travis Kelce, who snuck past the Dallas Cowboys defense for 73 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. With Kelce on bye in week 10, they’ll need to count on their second-string TE to carry the team this week. Tranent Tigers can expect a 11.95 point effort from C.J. Anderson in week 10.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle.

Kestrels season just continues to get worse – there’s been no beginners luck for Ryan. Deshaun Watson was a bitter blow last week. Ryan was able to put out a respectable squad, and in fact chose the best possible lineup for the week, but not enough to get past the Pickaxe. This week is looking better, with a bit more time to plan for any weaknesses anyway. There’s no one on a bye and a few options to pick from, particularly at WR and flex. Kestrels have the better of it at RB, Jerrick McKinnon and Lamar Miller are closely matched and you’d be disappointed not to see a TD between them. Big Ben fills Deshaun’s boots, and though he’s not been quite up to form this season, he’s always capable of a decent game.

Tigers have a few bye week woes, Smith, Kelce and the Ravens are all out. Nicky has to find a DST at least to plug that hole. The rest of the lineup looks fine, assuming Charles Clay is back, which seems about 50-509 at this stage, there may yet be a need for another TE on this squad. Antonio Brown is by far the star of the show here, but remember that Ryan has Big Ben who will mitigate against a monster score from Antonio. Can Newton should outscore Roethlisberger this week, and Nicky will need any advantage that brings if he’s o stand a chance, a couple of sneaky running QB TDs would certainly help here.

This game looks to be going Ryan’s way. Kestrels are due a bit of luck and Nicky just hasn’t got the depth this week to be sure of victory – of course there are plenty of chances for points, it’s just that Ryan has more chance of that.

 

That’s your lot for week 10. Divisional games and final placings await.

 

View From The Pit 2017 – week 9

Week nine is here, and still no one has made the playoffs for sure – though there’s a few teams close, and of course we are close to eliminations at the other end too, so some crucial games to come now. 7-6 has usually been the cutoff for a playoff berth, a few teams have scrapped in at 6-7 too, but that needs other results to go your way.

There’s a big spread in waiver budgets  – so some people will have to be canny to get a waiver cover or two. Those with just a few bucks left can just be outbid by the few with more than half their budgets left. With a few changes in the NFL this week and bye week problems, this could be the most interesting week for waivers. A big suspension, a couple of just as big trades and a couple of breakout performances mean there’s at least 5 players on the wire who haven’t really been on the radar until now – who will pounce on them tonight? – we’ll see…

However,  as usual I’m writing this before the wavers happen, so we can only make predictions based on current lineups.

Let’s get started with the teams with the most to lose or gain this week

Pirates at Jaguars

5-3 Tweedbank Pirates play the 1-7 Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 8 by a 29.30 point effort from LeSean McCoy. In addition, Pierre Garcon was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 3.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured neck , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 22.23 point effort from Drew Brees in week 9.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 8 by a 27.40 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 19.24 point effort from Kirk Cousins in week 9.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Jerman Jaguars.

Pirates have the opportunity to send the Jags on their way for the first time in the EFFL history. Being the first team to 1000 points certainly makes that look likely. No injuries and some consistency across the key positions has helped Paul reach that grand way before anyone else. With bye weeks for other teams, Paul is able to put out a team that is almost entirely ranked in their respective positions top 10s, barring Jarvis Landry and Mike Nugent who are ‘only’ ranked 11. That is possibly the strongest lineup we’ve seen at the pit, and surely there will be some standout performances from at least a couple of these players. Its Fire and forget for Paul in week 9.

Jimmy on the other hand has to finally do without Zeke Elliot, who looks likely to start serving his suspension. That means we are down to a couple of later ranked players to fill the lineup, despite no one being on a bye week. Ty Montgomery and Mohammed Sanu are both ranked 31, but we all know both of those names, and either one could have a blow-up game. Sanu in particular must be waiting for Matt Ryan to get back to last years standards. The Jaguars have a solid team to put out this week and money to burn in the waivers …

But really, with the best lineup of the week by some margin, its hard to see past Paul’s Pirates, and I think this could be auf wiedersehen to Jimmy’s Jags.

Pickaxe at Kestrels

6-2 Nitten Pickaxe face off against the 4-4 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 8 by a 36.40 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 18.05 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 9.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 8 by a 32.78 point effort from Deshaun Watson. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 20.13 point effort from Deshaun Watson in week 9.

Pickaxe got back to winning ways in week 8, thanks largely to a monster game from DeAndre Hopkins. They are probably just one win away from sealing a playoff space, especially if other games go Gav’s way in Shatner division. However, there’s a fair few on a bye in week nine, not least last week’s Vikings kicker and DST, should be something on the wavers to cover them, but they both played well, and Gav may want to try and hold a bench spot for them. Jordan Howard has been holding his own well after some potential hiccups earlier in the year, a bye week will probably do him some good, but there’s precious little else on Gav’s bench to guarantee cover for him this week.

Kestrel Kestrels are still in a good position for a rookie shot at a playoff place, that’s despite losing their first-round pick in the first game of the season. Last week’s monster score has boosted the averages but shows there are points hiding in this team yet.  Looking at the average scores for players over the year there are not really that many real stars, waiver pickup Deshaun Watson a notable exception. But what we do see is depth and a reasonable consistency – lots of players with a floor of the regulation 10 pts. There are no players here that are guaranteed anything any given week – but enough depth to provide a reasonable shot at 120 pts a game, though that’s not been happening too often. There’s a few bye week issues this week too though, and there could be a bit of a struggle to pick a decent lineup.

This could be close, and Rookie Ryan has the advantage at QB and RB, however, Gav has a big advantage at all 4 receiving positions, meaning there should be at least a few bonus pts for receptions, assuming he can pick up a half decent DST and kicker this is going pickaxe’s way.

187s at Panthers

5-3 Kelso 187’s play the 2-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 8 by a 17.40 point effort from Chris Thompson. Kelso 187’s can expect a 21.00 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 9.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 8 by a 30.10 point effort from Jack Doyle. Pilton Panthers can expect a 17.77 point effort from Mark Ingram in week 9.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 1-3-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

187s have a good few players who are now over 100 pts for the season. Euan just needs them all to come together over the next couple of weeks to get that playoff place secured and focus on bolstering the team for the money games. Dak Prescott is a contender for best late round draft pick, and is solid starter, with a wee blip on his record last week. Chris Thompson and Mike Evans have hit a wee run of form and those three should form the basis of the 187s lineup this week. Jaguars are #1 dst on the week and Dez Bryant has a decent matchup too. All in all, we can expect a solid 110-130 from this team on the week.

Is that enough to get past the panthers? Rab has gone through a few QBs this season and has a bit of a duff choice this week between Marcus Mariota and Jacoby Brissett, neither of whom are in the top 12. Mark Ingram and Michael Thomas look likely to pick up any QB slack though, both of them well ranked on the week and both likely to see the endzone. Jack Doyle had a monster week last week, contributing to Rab’s success, and we are likely to see a good few receptions for him, if not the same heights as last week. Rab needs to pick up a kicker as he’s bye week bound with star Stephen Gostkowski, who he may want to retain for the second half of the season, who knows.

This is a tough one to call, there’s well placed players on both sides, and they are closely matched at all positions. Its too close to call for sure so we’ll maybe go with what the rest of the league wants/needs, which is surely a win for the Panthers?

Earthquakes at 69ers

4-4 Earlston Earthquakes play the 3-5 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 8 by a 35.08 point effort from Russell Wilson. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 19.55 point effort from Russell Wilson in week 9.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 8 by a 32.30 point effort from JuJu Smith-Schuster. With Smith-Schuster on bye in week 9, they’ll need to count on their second-string WR to carry the team this week. In addition, Devonta Freeman was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 7.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 16.82 point effort from Tyrod Taylor in week 9.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

The level pegging Earthquakes have had a few ups and downs, recording both the top score ever and also 2 of the lowest 3 scores this year. Consistency is clearly an issue for some of these players. Team talisman Le’Veon Bell is on a bye week and that could impact on the team for the week as he’s been perhaps the most consistent. Russel Wilson should be good for over a standard QB score – look for 18 plus come Sunday night, and well over that is very possible. Gronk is also on a bye but Chris has prepared for that, Stashing Even Ingram a few weeks ago during Gronk’s injury and he’s ready to go this week, hopefully he can do better than the week he covered for Gronk, when he had no targets at all.

Its just not going to plan for Richie, despite decent scores, both weekly and on average, no one has really blown up in any games, it’s a struggle to find any individual scores over 20. There are a massive 5 players on a be this week, making it a wee bit of a struggle to get a team out. Look for Tyrod Taylor to lead the team out and he may have a boost with Kelvin Benjamin moving to the Bills this week. If he can slot straight in, then that is a huge bonus for Richie’s 69ers and could see Tyrod averages go up by 4 or more. Devonta Freeman and DeMarco Murray are pretty well ranked this week, but both have q status as it stands on Wednesday, so look out for them at the weekend. WR is at best a ‘hit and hope’ strategy for Richie this week with bye week cover playing a part.

This is an interesting matchup, but I think the Quakes have it, what will swing it the other way is Taylor having a big game with renewed playoff fever after Benjamin joins his receivers, he’ll also need his second string WRs to step up – and I just can’t see that all happening in the same week – win for Earthquakes.

Tigers at Avengers

5-3 Tranent Tigers face off against the 4-4 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 8 by a 29.00 point effort from the Baltimore Ravens Defensive Team. Tranent Tigers can expect a 19.38 point effort from Alex Smith in week 9.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 8 by a 29.50 point effort from Will Fuller. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 20.01 point effort from Kareem Hunt in week 9.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 0-2-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

Nicky’s Tigers have some serious bye week woes in week 9, Antonio Brown and Isaiah Crowell are the biggest problems this week, both with big boots to fill. Nicky will be looking for his QB choice to make the difference, either of Alex Smith or Cam Newton could have a monster game, but he’s only got that choice right 3 times in the season so far, Alex Smith is ranked higher this week, but only by a couple, so it could go either way. Travis Kelce is the only other player on the Tigers board who can claim a place in his top 10 rankings. Everywhere else it’s a bit of a lottery, Bilal Powell, CJ Anderson or Orleans Darkwa could all have a great game in a lucky week.

Avengers have their own problems with Melvin Gordon out, but there’s several players on the squad who are averaging over 15 pts, so it shouldn’t hurt too much. Kareem Hunt is the first option, and though he was held back a bit last week, he’s been on fire through the season, so look for a good 15 pts from him. Doug Baldwin will lead out the receivers, he’s averaging over 14 a game, so no slouch. Carson Wentz will be at the top of the scoreboard for sure as he’s been connecting with a range of receivers in the last month. Stuart has the option to waver this week, perhaps for a new kicker or a replacement for Delanie Walker who is questionable for the weekend, but, his team needs little tweaking for now – and he may be better looking to the playoff matchups.

Tigers are under strength for playing the second top scoring side of the year, this one is Stuarts Avengers all the way.

Bohemians at Fog

4-4 Earlstonian Bohemians play the 5-3 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 8 by a 21.30 point effort from Harrison Butker. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 15.62 point effort from Tyreek Hill in week 9.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 8 by a 18.72 point effort from Andy Dalton. In addition, Matt Forte was not injured before the start of his week 8 game, and contributed 11.20 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 9 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.48 point effort from Julio Jones in week 9.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 4-2-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

Bohemians have the dubious honour of being the lowest scoring team in the league so far, with an average of just 100 pts. Notably the potential average score is 120 – so there’s room for improvement in lineup choice. Ally need to be on the waivers too, as he’s missing a QB, TE and DST on the week, $8 surely not enough to get all 3, but a bit of canny wheeler dealing should see him able to put up a complete lineup in any case. He has 3 top quality wideouts to play this week, but they will need to be playing out of their skins to save the Bohos blushes in week 9. Likely Ally is focused on the rest of the season already.

Fog have a few bye week problems as well though, Duke Johnson, Brandin cooks and Chris Hogan are all big holes in this lineup as they are 3 of the 5 players to be over 100 pts in the Fog Squad. Stuart doesn’t have to waiver though – there is a full lineup to be played and in general its ok. Derek Carr should lead them out and Julio Jones could be the big scorer for this whole match up – that’s if Matt Ryan can get a bit more going on, as he’s been just about adequate this year rather than stellar. Leonard Fournette is the star at RB for Fog – back for a bye week break he should get back to somewhere near his 21-pt. average.

This match up is not guaranteed to go Fogs way, especially with Bohos needing to pick up a QB, but the numbers suggest that Fog should take it and we are going to go with that.

 

 

View From The Pit 2017 Week 8

Week 8 is here, and the Pit is back. after a bit of a week in the wilderness its good to be back to it.

Still no one quite guaranteed that playoff berth. Just 2 more wins for a few teams though should see them with a wildcard at least.

here we go then, starting with those teams with the most to do.

Panthers at Fog

1-6 Pilton Panthers, who hope to end their 3-game losing streak, face off against the 5-2 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 7 by a 21.00 point effort from Mark Ingram. Pilton Panthers can expect a 17.63 point effort from Mark Ingram in week 8.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 7 by a 30.18 point effort from Derek Carr. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.00 point effort from Julio Jones in week 8.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

Last years champs are taking a beating this year and can barely put a team out with all their bye week cover. Jacoby Brisset looks set to lead the team out this week unless Rab manages to pick someone up from the waivers. He’s ranked a lowly 23 this week so there must be someone better out there. However, all is not lost, Mark Ingram and Jay Ajayi are both well within the top 15, and there’s at least 2 wideouts worth playing in Thomas and Funchess. Jack Doyle is a respectable TE and as usual Stephen Gostkowski is the top ranked kicker for the week – so there’s definitely some points on offer in this hellish bye week, but there might still be some adds and drops from Rab.

Fog have things a little easier with only Leonard Fournette and Sterling Shepard on a bye. Andy Dalton looks a reasonable start, and surely there’s more to come from Julio Jones who’s suffered a bit from Matt Ryan’s woeful first half of the season. Brandin Cooks is looking good and should benefit at least some from the New England poor defense, meaning that they will be chasing points for at least some of the game. Having Chris Hogan in too is either doubling down on Brady or at least some insurance against targets not going Stuart’s way – between then surely there’s 25 pts. Duke Johnson and Matt Forte are perhaps not the RBs Stuart would have chosen at the start of the season, but they should see touches at least, and that can always lead to TDS

This one is looking all fog at this stage, unless Rab decides to replace a couple of bye week problems there’s only next week to look forward to.

Jaguars at Pickaxe

1-6 Jerman Jaguars face off against the 5-2 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 7 by a 40.90 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 21.73 point effort from Kirk Cousins in week 8.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 7 by a 19.90 point effort from Zach Ertz. Based on projections from Fantasy Sharks, Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 18.70 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 8.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 3-3-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

So, Jimmy is finally off the mark. Last weeks win means that it is still possible to make the playoffs, but he can afford no slip ups. This week sees 4 players on a bye, not least Andre Ellington who has been around the blocks a bit this season but is yet to start a game. Zeke Elliot put up monster numbers last week but still has that suspension looking, who knows when it will kick in. CJ Anderson will likely be on standby duty for Jimmy and has the potential for a few breakout runs and a TD, but is more likely to be held to a few short yardage runs, Jimmy has to hope that at least one of them is a goal line carry. WR sees Jimmy come up a little short, but Kelvin Benjamin and Mohamed Sanu have both had good games that could be repeated. Jake Elliot and the Bills see the end of the lineup.

Pickaxe came down to earth with a bump last week, cruelly robbed of their sixth win by an error at NFL HQ, spotted too late for EFFL rules, ah well, it was only half a point either way so what’s the use of dwelling on that now? Well for one thing a win this week would have just about sealed that playoff berth, but now there’s at least a couple more weeks before anyone can be sure of their place. Anyhow, Matt Ryan has continued to struggle, but apart from that coach Gav has a relatively clear run, none of the starter studs are on byes this week, Zach Ertz continues his great run of form and De Andre Hopkins is still the most targeted receiver in the league. Jordan Howard and Carlos Hyde are not the most reliable or standout backs, but should be due a couple of TDs soon, if that comes together this week it will seal the win for the Pickaxe for sure. Coach Gav needed a backup kicker this week, and has ended up with Kai Forbath and the Vikings DST, so will need to hope for a shutout game in Cleveland.

Jimmy may be off the Mark, but his bye week problems mean only one thing, it’s a win for pickaxe for sure.

69ers at Tigers

2-5 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 5-2 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 7 by a 20.02 point effort from Tyrod Taylor. In addition, DeMarco Murray was not injured before the start of his week 7 game, and contributed 10.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 8 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 19.52 point effort from Devonta Freeman in week 8.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 7 by a 25.68 point effort from Alex Smith.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 1-2-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

69ers have been struggling, but with a second win under the belt could this week mark the beginning of a playoff run? Well there’s a couple of starters on bye weeks so that could be difficult for Richie. Tyrod Taylor looks a reasonable start, if not the best in the league. Devonta Freeman should get things going and he’s predicted a big score as noted above. Adam Thielen and Kenny Stills should make up the receiving corp, though of course James White also benefits from his receiving ability, so Richie could end up with 4 decent hauls of PPR points. Chris Boswell and the Seahawks make up the bottom of the lineup and should not be too shabby in week 8

Tigers are riding high on a 3-game win streak, and are only held off the top of Shatner division due to their loss against Pickaxe a few weeks ago, they’ve scored and faced almost identical scores. Nicky has a choice at QB, possibly the only choice in the league, Alex Smith has been scoring well but is not ranked as highly as Cam Newton this week. Antonio Brown and Demaryius Thomas are the heart of this team for the week, Brown in particular averaging over 210 pts a game, you simply cannot argue with that. RB is quite a bit shabbier, with no one on the roster averaging even 10 pts a game so far, surely that means there’s a big score coming? But can it come at the time Nicky needs it? Travis Kelce, Steven Hauschka and the Ravens should be solid at the less glamourous end of the roster, Kelce in particular is averaging well.

This is an interesting one, the rankings suggest Richie has the advantage at 5 out of 9 positions, however, Nicky is very close on 3 of those, and outranks Richie at WR by some distance – with the extra points available to receivers, I’m going for Tigers this week

Avengers at Earthquakes

4-3 Kelsae Avengers challenge the 3-4 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 7 by a 31.02 point effort from Carson Wentz. In addition, Delanie Walker was not injured before the start of his week 7 game, and contributed 12.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 8 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 19.62 point effort from Melvin Gordon in week 8.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 7 by a 26.36 point effort from Russell Wilson. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 23.33 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 8.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

Avengers have to feel a bit robbed to be sitting at just 4-3 – they are scoring very well, but have faced some tough opposition. With just Delanie Walker on a bye, and a possible injury to Dan Bailey, there should only be a small issue for Stuart putting out a team. As usual there is no one ranked outside of the top 20 on the squad, Eagles are#1 Carson Wentz #2 and the 4th and 5th RBs in Kareen Hunt and Melvin Gordon. Doug Baldwin and Alshon Jeffery are surely in at WR, and that can only lead to points. Perhaps TE is the weak link in the chain but Tyler Kroft is capable of bigger things and caught every target last week, so a safe bet for 5-10 pts plus chance of TDS

Quakes are putting a lot of faith in three players at the moment, Russell Wilson, Le’Veon Bell and Rob Gronkowski have accounted for the bulk of Chris’s points so far, this season, fortunately none of them are on a bye this week. Christian McCaffrey is backing those 3 studs up though and doing a capable job at it, free agent pickup Javorious Allen is looking not too shabby either. WR is a different story, Ted Ginn the only one averaging over 10 a game, and no one ranked above 27 this week. Will Lutz and the Saints look as good a pair as anyone else in the league holding the fort at the bottom of the roster.

The numbers say Avengers all the way and though of course a couple of TDs on the Earthquakes side could swing it, I just can’t see it happening, its Avengers for the win.

Kestrels at Pirates

3-4 Kelso Kestrels play the 5-2 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 7 by a 15.10 point effort from Allen Hurns. With Hurns on bye in week 8, they’ll need to count on their second-string WR to carry the team this week. In addition, Carson Palmer was not injured before the start of his week 7 game, and contributed 2.88 points, but he’s listed as out in week 8 due to an injured arm , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 17.79 point effort from Deshaun Watson in week 8.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 7 by a 28.20 point effort from LeSean McCoy. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 19.42 point effort from Drew Brees in week 8.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle.

Kestrels just cannot cut a break this year, they have the lowest total score by some margin and have just struggled to recover from the loss of the #1 draft pick. However, they are still sitting on 2 divisional wins, and 3 overall, so there’s a good chance of a playoff place if they can just get a bit of luck. There’s plenty to be pleased about in the rankings this week, even if it is a little harder to see than some other teams; though there’s only Kyle Rudolph and Matt Bryant in the top 10 at their respective positions there’s also the opportunity to pick everyone else on the team ranked in the top 20 – so by the law of averages there should be some TDs and points on offer. Id say Joe Mixon and T.Y. Hilton have the best chances of those bonus points in week 8, Ryan will be hoping for them to go big and then some.

Pirates are going steady, its all the sails out and all the guns blazing at the moment on Pauls Pirate ship. Todd Gurley is setting the tone for the rest of the Pirates, but Larry Fitzgerald has not been too shabby behind him either. Oh dear, they are both on byes, surely that will knock the wind out of those sails? But no, even after those two big losses, there’s still no one ranked below 18! Drew Brees should get things going, and is due another big game to bump his average that has suffered from a couple of poor games. LeSean McCoy and Alvin Kamara, whilst not quite reaching 20 pts average, are well into the high teens and should see Paul all right. Jarvis Landry and Michael Crabtree are looking likely for 30 pts between them. The only hole to fill is kicker, where there’s no one to play as it stands the now – that will be no problem to fill though.

Kestrels, this is not looking like it will end well – Pirates look a shoe in for a big score this week, and whilst Ryan could get lucky for 110-120 pts, Paul is looking more like 110-140

 

187s at Bohemians

5-2 Kelso 187’s face off against the 3-4 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 7 by a 29.96 point effort from Dak Prescott. Kelso 187’s can expect a 20.21 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 8.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 7 by a 25.20 point effort from Tyreek Hill. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 20.87 point effort from Tom Brady in week 8.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

187s have been a little up and down in their scoring this year, a couple of weekly top scores in 4 and 5, with a bit of a dip before that and in week 6. Last week saw them back into form though. Week 8 might be heading for a dip – 3 on a bye and 2 out at least for this week. Dak Prescott is a good bet for points at the top of the lineup, Chris Thompson Mike Evans and Dez Bryant should also get at least a couple of TDs between them. Keenan Allen is not too far behind in the WR ranks either. Marlon Mack might be a bit of a filler, but he’s had a few decent receptions out of backfield and suits ppr well. Chandler Catanzaro and the Bengals round of the squad for Euan.

Ally’s bohemian’s have the second lowest total in the league, with just Tom Brady averaging 20 points a game. AJ Green and Tyreek Hill are close though and both can produce well in any given opportunity. Amari Cooper had a monster last week, shame he was benched though, perhaps Ally will think again about that this week. Tevin Coleman and Ameer Abdullah should start at RB, and both have a 20-point game in them for sure. Harrison Butcher was the kicker pickup to cover bye weeks and should be a good option, the Steelers DST could also be in for a decent game. So, even with 3 on a bye, there are ample opportunities for the Bohos to get some scores

Could be close, but 187s edge it in volume of receptions and likelihood of TDs

 

 

 

View From The Pit 2017 week 6

Week 6 here already, a big bye week again for some of our teams, but the chance to go clear in all 4 divisions, setting us up for the playoff push in the next month or so. No one is out of it, or guaranteed a spot, but we are getting close to both of those spots with Jimmy and Gav respectively. This week looks likely to change some fortunes at least with the injuries we’ve had, so let’s get going straight away.

 

Pickaxe at Pirates

5-0 Nitten Pickaxe, who hope to extend their 5-game winning streak, face off against the 3-2 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

 

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 5 by a 27.20 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins, who snuck past the Kansas City Chiefs defense for 52 receiving yards and 3 receiving TDs. In addition, Odell Beckham was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 21.50 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 20.12 point effort from Jordan Howard in week 6.

 

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 5 by a 17.40 point effort from Pierre Garcon, who got by the Indianapolis Colts defense for 94 receiving yards. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 18.73 point effort from Todd Gurley in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

 

Pickaxe are riding high, now alone at 5-0 in the league and so near that playoff berth. Have the wheels come off though, the hideous injury to Odell Beckham will leave some difficult waiver dealings to get a few points on the board. Gav’s RBs have had a disappointing week though Wayne Gallman may have been a good pick up to see Gav through the bye weeks. There is some depth at WR to cover OBJs absence, De Andre Hopkins with a few good targets and DeSean Jackson fresh off a good outing. Gav needs to pick up a DST and may also think about a kicker after Mason Crosby missed a couple of PATs last week. Matt Ryan is surely due a good week, and just as well, Eli Manning barely got the Pickaxe through the week 5 bye week, losing 4 WRs in the same game, it would be a brave soul, or a desperate one, who picks him up now in all but the toughest bye week binds.

 

Pirates have faced more than 150 more points than Pickaxe this year, Paul has to trust that 30 extra minus points a game cannot last. A look at the stat sheet shows the Pirates RB squad getting healthy points on the board every week, however first round pick LeSean McCoy is on a bye for week 6 which could be important. Todd Gurley is averaging over 25 a game though – so almost enough for 2 starters on Gav’s tea, that should fill Paul with a bit of confidence. Pirates need a streaming TE for week 6, not too tough to find someone who is capable of a TD or 2, just picking which week that it might go your way that is the problem. Larry Fitzgerald and Pierre Garcon look to have the WR posts in the bag, a choice at flex but any of 3 could see action.

 

The Pirates are perhaps due a bit of luck and the stats say that this is going their way, but Gav’s streak has held this long, and we all hope it continue surely?

 

 

Panthers at Earthquakes

1-4 Pilton Panthers face off against the 2-3 Earlston Earthquakes at The Claudie.

 

Pilton Panthers were led in week 5 by a 20.40 point effort from Aaron Jones, who beat the Dallas Cowboys defense for 125 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD in addition to 9 receiving yards. In addition, Devin Funchess was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 18.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 6 due to an injured knee, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pilton Panthers can expect a 15.13 point effort from the Houston Texans Defensive Team in week 6.

 

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 5 by a 19.30 point effort from Le’Veon Bell, who snuck past the Jacksonville Jaguars defense for 47 rushing yards in addition to 46 receiving yards. In addition, Nick Folk was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 2.00 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 22.55 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

 

Last years champs seem to have been a bit quiet this year. They could do with a boost at QB and a bit of luck elsewhere on the board. Jay Ajayi is averaging one of the lowest scores for a first round pick – less than 10 a game, but there are points hidden in here surely, he just has to find them. Mark Ingram is the best scorer but rising star and waiver wire gem Aaron Jones is higher ranked this week and could get a start. Devin Funchess looks like being another great waiver pickup and along with second rounder Michael Thomas and 4th Round Golden Tate should round out the skill positions. Ben Watson could be streamed at TE, but not much chance of Steven Gostkowski getting replaced at kicker any time soon, he’s scoring very well.

 

Earthquakes have faced an enormous 610 points against this year – a full 170 pts more than the Pickaxe boys. Still Cozy is on 2-3 and there must be a few wins sitting in the wings here. What are the quakes doing for kickers, that’s 2 Chris has broken in the last 2 weeks, must be all that standing on one leg in the earthquake, never a good idea. There’s streamers a plenty on the waivers though – stick a pin in somewhere and you’ll have 5-10 pts no problem. Russel Wilson is on a bye so Kirk Cousins will likely get the start unless Chris has a steamer in mind.  Le’Veon Bell and Christian McCafferty look to be in at RB, and Allen and Cohen could fight for the flex spot too. That’s because the Quakes have one of the weaker WR sets in the league, Emmanuel Sanders and Davante Parker likely to start this week. Gronkowski had a bit of a bruise last week, but looks to be back in action for week 6 – guaranteeing a few points there.

 

This looks close on paper, and Rab has the advantage at most of the all-important receiver positions, however, if Gronk is fit that could wipe out all of those Panthers bonus points from one place, I’m plumping for the Quakes this week

 

Jaguars at Tigers

 

0-5 Jerman Jaguars, who hope to end their 5 game losing streak, challenge the 3-2 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

 

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 5 by a 15.80 point effort from Kelvin Benjamin, who snuck past the Detroit Lions defense for 58 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 20.75 point effort from Jordy Nelson in week 6.

 

Tranent Tigers were led in week 5 by a 26.20 point effort from Cam Newton, who tore apart the Detroit Lions defense for 355 passing yards and 3 passing TDs. In addition, Travis Kelce was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 17.80points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 6 due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tranent Tigers can expect a 19.27 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 3-0-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

 

Uncharted territory here as Jimmy’s Jags slip to 0-5 – could they miss out on a playoff spot for the first time ever? With Zeke on a bye that could be a possibility. But let’s stop for a minute and look at some numbers, Jags have faced 639 points so far, almost 40 a game more than the Pickaxe, and could have beaten at least a few teams most weeks, so its far from over. Jimmy has also been quite canny with his waiver budget and is now sitting in pole position to pick up any studs that should appear there in any given week. CJ Anderson and Andre Ellington could get the starts at RB without Zeke in action, Jordy Nelson and Kelvin Benjamin at WR. Jordy Nelson looks to be the pick of them, though of course he’s had a week with zero receptions so its not a guarantee to see 10 pts from him. Matt Stafford and Matt Prater should bookend the team though there could well be a streaming DST to take the place of the Jets this week.

 

Tigers picked up Alex Smith in week 2, but so far have not capitalised on that, he’s outscoring Cam Newton by nearly 5 points a game, its no guarantee he’ll get a start this week either, but it must be getting harder to leave him on the side-lines. Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell look to be getting the RB jobs this week, neither has had a great start to the season, but Powell looks the better of the 2 at the moment. Its WR where Nicky really has value, Antonio Brown is averaging a good 20 points a game and that should continue this week. Damaryius Thomas and Rishard Matthews are no real comparison to Brown, but they are still putting up their respectable 10 points a game. Travis Kelce is second only to Gronk this week and should get a few points.

 

Although the rankings lean over to Nicky’s Tigers, a quick look at the numbers shows that really that is only at WR, where he’s just a couple of ranks ahead at WR1 and WR2. Both Jimmy’s RBs outrank Nicky’s top ranked player and I think that will swing it – it’s a first win for the Jags this week.

 

 

Fog at 69ers

3-2 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 1-4 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 5 by a 31.40 point effort from Leonard Fournette, who tore apart the Pittsburgh Steelers defense for 181 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs in addition to 3 receiving yards. In addition, Andy Dalton was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 13.32 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 6 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.14 point effort from Stefon Diggs in week 6.

 

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 5 by a 25.60 point effort from Davante Adams, who snuck past the Dallas Cowboys defense for 66 receiving yards and 2 receiving TDs. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 23.02 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 4-2-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

 

Although Fog are ‘in the black’ Stuart must be feeling a bit robbed, he’s scoring well and is well over the 110 pts each week, with a couple of standout performances, it’s always a kick in the teeth to lose with the second best score of the week. It’s just Andy Dalton on a bye for Stuart this week. There are no gaps in the starting lineup – everyone once again is ranked in the top ten, but perhaps a bit more depth at RB will be the target for the week, Rob Kelley and Chris Johnson don’t look great, Johnson has in fact just been released, so make that 2 roster spots available! Picking up a QB could wait till the second or third round of waivers as Stuart has plenty cash to spend, there’s certainly no need at WR, where amazingly a #9 WR could be just the fourth choice and bench warming for the week.

 

69ers need to put a lot of hope on Aaron Rogers’ shoulders this week, he’s the only player ranked higher than the equivalent of Stuarts. Mind you that’s really just because Richie has come up against the Fog in maybe the worst possible week. There’s a few top ten and plenty of top 20 players here. Devonta Freeman and Demarco Murray should get things started on the ground and James White looks likely to be one of the only RBs in at flex in the whole league – though of course he gets a fair few points for receptions anyhow. There’s likely a better TE on the waivers than Marcedes Lewis and Richie also needs to find a DST, shouldn’t be too much trouble though.

 

The rankings are by no means an absolute guide, but this week they are all in favour of the Fog, and surely it would be a pretty lucky/unlucky week for all of them to go against him, it’s a win for Stuart.

 

Bohemians at Kestrels

Coming up in a week 6 Earlston Fantasy Football League battle, the 3-2 Earlstonian Bohemians challenge the 2-3 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

 

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 5 by a 30.90 point effort from A.J. Green, who tore apart the Buffalo Bills defense for 189 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. With Green on bye in week 6, they’ll need to count on their second-string WR to carry the team this week. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 21.64 point effort from Tom Brady in week 6.

 

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 5 by a 24.70 point effort from T.Y. Hilton, who tore apart the San Francisco 49ers defense for 177 receiving yards. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 17.94 point effort from Jameis Winston in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown.

 

Bohemians had a rare off week in Tom Brady last week, expect him to come back fighting in week 6. Ameer Abdullah and Tyreek Hill look to be the starting stars at RB and WR, Tevin Coleman probably has the RB2 slot but for WR2 and Flex there’s a wide range of options. Dropping Duke Johnson in week two probably starting to look like a bit of a mistake now, though Tevin Coleman is at least maintaining an above 10 average. He’s back after a bye week rest as well, so maybe some more explosive action from him to come? Ally might be struggling on the waivers tomorrow, he likely wants to replace Jesse James, Robbie Gould and the Steelers for the week, with just 23 bucks left he’ll have to choose wisely or wait till 7 and have very fast fingers.

 

Kestrels have been fighting a rear-guard action for the last couple of weeks, with little chance of wins, but they’ve still posted over 100 pts, which has been capable of a win in the right week, so all hope is not lost for Ryan’s birds. Deshaun Watson is well ranked this week, as are Kyle Rudolph at TE and Lamar Miller at RB. TY Hilton is the only other real likely start this week, but there are possibilities for points most other places too. Jerrick McKinnon is moving up the ranks due to a monster performance last week and if he can repeat that he should be tied is as mainstay RB for the Vikings, but let’s remember that the week before he had a -1, so its all to prove for him.

 

WR2 sand flex could be the difference for the Kestrels, everywhere else Ryan outranks or is pretty close to Ally, but there’s a big gap at those positions, and that could be the difference. Its maybe too close to call, so let’s go with Ryan’s Kestrels who maybe need a bit of luck after a bit of an unlucky start.

 

 

187s at Avengers

4-1 Kelso 187’s, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, face off against the 3-2 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

 

Kelso 187’s were led in week 5 by a 29.74 point effort from Dak Prescott, who got by the Green Bay Packers defense for 251 passing yards and 3 passing TDs in addition to 37 rushing yards. With Prescott on bye in week 6, they’ll need to count on their second-string QB to carry the team this week. Kelso 187’s can expect a 18.62 point effort from Mike Evans in week 6.

 

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 5 by a 34.30 point effort from Melvin Gordon, who beat the New York Giants defense for 105 rushing yards in addition to 58 receiving yards. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 20.92 point effort from Kareem Hunt in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

 

187s have maybe found their stride this season. Dak Prescott could be the steal of the draft in round 12, he’s on for a great season, but the dreaded by week is now, so Euan will have to rely on Big Ben to fill the gap. There’s not a standout RB here, though Lynch and Frank Gore seem to be finding a bit of form and are pushing for 10 point averages, look to them both to get a start this week. Mike Evans and Keenan Allen are the real stars here, both with 15 pt. averages or thereabouts. It’s a bit of a step down to find someone to put in at flex, but certainly there are a few options capable of some points. Euan might be looking for some extra depth at WR this week, and there’s a few bucks to play with tomorrow night, a kicking streamer will probably wait till the free agency and the Jags will likely keep their DST spot for at least another week.

 

Stuart has to be happy with the Avengers possible scores, if not their weekly totals. In most weeks he’s been capable of putting 130 pts on the board. Kareen Hunt Melvin Gordon and Doug Martin look to be a formidable running back trio for the Avengers this week, all of them averaging over 15 points a game. With those sort of totals you don’t really need any reception bonus points to boost the score. However, there are some possibilities at WR too, even if the lineup is not nearly as strong. Doug Baldwin and Tyler Locket on bye weeks is just no help with that of course, Alshon Jeffery and Will Fuller should get a few between them. Stuart needs a kicker and may try to trade up from the chiefs DST, there’s unlikely to be anyone better than Delanie Walker for TE though. Avengers only have $40 to play with but they could well get away spending nothing this week.

 

This game has advantages and disadvantages all over, 187s the clear winner at WR  whilst Avengers have it in spades at RB. Those reception points will be useful, and for that reason I’m going with the 187s, but I think it will be close.

 

That’s your lot, still all to play for and nothing to lose.

View From The Pit 2017 – week 5

Week 5 is here, and with it the start of the bye weeks, causing headaches for some whilst giving an easy ride to others.

In week 5 it’s New Orleans, Atlanta, Washington and Denver on Bye weeks, so we can expect some big holes to fill in some of our teams.

Let’s start with the tussle at the bottom:

Jaguars at 69ers

0-4 Jerman Jaguars, who hope to end their 4 game losing streak, challenge the 0-4 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 4 by a 29.90 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott, who got by the Los Angeles Rams defense for 85 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD in addition to 54 receiving yards. In addition, Ty Montgomery was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 2.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 5 due to an injured ribs , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 17.86 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott in week 5.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 4 by a 23.06 point effort from Aaron Rodgers, who snuck past the Chicago Bears defense for 179 passing yards and 4 passing TDs. In addition, Davante Adams was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.30 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 5 due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 22.01 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 4-1-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

Jimmy’s Jags have a couple on bye weeks, but still can field a full team this week without waivers. Matt Stafford may get the start over Carson Palmer, but both are in with a shout at a big game this week. Zeke Elliot is still going and had his best game of the season in week 4, expect some points there. Jordy Nelson is on a hot streak for Green Bay with 4 tds in 2 games, so Jimmy will expect more of the same in week 5. Andre Ellington could be an interesting decision for Jimmy, there’s been a lot of positive press for him over the weekend, but he’s still not a guaranteed RB2 and might struggle to get into the team above Ty Montgomery until he proves himself a bit more. Matt Prater and the Eagles look to be good to go this week. Perhaps a streamer at TE for Jimmy if he’s not happy with Safarian-Jenkins?

Richie has 4 players on a bye, but only two of them are really holes. However, Davante Adams is in the concussion protocol and may not be able to suit up so there could be a struggle to get a full team out, expect a pick up of a WR tomorrow to make sure. If he can put a full team out, there’s some points here, Aaron Rogers is ranked #1 for a start. Demarco Murray failed to produce last week due to the run of play, and this week against the chiefs could be a similar game script so Richie would be wise not to rely on points here. James White was always going to be a PPR stud, and 10 receptions is enough to justify a place in most of the league, before he gets any yards at all. Jimmy Graham is not short of targets either and is probably a must start TE. The Seahawks look like a solid start for DST, but there may be a streaming option better than Chris Boswell at kicker.

With Richie’s Bye week woes, this matchup is looking like at can only go one way. Even so, at least that will be the bulk of the byes out of the way and perhaps the 69ers can focus on the rest of the season.

Fog at 187s

3-1 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 3-1 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 4 by a 24.50 point effort from Leonard Fournette, who got by the New York Jets defense for 86 rushing yards in addition to 59 receiving yards. In addition, Derek Carr was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.72 points, but he’s listed as out in week 5 due to an injured back , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 15.60 point effort from Brandin Cooks in week 5.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 4 by a 29.10 point effort from Greg Zuerlein. In addition, Chris Carson was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.60points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Kelso 187’s can expect a 19.55 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Fog have a long list of issues this week ,4 on a bye 2 questionables and Derek Carr out with a broken back. However, apart from QB, there is still a whole team to put out so it’s not the disaster that it might have been. In fact, there’s 4 players to put out that rank well within their respective top 10s, Leonard Fournette, Stefon Diggs, Cameron Brate and Justin Tucker are all highly fancied this week, and the rest of the 8 players are within the top 20. Lions might be better replaced by a streamer at DST, but perhaps they’ll have to wait until the QB slot is filled. There’s plenty on the waivers who are capable of a 20-pt. game, but Stuart will have to choose wisely if he wants someone to keep for the whole 6 weeks that Carr could be out, or he’ll end up bankrupting himself on the waivers just to cover, as of course there will be QBs required every week now that the waivers have started.

187s have lost Chris Carson, probably for the rest of the year, that’s a bit of a shame as he seemed to be coming into his own. Chris Thomson is heading into a bye after a bit of a drop week, but apart from that it’s a full go for the 187s. Dak Prescott is flying, and looks like a great pickup from round 12, he should get Euan started with no issues this week. Marshawn Lynch and Wendell Smallwood are not the best RB pairing in the league, but both are capable, and Lynch must be looking to come back from last weeks miserable outing, expect some Beastmode action. Mike Evans and Dez Bryant will more than make up for any weaknesses at RB, and there should be at least 2 TDs between them. Keenan Allen will start at flex if there’s any justice, he could be WR1 in some of our teams. Like others, there might be a streaming kicker, but the Jags could well outperform their lowly ranking as they are coming off two big performances.

This game will, maybe come down to picking the right QB for Stuart – there’s points everywhere else on the board, but evenly matched across, Stuart with and advantage at RB and Euan at WR. Stuarts QB won’t be ranked as highly as the 187s, but there is someone on the waivers who will get a bigger score than Dak. Odds are that the 187s will take it, but its by no means definite.

Avengers at Kestrels

2-2 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 2-2 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 4 by a 16.10 point effort from Kareem Hunt.   Kelsae Avengers can expect a 19.67 point effort from Kareem Hunt in week 5,

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 4 by a 33.72 point effort from Deshaun Watson, who got by the Tennessee Titans defense for 283 passing yards and 4 passing TDs in addition to 24 rushing yards. In addition, Matthews was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.00 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 5 due to an injured thumb , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Kelso Kestrels can expect a 14.27 point effort from T.Y. Hilton in week 5

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown.

All square for both these teams. Stuart has no bye week issues, and has Doug Martin coming back from suspension. Avengers scoring took a wee bit of a tumble last week, and that cost Stuart a valuable win, but really there was no reason for it, just bad luck almost across the board, even Kareem Hunts 16 points looked a bit pedestrian compared to his early season numbers. Never mind though, we’ve got 2 or 3 top 10 RBs, a top 5 TE and Kicker and the rest of the team aint too bad either. Without any bye weeks this should be an easy lineup choice for Stuart, and may allow him to focus waiver attention on the rest of the season.

Kestrels must find a kicker this week, but otherwise it’s not too bad considering all the injury woes. Willie Snead is on a bye, but he’s questionable anyhow, so perhaps some time to recover would be useful. Jameis Winston is going string and has of course already had his unscheduled bye week, so expect him to remain in the lineup for the rest of the year. Lamar Miller looks to be performing around about his third round placing and Joe Mixon as a filler is doing well for Ryan, he looks like he’s only going to get stronger as the season goes on. Ty Hilton is perhaps sliding the other way, not quite living up to round 2 scoring, Ryan needs to hope for another week 3 style effort. Allen Hurns seems to be another good waiver pick and there’s still a few bucks in the kitty for more if necessary – $21 should be enough to secure a player most weeks.

Unfortunately for Ryan, with the injuries and bye weeks he has, facing the Avengers who are effectively at full strength, there’s not too much hope for anything other than an Avengers win. Ryan might be best to think about future games when wavering this week, rather than chasing a win that is unlikely anyhow.

Panthers at Bohemians

1-3 Pilton Panthers challenge the 2-2 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 4 by a 22.90 point effort from Michael Thomas, who got by the Miami Dolphins defense for 89 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. With Thomas on bye in week 5, they’ll need to count on their second-string WR to carry the team this week. In addition, Dalvin Cook was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 13.40 points, but he’s listed as out in week 5 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pilton Panthers can expect a 17.45 point effort from Marcus Mariota in week 5.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 4 by a 20.48 point effort from Tom Brady. In addition, Ameer Abdullah was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 19.90 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 5 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 3-3-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Last years champs are struggling a little this year. Rab has 5 players out, at least there’s a space on the roster if Dalvin Cook goes after his injury. Miraculously, there’s still a team to put out and it doesn’t look half bad really. Jay Ajayi is the highlight, for sure, but Golden Tate, Marqise Lee and Shane Vereen are all capable of getting a TD or 2. Texans and Steven Gostkowski could be the Panthers biggest scorers. Marcus Mariota is day to day according to reports so expect Rab to be looking for a QB tomorrow to make sure of being able to put out a lineup.

Bohemians have just Tevin Coleman on a bye so look to be putting out a near full strength lineup. Derek Henry is perhaps a bit of a stretch to be RB2 but he could score for sure. AJ Green, Tyreek Hill and Randall Cobb will get the bulk of the points though – there is a few TDs in that trio for sure. Tom Brady will be busy being Tom Brady at the top of the score sheet and anchors the squad with solid performances every week. Jack Doyle could be replaced with a number of streamers at TE and that’s likely come tomorrow, however with a bit of a hole at RB still and a couple of starters coming to the fore this week, we might wait for free agency to see a change here.

Ally could be lucking out here – though he’s not at optimal strength, the Panthers team is full of holes and this should be a Boho win

Tigers at Pirates

2-2 Tranent Tigers play the 3-1 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 4 by a 33.04 point effort from Cam Newton.  Tranent Tigers can expect a 20.51 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 5.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 4 by a 34.50 point effort from Todd Gurley.  Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 17.51 point effort from LeSean McCoy in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 1-2-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

Tigers have a pretty solid team, it’s just not coming together every week for Nicky. This week could be a problem too, with 4 on a bye, meaning that Nicky needs a kicker to put a full team out, there’s no difficulty in picking up a kicker, but he may have to wait until the bottom of the pile if he wants to strengthen the Tigers skill positions on the waivers tomorrow. Tigers are left with Bilal Powell and Asiah Crowell at RB, not stellar by any means but both names that we’ve seen across the EFFL for a few years, so likely some points at least and a good chance of a TD between them. Antonio Brown leads the WR, Rishard Matthews and Sammy Watkins will be backing up which is a reasonable lineup. Ravens are not ranked too highly at DST, but that’s largely due to coming off a couple of poor games, they were highly tanked before that and Nicky could do worse than hanging on to them this week.

Pirates also need a kicker, so expect either a use of a few dollars to guarantee it, or a race to the buttons after 7 tomorrow. Pauls has a big advantage here as he has his whole budget to play with, so a few dollars to cover bye weeks should be no problem. Then again, he also needs a QB, and that’s a little more important than a streaming kicker – it would be a brave move to leave that to the free agency period, but there will always be someone waiting in the wings who can score 25 pts in any given week, if you can spot them than that FAAB could stay at the max. Todd Gurley and LeSean McCoy should more than make up for the shortcomings of any streamers this week, they are ranked #4 and #5 respectively. Fitzgerald, Landry and Garcon will be unlucky to come away with less than 40 between them too, so maybe that budget can wait?

Tigers have a bit of a mountain to climb here, as long as Paul can find a 15 pt. QB tomorrow I don’t really see a way past the Pirates.

Earthquakes at Pickaxe

2-2 Earlston Earthquakes play the 4-0 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 4 by a 34.60 point effort from Le’Veon Bell.  Fantasy Sharks, Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 19.91 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 5.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 4 by a 26.70 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins. In addition, Carlos Hyde was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 14.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 5 due to an injured hip , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 16.83 point effort from Odell Beckham in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 1-4-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Quakes have started a wee streak themselves, and though The Pirates are top of the division, its all square on divisional wins, so expect some competition from within Kirk. Cozy has just Sanders and Ginn on a bye and no injuries for a change. Russel Wilson is coming from two good performances on the last fortnight. Le’Veon Bell is similarly on a bit of a roll. Christian McCaffrey, Devante Parker and Tyrell Williams should get some points up, but will be lucky to keep pace with the two stars above. Gronk looks to bookend the scorecard with another decent 12-20 score. Blair Walsh and the Cardinals defense should at least be positive scores, but will be a wee side order rather than the icing on the cake.

Gav’s Pickaxe are riding high and alone on 4 wins out of four. However, they’ve not faced the toughest of opponents and have yet to make a monster score. In a way that’s a good thing: there’s no one player on the squad who has to perform every week. However, this week is a challenge as Matt Ryan is on a bye. His performance was curtailed big time last week with injuries to both Jones and Sanu, and perhaps that bye week is the best thing that can happen to the Falcons playmaker. Carlos Hyde is nursing what sounds like a painful injury and talismanic OBJ has missed some time in the 3 games he’s played so far, this season. Though both should start in week 5, there’s every chance that one of them won’t be able to finish a game. Flex could be a tough decision for Gav, and he’s made the wrong choice most weeks so far. Mason Crosby has been effective if not outstanding, but looks likely to keep his place.

Pickaxe need a 15 point QB to stand a chance here, but everywhere else in the lineups there’s a good chance for either team to pull ahead through a TD or a big play. Could be close, but this week I’m going for Pickaxe.