View From The Pit 2017 week 6

Week 6 here already, a big bye week again for some of our teams, but the chance to go clear in all 4 divisions, setting us up for the playoff push in the next month or so. No one is out of it, or guaranteed a spot, but we are getting close to both of those spots with Jimmy and Gav respectively. This week looks likely to change some fortunes at least with the injuries we’ve had, so let’s get going straight away.

 

Pickaxe at Pirates

5-0 Nitten Pickaxe, who hope to extend their 5-game winning streak, face off against the 3-2 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

 

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 5 by a 27.20 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins, who snuck past the Kansas City Chiefs defense for 52 receiving yards and 3 receiving TDs. In addition, Odell Beckham was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 21.50 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 20.12 point effort from Jordan Howard in week 6.

 

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 5 by a 17.40 point effort from Pierre Garcon, who got by the Indianapolis Colts defense for 94 receiving yards. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 18.73 point effort from Todd Gurley in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

 

Pickaxe are riding high, now alone at 5-0 in the league and so near that playoff berth. Have the wheels come off though, the hideous injury to Odell Beckham will leave some difficult waiver dealings to get a few points on the board. Gav’s RBs have had a disappointing week though Wayne Gallman may have been a good pick up to see Gav through the bye weeks. There is some depth at WR to cover OBJs absence, De Andre Hopkins with a few good targets and DeSean Jackson fresh off a good outing. Gav needs to pick up a DST and may also think about a kicker after Mason Crosby missed a couple of PATs last week. Matt Ryan is surely due a good week, and just as well, Eli Manning barely got the Pickaxe through the week 5 bye week, losing 4 WRs in the same game, it would be a brave soul, or a desperate one, who picks him up now in all but the toughest bye week binds.

 

Pirates have faced more than 150 more points than Pickaxe this year, Paul has to trust that 30 extra minus points a game cannot last. A look at the stat sheet shows the Pirates RB squad getting healthy points on the board every week, however first round pick LeSean McCoy is on a bye for week 6 which could be important. Todd Gurley is averaging over 25 a game though – so almost enough for 2 starters on Gav’s tea, that should fill Paul with a bit of confidence. Pirates need a streaming TE for week 6, not too tough to find someone who is capable of a TD or 2, just picking which week that it might go your way that is the problem. Larry Fitzgerald and Pierre Garcon look to have the WR posts in the bag, a choice at flex but any of 3 could see action.

 

The Pirates are perhaps due a bit of luck and the stats say that this is going their way, but Gav’s streak has held this long, and we all hope it continue surely?

 

 

Panthers at Earthquakes

1-4 Pilton Panthers face off against the 2-3 Earlston Earthquakes at The Claudie.

 

Pilton Panthers were led in week 5 by a 20.40 point effort from Aaron Jones, who beat the Dallas Cowboys defense for 125 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD in addition to 9 receiving yards. In addition, Devin Funchess was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 18.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 6 due to an injured knee, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pilton Panthers can expect a 15.13 point effort from the Houston Texans Defensive Team in week 6.

 

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 5 by a 19.30 point effort from Le’Veon Bell, who snuck past the Jacksonville Jaguars defense for 47 rushing yards in addition to 46 receiving yards. In addition, Nick Folk was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 2.00 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 22.55 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

 

Last years champs seem to have been a bit quiet this year. They could do with a boost at QB and a bit of luck elsewhere on the board. Jay Ajayi is averaging one of the lowest scores for a first round pick – less than 10 a game, but there are points hidden in here surely, he just has to find them. Mark Ingram is the best scorer but rising star and waiver wire gem Aaron Jones is higher ranked this week and could get a start. Devin Funchess looks like being another great waiver pickup and along with second rounder Michael Thomas and 4th Round Golden Tate should round out the skill positions. Ben Watson could be streamed at TE, but not much chance of Steven Gostkowski getting replaced at kicker any time soon, he’s scoring very well.

 

Earthquakes have faced an enormous 610 points against this year – a full 170 pts more than the Pickaxe boys. Still Cozy is on 2-3 and there must be a few wins sitting in the wings here. What are the quakes doing for kickers, that’s 2 Chris has broken in the last 2 weeks, must be all that standing on one leg in the earthquake, never a good idea. There’s streamers a plenty on the waivers though – stick a pin in somewhere and you’ll have 5-10 pts no problem. Russel Wilson is on a bye so Kirk Cousins will likely get the start unless Chris has a steamer in mind.  Le’Veon Bell and Christian McCafferty look to be in at RB, and Allen and Cohen could fight for the flex spot too. That’s because the Quakes have one of the weaker WR sets in the league, Emmanuel Sanders and Davante Parker likely to start this week. Gronkowski had a bit of a bruise last week, but looks to be back in action for week 6 – guaranteeing a few points there.

 

This looks close on paper, and Rab has the advantage at most of the all-important receiver positions, however, if Gronk is fit that could wipe out all of those Panthers bonus points from one place, I’m plumping for the Quakes this week

 

Jaguars at Tigers

 

0-5 Jerman Jaguars, who hope to end their 5 game losing streak, challenge the 3-2 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

 

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 5 by a 15.80 point effort from Kelvin Benjamin, who snuck past the Detroit Lions defense for 58 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 20.75 point effort from Jordy Nelson in week 6.

 

Tranent Tigers were led in week 5 by a 26.20 point effort from Cam Newton, who tore apart the Detroit Lions defense for 355 passing yards and 3 passing TDs. In addition, Travis Kelce was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 17.80points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 6 due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tranent Tigers can expect a 19.27 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 3-0-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

 

Uncharted territory here as Jimmy’s Jags slip to 0-5 – could they miss out on a playoff spot for the first time ever? With Zeke on a bye that could be a possibility. But let’s stop for a minute and look at some numbers, Jags have faced 639 points so far, almost 40 a game more than the Pickaxe, and could have beaten at least a few teams most weeks, so its far from over. Jimmy has also been quite canny with his waiver budget and is now sitting in pole position to pick up any studs that should appear there in any given week. CJ Anderson and Andre Ellington could get the starts at RB without Zeke in action, Jordy Nelson and Kelvin Benjamin at WR. Jordy Nelson looks to be the pick of them, though of course he’s had a week with zero receptions so its not a guarantee to see 10 pts from him. Matt Stafford and Matt Prater should bookend the team though there could well be a streaming DST to take the place of the Jets this week.

 

Tigers picked up Alex Smith in week 2, but so far have not capitalised on that, he’s outscoring Cam Newton by nearly 5 points a game, its no guarantee he’ll get a start this week either, but it must be getting harder to leave him on the side-lines. Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell look to be getting the RB jobs this week, neither has had a great start to the season, but Powell looks the better of the 2 at the moment. Its WR where Nicky really has value, Antonio Brown is averaging a good 20 points a game and that should continue this week. Damaryius Thomas and Rishard Matthews are no real comparison to Brown, but they are still putting up their respectable 10 points a game. Travis Kelce is second only to Gronk this week and should get a few points.

 

Although the rankings lean over to Nicky’s Tigers, a quick look at the numbers shows that really that is only at WR, where he’s just a couple of ranks ahead at WR1 and WR2. Both Jimmy’s RBs outrank Nicky’s top ranked player and I think that will swing it – it’s a first win for the Jags this week.

 

 

Fog at 69ers

3-2 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 1-4 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 5 by a 31.40 point effort from Leonard Fournette, who tore apart the Pittsburgh Steelers defense for 181 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs in addition to 3 receiving yards. In addition, Andy Dalton was not injured before the start of his week 5 game, and contributed 13.32 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 6 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.14 point effort from Stefon Diggs in week 6.

 

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 5 by a 25.60 point effort from Davante Adams, who snuck past the Dallas Cowboys defense for 66 receiving yards and 2 receiving TDs. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 23.02 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 4-2-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

 

Although Fog are ‘in the black’ Stuart must be feeling a bit robbed, he’s scoring well and is well over the 110 pts each week, with a couple of standout performances, it’s always a kick in the teeth to lose with the second best score of the week. It’s just Andy Dalton on a bye for Stuart this week. There are no gaps in the starting lineup – everyone once again is ranked in the top ten, but perhaps a bit more depth at RB will be the target for the week, Rob Kelley and Chris Johnson don’t look great, Johnson has in fact just been released, so make that 2 roster spots available! Picking up a QB could wait till the second or third round of waivers as Stuart has plenty cash to spend, there’s certainly no need at WR, where amazingly a #9 WR could be just the fourth choice and bench warming for the week.

 

69ers need to put a lot of hope on Aaron Rogers’ shoulders this week, he’s the only player ranked higher than the equivalent of Stuarts. Mind you that’s really just because Richie has come up against the Fog in maybe the worst possible week. There’s a few top ten and plenty of top 20 players here. Devonta Freeman and Demarco Murray should get things started on the ground and James White looks likely to be one of the only RBs in at flex in the whole league – though of course he gets a fair few points for receptions anyhow. There’s likely a better TE on the waivers than Marcedes Lewis and Richie also needs to find a DST, shouldn’t be too much trouble though.

 

The rankings are by no means an absolute guide, but this week they are all in favour of the Fog, and surely it would be a pretty lucky/unlucky week for all of them to go against him, it’s a win for Stuart.

 

Bohemians at Kestrels

Coming up in a week 6 Earlston Fantasy Football League battle, the 3-2 Earlstonian Bohemians challenge the 2-3 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

 

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 5 by a 30.90 point effort from A.J. Green, who tore apart the Buffalo Bills defense for 189 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. With Green on bye in week 6, they’ll need to count on their second-string WR to carry the team this week. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 21.64 point effort from Tom Brady in week 6.

 

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 5 by a 24.70 point effort from T.Y. Hilton, who tore apart the San Francisco 49ers defense for 177 receiving yards. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 17.94 point effort from Jameis Winston in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown.

 

Bohemians had a rare off week in Tom Brady last week, expect him to come back fighting in week 6. Ameer Abdullah and Tyreek Hill look to be the starting stars at RB and WR, Tevin Coleman probably has the RB2 slot but for WR2 and Flex there’s a wide range of options. Dropping Duke Johnson in week two probably starting to look like a bit of a mistake now, though Tevin Coleman is at least maintaining an above 10 average. He’s back after a bye week rest as well, so maybe some more explosive action from him to come? Ally might be struggling on the waivers tomorrow, he likely wants to replace Jesse James, Robbie Gould and the Steelers for the week, with just 23 bucks left he’ll have to choose wisely or wait till 7 and have very fast fingers.

 

Kestrels have been fighting a rear-guard action for the last couple of weeks, with little chance of wins, but they’ve still posted over 100 pts, which has been capable of a win in the right week, so all hope is not lost for Ryan’s birds. Deshaun Watson is well ranked this week, as are Kyle Rudolph at TE and Lamar Miller at RB. TY Hilton is the only other real likely start this week, but there are possibilities for points most other places too. Jerrick McKinnon is moving up the ranks due to a monster performance last week and if he can repeat that he should be tied is as mainstay RB for the Vikings, but let’s remember that the week before he had a -1, so its all to prove for him.

 

WR2 sand flex could be the difference for the Kestrels, everywhere else Ryan outranks or is pretty close to Ally, but there’s a big gap at those positions, and that could be the difference. Its maybe too close to call, so let’s go with Ryan’s Kestrels who maybe need a bit of luck after a bit of an unlucky start.

 

 

187s at Avengers

4-1 Kelso 187’s, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, face off against the 3-2 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

 

Kelso 187’s were led in week 5 by a 29.74 point effort from Dak Prescott, who got by the Green Bay Packers defense for 251 passing yards and 3 passing TDs in addition to 37 rushing yards. With Prescott on bye in week 6, they’ll need to count on their second-string QB to carry the team this week. Kelso 187’s can expect a 18.62 point effort from Mike Evans in week 6.

 

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 5 by a 34.30 point effort from Melvin Gordon, who beat the New York Giants defense for 105 rushing yards in addition to 58 receiving yards. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 20.92 point effort from Kareem Hunt in week 6.

 

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

 

187s have maybe found their stride this season. Dak Prescott could be the steal of the draft in round 12, he’s on for a great season, but the dreaded by week is now, so Euan will have to rely on Big Ben to fill the gap. There’s not a standout RB here, though Lynch and Frank Gore seem to be finding a bit of form and are pushing for 10 point averages, look to them both to get a start this week. Mike Evans and Keenan Allen are the real stars here, both with 15 pt. averages or thereabouts. It’s a bit of a step down to find someone to put in at flex, but certainly there are a few options capable of some points. Euan might be looking for some extra depth at WR this week, and there’s a few bucks to play with tomorrow night, a kicking streamer will probably wait till the free agency and the Jags will likely keep their DST spot for at least another week.

 

Stuart has to be happy with the Avengers possible scores, if not their weekly totals. In most weeks he’s been capable of putting 130 pts on the board. Kareen Hunt Melvin Gordon and Doug Martin look to be a formidable running back trio for the Avengers this week, all of them averaging over 15 points a game. With those sort of totals you don’t really need any reception bonus points to boost the score. However, there are some possibilities at WR too, even if the lineup is not nearly as strong. Doug Baldwin and Tyler Locket on bye weeks is just no help with that of course, Alshon Jeffery and Will Fuller should get a few between them. Stuart needs a kicker and may try to trade up from the chiefs DST, there’s unlikely to be anyone better than Delanie Walker for TE though. Avengers only have $40 to play with but they could well get away spending nothing this week.

 

This game has advantages and disadvantages all over, 187s the clear winner at WR  whilst Avengers have it in spades at RB. Those reception points will be useful, and for that reason I’m going with the 187s, but I think it will be close.

 

That’s your lot, still all to play for and nothing to lose.

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View From The Pit 2017 – week 5

Week 5 is here, and with it the start of the bye weeks, causing headaches for some whilst giving an easy ride to others.

In week 5 it’s New Orleans, Atlanta, Washington and Denver on Bye weeks, so we can expect some big holes to fill in some of our teams.

Let’s start with the tussle at the bottom:

Jaguars at 69ers

0-4 Jerman Jaguars, who hope to end their 4 game losing streak, challenge the 0-4 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 4 by a 29.90 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott, who got by the Los Angeles Rams defense for 85 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD in addition to 54 receiving yards. In addition, Ty Montgomery was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 2.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 5 due to an injured ribs , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 17.86 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott in week 5.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 4 by a 23.06 point effort from Aaron Rodgers, who snuck past the Chicago Bears defense for 179 passing yards and 4 passing TDs. In addition, Davante Adams was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.30 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 5 due to an injured concussion , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 22.01 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Jerman Jaguars hold a 4-1-0 all-time series record against SanFran-Gordon 69ers.

Jimmy’s Jags have a couple on bye weeks, but still can field a full team this week without waivers. Matt Stafford may get the start over Carson Palmer, but both are in with a shout at a big game this week. Zeke Elliot is still going and had his best game of the season in week 4, expect some points there. Jordy Nelson is on a hot streak for Green Bay with 4 tds in 2 games, so Jimmy will expect more of the same in week 5. Andre Ellington could be an interesting decision for Jimmy, there’s been a lot of positive press for him over the weekend, but he’s still not a guaranteed RB2 and might struggle to get into the team above Ty Montgomery until he proves himself a bit more. Matt Prater and the Eagles look to be good to go this week. Perhaps a streamer at TE for Jimmy if he’s not happy with Safarian-Jenkins?

Richie has 4 players on a bye, but only two of them are really holes. However, Davante Adams is in the concussion protocol and may not be able to suit up so there could be a struggle to get a full team out, expect a pick up of a WR tomorrow to make sure. If he can put a full team out, there’s some points here, Aaron Rogers is ranked #1 for a start. Demarco Murray failed to produce last week due to the run of play, and this week against the chiefs could be a similar game script so Richie would be wise not to rely on points here. James White was always going to be a PPR stud, and 10 receptions is enough to justify a place in most of the league, before he gets any yards at all. Jimmy Graham is not short of targets either and is probably a must start TE. The Seahawks look like a solid start for DST, but there may be a streaming option better than Chris Boswell at kicker.

With Richie’s Bye week woes, this matchup is looking like at can only go one way. Even so, at least that will be the bulk of the byes out of the way and perhaps the 69ers can focus on the rest of the season.

Fog at 187s

3-1 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 3-1 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 4 by a 24.50 point effort from Leonard Fournette, who got by the New York Jets defense for 86 rushing yards in addition to 59 receiving yards. In addition, Derek Carr was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.72 points, but he’s listed as out in week 5 due to an injured back , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 15.60 point effort from Brandin Cooks in week 5.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 4 by a 29.10 point effort from Greg Zuerlein. In addition, Chris Carson was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.60points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Kelso 187’s can expect a 19.55 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Fog have a long list of issues this week ,4 on a bye 2 questionables and Derek Carr out with a broken back. However, apart from QB, there is still a whole team to put out so it’s not the disaster that it might have been. In fact, there’s 4 players to put out that rank well within their respective top 10s, Leonard Fournette, Stefon Diggs, Cameron Brate and Justin Tucker are all highly fancied this week, and the rest of the 8 players are within the top 20. Lions might be better replaced by a streamer at DST, but perhaps they’ll have to wait until the QB slot is filled. There’s plenty on the waivers who are capable of a 20-pt. game, but Stuart will have to choose wisely if he wants someone to keep for the whole 6 weeks that Carr could be out, or he’ll end up bankrupting himself on the waivers just to cover, as of course there will be QBs required every week now that the waivers have started.

187s have lost Chris Carson, probably for the rest of the year, that’s a bit of a shame as he seemed to be coming into his own. Chris Thomson is heading into a bye after a bit of a drop week, but apart from that it’s a full go for the 187s. Dak Prescott is flying, and looks like a great pickup from round 12, he should get Euan started with no issues this week. Marshawn Lynch and Wendell Smallwood are not the best RB pairing in the league, but both are capable, and Lynch must be looking to come back from last weeks miserable outing, expect some Beastmode action. Mike Evans and Dez Bryant will more than make up for any weaknesses at RB, and there should be at least 2 TDs between them. Keenan Allen will start at flex if there’s any justice, he could be WR1 in some of our teams. Like others, there might be a streaming kicker, but the Jags could well outperform their lowly ranking as they are coming off two big performances.

This game will, maybe come down to picking the right QB for Stuart – there’s points everywhere else on the board, but evenly matched across, Stuart with and advantage at RB and Euan at WR. Stuarts QB won’t be ranked as highly as the 187s, but there is someone on the waivers who will get a bigger score than Dak. Odds are that the 187s will take it, but its by no means definite.

Avengers at Kestrels

2-2 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 2-2 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 4 by a 16.10 point effort from Kareem Hunt.   Kelsae Avengers can expect a 19.67 point effort from Kareem Hunt in week 5,

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 4 by a 33.72 point effort from Deshaun Watson, who got by the Tennessee Titans defense for 283 passing yards and 4 passing TDs in addition to 24 rushing yards. In addition, Matthews was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 9.00 points, but he’s listed as doubtful in week 5 due to an injured thumb , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Kelso Kestrels can expect a 14.27 point effort from T.Y. Hilton in week 5

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown.

All square for both these teams. Stuart has no bye week issues, and has Doug Martin coming back from suspension. Avengers scoring took a wee bit of a tumble last week, and that cost Stuart a valuable win, but really there was no reason for it, just bad luck almost across the board, even Kareem Hunts 16 points looked a bit pedestrian compared to his early season numbers. Never mind though, we’ve got 2 or 3 top 10 RBs, a top 5 TE and Kicker and the rest of the team aint too bad either. Without any bye weeks this should be an easy lineup choice for Stuart, and may allow him to focus waiver attention on the rest of the season.

Kestrels must find a kicker this week, but otherwise it’s not too bad considering all the injury woes. Willie Snead is on a bye, but he’s questionable anyhow, so perhaps some time to recover would be useful. Jameis Winston is going string and has of course already had his unscheduled bye week, so expect him to remain in the lineup for the rest of the year. Lamar Miller looks to be performing around about his third round placing and Joe Mixon as a filler is doing well for Ryan, he looks like he’s only going to get stronger as the season goes on. Ty Hilton is perhaps sliding the other way, not quite living up to round 2 scoring, Ryan needs to hope for another week 3 style effort. Allen Hurns seems to be another good waiver pick and there’s still a few bucks in the kitty for more if necessary – $21 should be enough to secure a player most weeks.

Unfortunately for Ryan, with the injuries and bye weeks he has, facing the Avengers who are effectively at full strength, there’s not too much hope for anything other than an Avengers win. Ryan might be best to think about future games when wavering this week, rather than chasing a win that is unlikely anyhow.

Panthers at Bohemians

1-3 Pilton Panthers challenge the 2-2 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 4 by a 22.90 point effort from Michael Thomas, who got by the Miami Dolphins defense for 89 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. With Thomas on bye in week 5, they’ll need to count on their second-string WR to carry the team this week. In addition, Dalvin Cook was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 13.40 points, but he’s listed as out in week 5 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pilton Panthers can expect a 17.45 point effort from Marcus Mariota in week 5.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 4 by a 20.48 point effort from Tom Brady. In addition, Ameer Abdullah was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 19.90 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 5 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 3-3-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Last years champs are struggling a little this year. Rab has 5 players out, at least there’s a space on the roster if Dalvin Cook goes after his injury. Miraculously, there’s still a team to put out and it doesn’t look half bad really. Jay Ajayi is the highlight, for sure, but Golden Tate, Marqise Lee and Shane Vereen are all capable of getting a TD or 2. Texans and Steven Gostkowski could be the Panthers biggest scorers. Marcus Mariota is day to day according to reports so expect Rab to be looking for a QB tomorrow to make sure of being able to put out a lineup.

Bohemians have just Tevin Coleman on a bye so look to be putting out a near full strength lineup. Derek Henry is perhaps a bit of a stretch to be RB2 but he could score for sure. AJ Green, Tyreek Hill and Randall Cobb will get the bulk of the points though – there is a few TDs in that trio for sure. Tom Brady will be busy being Tom Brady at the top of the score sheet and anchors the squad with solid performances every week. Jack Doyle could be replaced with a number of streamers at TE and that’s likely come tomorrow, however with a bit of a hole at RB still and a couple of starters coming to the fore this week, we might wait for free agency to see a change here.

Ally could be lucking out here – though he’s not at optimal strength, the Panthers team is full of holes and this should be a Boho win

Tigers at Pirates

2-2 Tranent Tigers play the 3-1 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 4 by a 33.04 point effort from Cam Newton.  Tranent Tigers can expect a 20.51 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 5.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 4 by a 34.50 point effort from Todd Gurley.  Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 17.51 point effort from LeSean McCoy in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 1-2-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

Tigers have a pretty solid team, it’s just not coming together every week for Nicky. This week could be a problem too, with 4 on a bye, meaning that Nicky needs a kicker to put a full team out, there’s no difficulty in picking up a kicker, but he may have to wait until the bottom of the pile if he wants to strengthen the Tigers skill positions on the waivers tomorrow. Tigers are left with Bilal Powell and Asiah Crowell at RB, not stellar by any means but both names that we’ve seen across the EFFL for a few years, so likely some points at least and a good chance of a TD between them. Antonio Brown leads the WR, Rishard Matthews and Sammy Watkins will be backing up which is a reasonable lineup. Ravens are not ranked too highly at DST, but that’s largely due to coming off a couple of poor games, they were highly tanked before that and Nicky could do worse than hanging on to them this week.

Pirates also need a kicker, so expect either a use of a few dollars to guarantee it, or a race to the buttons after 7 tomorrow. Pauls has a big advantage here as he has his whole budget to play with, so a few dollars to cover bye weeks should be no problem. Then again, he also needs a QB, and that’s a little more important than a streaming kicker – it would be a brave move to leave that to the free agency period, but there will always be someone waiting in the wings who can score 25 pts in any given week, if you can spot them than that FAAB could stay at the max. Todd Gurley and LeSean McCoy should more than make up for the shortcomings of any streamers this week, they are ranked #4 and #5 respectively. Fitzgerald, Landry and Garcon will be unlucky to come away with less than 40 between them too, so maybe that budget can wait?

Tigers have a bit of a mountain to climb here, as long as Paul can find a 15 pt. QB tomorrow I don’t really see a way past the Pirates.

Earthquakes at Pickaxe

2-2 Earlston Earthquakes play the 4-0 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 4 by a 34.60 point effort from Le’Veon Bell.  Fantasy Sharks, Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 19.91 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 5.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 4 by a 26.70 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins. In addition, Carlos Hyde was not injured before the start of his week 4 game, and contributed 14.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 5 due to an injured hip , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 16.83 point effort from Odell Beckham in week 5.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 1-4-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Quakes have started a wee streak themselves, and though The Pirates are top of the division, its all square on divisional wins, so expect some competition from within Kirk. Cozy has just Sanders and Ginn on a bye and no injuries for a change. Russel Wilson is coming from two good performances on the last fortnight. Le’Veon Bell is similarly on a bit of a roll. Christian McCaffrey, Devante Parker and Tyrell Williams should get some points up, but will be lucky to keep pace with the two stars above. Gronk looks to bookend the scorecard with another decent 12-20 score. Blair Walsh and the Cardinals defense should at least be positive scores, but will be a wee side order rather than the icing on the cake.

Gav’s Pickaxe are riding high and alone on 4 wins out of four. However, they’ve not faced the toughest of opponents and have yet to make a monster score. In a way that’s a good thing: there’s no one player on the squad who has to perform every week. However, this week is a challenge as Matt Ryan is on a bye. His performance was curtailed big time last week with injuries to both Jones and Sanu, and perhaps that bye week is the best thing that can happen to the Falcons playmaker. Carlos Hyde is nursing what sounds like a painful injury and talismanic OBJ has missed some time in the 3 games he’s played so far, this season. Though both should start in week 5, there’s every chance that one of them won’t be able to finish a game. Flex could be a tough decision for Gav, and he’s made the wrong choice most weeks so far. Mason Crosby has been effective if not outstanding, but looks likely to keep his place.

Pickaxe need a 15 point QB to stand a chance here, but everywhere else in the lineups there’s a good chance for either team to pull ahead through a TD or a big play. Could be close, but this week I’m going for Pickaxe.

View From the Pit 2017 week 4

Week 4 is here, a month already! Unfortunately there’s still a couple of teams yet to get off the mark. Theres still at least 3 weeks to get a win under the belt and still make the playoffs, but expect some more waiver wire action tomorrow from at least a couple of teams.

Week three’s NFL results did not go according to many plans, and there were highs and lows that no one expected. This could shake up some of the rankings and move some players up in everyone’s radars, there could be some experimental lineup choices for week 4 for sure.

We’ll start with the games for the 0-3 teams. none of them are playing against each other so there’s no one guaranteed to be left without a win on Tuesday, that doesn’t mean there wont be though, so lets take a look.

Earthquakes at Jaguars

1-2 Earlston Earthquakes challenge the 0-3 German Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 3 by a 22.90 point effort from Rob Gronkowski. In addition, Cairo Santos was not injured before the start of his week 3 game, and contributed 6.40 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week.  Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 22.20 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 4, .

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 3 by a 23.20 point effort from Jordy Nelson. In addition, Ty Montgomery was not injured before the start of his week 3 game, and contributed 13.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 4 due to an injured wrist, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 20.21 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott in week 4.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 3-3-0 all-time series record against Jerman Jaguars.

Cozy’s Earthquakes got themselves off the mark last week, about time too with and average of over 115 they’ve  been performing, unfortunately he’s come up against the second biggest opponents total, beaten only in fact by Jimmy’s Jags. Wilson Bell and Gronk should be the heart of this team every week they play, and this week they are ranked 3, 2 and 1 respectively so there could well be 60 points between them. Devante Parker and Emmanuel Saunders look to be getting the start at WR, and there’s a wee bit of choice to make up the numbers; Tarik Cohen or Buck Allen could have decent games, but probably not both, so choose wisely. Chris needs to pick up a kicker too, but that shouldnt pose too much of a problem.

Jimmy is probably feeling a little lost the now, a new experience being 0-3. Still, he’s averaging over 100 pts a game, only 6 pts or so behind the Pickaxe, who are 3-0, so there’s not too much to worry about, yet. Jimmy has pretty much all his waiver dollars intact too, so expect a pounce as soon as a big star gets injured, though he was perhaps burnt a little trying that move last year. Kirk Cousins probably leads the team out unless Jimmy is streaming.  Zeke Elliot is the star elsewhere, though he is not living up to promises yet, and facing some harsh criticism over attitude, which could have an affect in the long term. Jordy Nelson leads out the receivers, but there’s a bit of a ‘best of a bad lot’ choice after him, though any of Pryor, Benjamin or even Decker could get a TD or 2. Ty Montgomery has been putting up the numbers through reception bonus points alone, so he’s sure to complete the skill player group.

The reality is that either of these teams could have been 3-0 with the right match up. Its down to luck really, and though Jimmy is 0-3, Chris surely still has some karma built up from last year, so I’m going for the Earthquakes

Kestrels at Panthers

2-1 Kelso Kestrels challenge the 0-3 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 3 by a 28.30 point effort from T.Y. Hilton,

Pilton Panthers were led in week 3 by a 21.70 point effort from Michael Thomas, who got by the Carolina Panthers defense for 87 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD.  , Pilton Panthers can expect a 18.74 point effort from Michael Thomas in week 4, .

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown.

Kestrels have had a bit of a baptism of fire, losing a couple of stars. Ryan has risen to the challenge though and so far is proving himself capable of playing with the big boys. The loss of Darren Sproles could be another nail in a coffin, it could be time for a bit of that kestrel hovering, for a couple of weeks at least.  Almost the entire team seems overmatched this week against the panthers, but of course there’s some chances for big points from tds and receptions. Joe Mixon is getting all the touches in Cincinnati andT.Y Hilton got a load of looks for the Colts.  Kyle Rudolph is a lonely tick on the kestrel side according to fantasy pros, and there should be some points there. All together though it is gonna have to be one hell of a lucky week for Ryan to win.

Panthers are struggling, last years champ perhaps needing a  bit of a boost to get going. There’s no real obvious problems, he’s averaging not quite 100 though, and that is the difference. Rab needs to pick up a guaranteed receiver to get maybe an extra 6 pts a week, that could be a struggle on the waivers as they stand though, trade time? Dalvin Cook and Jay Ajayi are both doing fine at RB, and it might be a struggle to put either of them on the trade block, but they’d be snapped up by the rest of the league. Michael Thomas and Golden Tate could produce in any case, Tate had a possible TD pulled back last week that might not have won a game against the Pirates, but would have made the Panthers average in line with some of our winning teams. So perhaps there’s no reason to panic after all.

All of then signs point to Rab breaking his duck with a win this week, it would take some serious good/bad luck for that not to happen, or some very good trade/waiver moves on either side.

69ers at Pickaxe

0-3 SanFran-Gordon 69ers, who hope to end their 3 game losing streak, play the 3-0 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 3 by a 28.90 point effort from Odell Beckham. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 19.65 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 4.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 3 by a 24.82 point effort from Aaron Rodgers. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 23.01 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 4.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 2-3-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

69ers, oh dear. Richie has the lowest average in the league. there’s no reason it has to be that way, selection issues have cost the niners a couple of games, its a problem oif having just a few too many mid range players who can perform on any week, just not every week. Surely its only a matter of time before Richie reads the runes right though, and we can expect a 120 point score before too long. Aaron Rogers and the seahawks DST are ranked #1 this week, so there should be points aplenty at the top and bottom of the scorecard at least, can the skill positions match those bookends? Devonta Freeman is due a massive game, though that could also be dependent on Matt Ryan’s production, and unfortunately he’s up in the Pickaxe lineup, Richie maybe has to hope that the Falcons take an early lead and Ryan throws an interception or 2. Jimmy Graham is still ranked highly, despite 3 lacklustre games, so dont expect a streamer at TE. Adams and Thielen should be the receivers of choice, though there’s also an option to use Sanu if Richie is worried about MAtt Ryan’s points on the other side.

Gav’s Pickaxe are sitting pretty at 3-0, that hides some pretty average points though, they’ve faced the lowest points against total by some margin, karma for last year? Maybe, but we’ll see how much luck plays a part in this league. Matt Ryan has been capable if not outstanding and looks to have a monster game at some point. though with 2 possible Falcons on Richie’s side, any advantage could be wiped out. Carlos Hyde and Jordan Howard are both proving useful, though they could both be ‘playing through the pain’, which might only last so long. OBJ came back strong last week though, just in time, with 2 tds in the 4th Quarter, his catches looked good too, so hopefully he’s through his injury scare. Zach Ertz is the not so secret weapon in this team though – he is making the most of the PPR format and sees an extra 7 pts a week over standard format. DeAndre Hopkins is leading the league in targets too, and together that is points in the bag for Gav.

Richie badly needs this win, but its going to be a struggle here. He outranks Gav at RB and QB, and in standard that would be enough, PPR looks to be enough to put the Pickaxe in front though – its Nitten Pickaxe by 5 points.

Pirates at Fog

2-1 Tweedbank Pirates challenge the 3-0 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 3 by a 37.90 point effort from Todd Gurley,  In addition, Michael Crabtree was not injured before the start of his week 3 game, and contributed 1.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 4 due to an injured chest , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 22.98 point effort from Drew Brees in week 4.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 3 by a 32.10 point effort from Brandin Cooks. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.80 point effort from Julio Jones in week 4.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a 1-4-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

Pirates are the big scorers by some margin, after only 3 weeks they are more than a game ahead in terms of average points than t least 4 other teams, they are still only 2-1 but that was due to a good break for the Bohos in week 1. There’s simply few weaknesses for Paul as it stands, Pierre Garcon is the lowest ranked player in a starting lineup and he’s only at 25 – higher than some people’s starting WR1s. The bench does not rank too highly but there;s a handcuff or 2 in there for sure, so they’ll jump up the rankings should an injury come. Todd Gurley and LeSean McCoy are ranked right next to each other at 4 and 5 this week, but they couldn’t be further apart in their season starts, Gurley is flying whilst McCoy has yet to really shine, those bonus reception points are stacking up though. Fitzgerald and Landry both had decent outings last week, so expect them to start at WR1 and 2, plenty of receptions and a probably TD between them should see pirates well into the 100s again.

Fog are comfortable on their 3 wins, with a healthy average they look to be a team that is consolidating their place in the league. Julio Jones is perhaps due a TD or 2, but he’s still getting the points on the board via receptions. Leonard Fournette has been steadily rising up the rankings, with a TD and a few good receptions each week to boost some average plus running stats. He surely cannot score every week, but there’s no reason to leave him on the bench. Derek Carr had a bit of a disaster last week, but there’s not much on the waivers to tempt Stuart away from starting him again, it can’t be as bad as week 3 anyway? The Broncos and Justin Tucker are a pretty healthy pairing at the bottom of the set, and could be the difference here as they are ranked well above Paul’s pair.

All in all The Pirates have the momentum, but the Fog could have a strong week, its a big advantage for paul at RB but Stuart has the edge at receivers, and could have 3 on the filed higher ranked than any of Paul’s, for that reason I’m giving it to the Fog, bonus ppr points should do it.

187s at Tigers

2-1 Kelso 187’s play the 2-1 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 3 by a 30.80 point effort from Chris Thompson, .  , Kelso 187’s can expect a 18.93 point effort from Keenan Allen in week 4, .

Tranent Tigers were led in week 3 by a 28.60 point effort from Sammy Watkins,

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be an epic battle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

187s have been a wee bit unlucky not to be top of the TJ Hooker division, they have the top score by quite a bit, but came up against a brick wall against the Kestrels in week 2. The rankings look great for this week, perhaps apart from Greg Zuelein at kicker, but he’s sure to get some points in any case. Chris Thompson looks to be the back to own in Washington with Rob Kelley out, and that could prove a great pickup by the end of the season, it doesn’t looks like Samaje Perrine will be fit or forgiven for week 4. Dak Prescott has a tough matchup at the raiders, but he’s still ranked #6 QB overall this week, so plenty of chances there. Mike Evans and Keenan Allen both ranked in the top 10 and at least one of them due a TD this week maybe? the Jags must be on a roll after holding the Ravens to just 7 pts last week, as long as they’ve recovered from their trip they are surely a solid start.

Tigers were soundly beaten last week, even after an impressive start from Sammy Watkins on the Thursday night. Antonio Jones also brought home the points but it was everywhere else that caused Nicky problems, there’s no RB averaging more than 7 pts a game, and that is a huge loss, having Charles Clay and Travis Kelce on the team is surely a wasted space, and like others in previous years gives Nicky a lineup problem every week. There are teams looking for a TE though, a trade could be the way forward to get a 10 point RB on the books. The Ravens were obliterated last week as a DST, and ended up on minus points, they not got a great matchup this week either, so perhaps expect a waiver pickup there. QB is no better, Cam Newton is roundly failing to live up to previous years and Alex Smith is a poor subsitute ofr a QB1, Nicky is in danger of ending up with 2 reserve QBs if he doesn’t act fast.

Nicky’s Tigers have an advantage with Brown and Kelce, but that’s about it. Euan’s 187s outrank them nearly everywhere else and we’ve got to go with a win for the 187s this week.

Bohemians at Avengers

1-2 Earlstonian Bohemians face off against the 2-1 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 3 by a 36.72 point effort from Tom Brady. In addition, Derrick Henry was not injured before the start of his week 3 game, and contributed 7.40 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 4 due to an injured thigh, which might severely limit his fantasy production. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 19.69 point effort from Tom Brady in week 4.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 3 by a 26.50 point effort from Doug Baldwin,

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 0-2-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

Allys Bohos have come up against a bit of a wall this week. Though the Bohemians are scoring well, it’s not a patch on the Avengers average. Tom Brady and AJ Green really both need to have standout games to get this matchup going. The Steelers look to be a good defense option and there are points available for Tyreek Hill every week it seems. Tevin Coleman, Ameer Abndullah and Derrick Henry could all get a starting place for the weekend, likely dependant on Demarco Murrays status. Amari Cooper should be in at Flex and together that looks like a good 100 pts in the bag, they are going to need 120 to get a win here though – so a 3 TD luck bonus is what Ally needs.

Avengers have been scoring well, second only to the rampaging Pirates. Kareem Hunt has 97 point sin 3 weeks, lets look at that again at the end of the season, but 3 straight monster performances on the bounce, from a 4th rounder, can it continue? Fantasy pros thinks so and he’s ranked #1 on the week. Melvin Gordon scrapes in at 10 as well with 2 top 20 WRs in Baldwin and Jeffery to balance out the skill players. Pip Rivers has a better rank but Carson Wentz, picked up in Free agency is surely the hot hand here after Rivers’ disaster in week 3. If there is a loose link in the Avengers chain it’s here at QB. Stuart is probably not too worried though, as his other starters are doing the business week after week just now.

Ally is due a better game and the numbers bear that out the Pit has to go with the numbers, and this week they say Bohos for the win.

 

that’s it, a bit of a late start this week, so half done before and half after the waivers, I aint going back to change them tho!

 

View From the Pit 2017 – Week 3

Week 3 has arrived and with it a few big deals:

the first is that some folks are now 0-2, which is when things start to feel a wee bit uncomfortable. Secondly was the massive spend on the waivers last week, a couple of folk left with precious little for the rest of the season. Thirdlt was the huge range of scoring: where in the last few years 95-100 has been enough to feel comfortable, we are now looking at a couple of teams with average scores nearer 150 than 100. Lastly we have the ever present injuries to stars across the league and the resultant scrabble for replacements.  We can expect these things together to lead to a bit more being spent on the waivers tomorrow.

It seems clear that there’s going to be no let up this season, so better get reading below and set your waivers for the morrow.

Avengers at Fog

2-0 Kelsae Avengers play the 2-0 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 2 by a 25.90 point effort from Kareem Hunt.. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 19.50 point effort from Kareem Hunt in week 3..

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 2 by a 21.20 point effort from Derek Carr. In addition, Chris Hogan was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 18.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 19.85 point effort from Julio Jones in week 3.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a epic battle. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 1-3-0 all-time series record against Fog on the Tyne.

One of these teams will be on that all important 3-0 with a 2-0 divisional rating on Tuesday. That is getting close to half way to a playoff berth folks, so not to be sniffed at.

Avengers have the best record in the league at the moment, with a monster 290 points from their 2 games. Is that sustainable? Well a quick look at the stats shows that Kareen Hunt is responsible for nearly a quarter of those points on his own, so I’d have to say that there will need to be a drop at least in RB scores. Mind you there are also places where scores have been lower than expected too so there’s room for this team to stay near the top of the averages. RBs form the heart of the team, receivers maybe a little less stellar , but there’s room for some receptions and a TD or 2 from Alshon Jeffery and Delanie Walker. The Rams are highly rated this week ,leaving Stuarts waiver picks free for some of the skill positions.

Fog look pretty good too, and could be cursing being in uhura by the end of the season if Stuart’s Avengers keep up their form, Stuarts fog could be leading most divisions affter 2 weeks, even if their average score pales in comparison to the Avengers. The good news is that the over 100 average that the Fog have obtained has come from right across the team, there’s a wide range of players with a very healthy 10 poitn average, showing at least some consistency. Derek Carr is a solid start this week, and Julio Jones is surely due a monster game at some point. RB2 is a worry though, there are maybe a couple of waiver targets from Stuart due tomorrow.

The Pit thinks that the Avengers luck has to run out sometime, and it could well be this week, its a win for the Fog.

Pickaxe at Tigers

2-0 Nitten Pickaxe play the 2-0 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 2 by a 18.80 point effort from Martavis Bryant.. In addition, Jordan Howard was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 0.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 20.10 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 3..

Tranent Tigers were led in week 2 by a 24.30 point effort from Travis Kelce. Tranent Tigers can expect a 22.30 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 3.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a epic battle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 4-2-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

Its all to play for in this  Shatner divisional clash. Both Gav and Nicky have started well but by Tuesday morning only one of them will retain that perfect record.

Gav’s Pickaxe have lucked out a bit so far, coming up against 2 disappointing scores from the Panthers and the Bohemians, a win is a win though, and Pickaxe could be counting on those 2 in the bag come playoff time. There’s good and bad news for Gav, OBJ looks to be back, if not quite 100% yet, but Jordan Howard, 2nd round pick, could be done through a combination of a shoulder injury, a severe lack of O line talent and a rookie coming up fast in the form of Tarik Cohen. There’s been a few surprise points too though, Mike Gillislee could be a solid 10-15 pts a week and Zach Ertz also looks stable for the moment, getting a huge number of targets. Mason Crosby has not made any mistakes yet and there’s plenty of streamers to put in at DST.

Tigers have Antonio Brown to thank for two solid performances so far, but he’s far from the only star in this team. Cam Newton might have had a lacklustre start, but backup Alex Smith could see most of the starts for Nicky this year in any case, if he can continue his great starting form. Isaiah Crowll and Matt Forte have not been setting the workd on fire but there are chances for bigger scores here in any given week. The Ravens look like a good option for DST this week. There’s a little lack of depth at WR here, could be Sammy Watkins or Rishard Matthews at flex, expect at least a bid in for a decent flex player from Nicky tomorrow .

The ranks say Pickaxe, but the form says Tigers, but with just average scores from Gav’s studs so far maybe week 3 is time for a big breakout, no surprises that we are going for a Pickaxe win this week

All the other games are 0-0-vs 0-1, which means we have at least the possibility of no one at all going 0-3.

Bohemians at Earthquakes

1-1 Earlstonian Bohemians challenge the 0-2 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 2 by a 30.78 point effort from Tom Brady.. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 19.50 point effort from A.J. Green in week 3..

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 2 by a 24.20 point effort from Emmanuel Sanders. In addition, Rob Gronkowski was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 23.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured groin , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 22.20 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 3.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a epic battle. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 4-4-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

This is a fight for the bottom spot in Kirk division.

Bohemians had a bit of a disaster last week but there’s plenty in this team to feel happy with. Tom Brady is points in the bag every week he’s playing, it seems his main problem is passing ever so slightly too well for fantasy, given the Pats tendency to run within the 15 yard line, I’m sure that’s not top of his priority list though, so don’t expect it to change any time soon, Gronk would be a big loss to Brady’s scoring chances, but his strain is not serious by all accounts. Despite the Bengals woes in the real game, AJ Green still looks worth starting every week, and with so much point chasing on the cards, there’s always an option for a massive hail Mary TD. Ameer Abdullah and Tevin Coleman look to be the only selectable RBs on Ally’ Bohos squad, so unless there’s is a big push on the waivers expect them to start.

There’s a bit of Deja Vu for Chris and beig 0-2, he will be wanting a win perhaps more than anyone this week to avoid slipping into the kind of slide we saw last year. There’s surely good news here though, Tarik cohen should benefit from the bears o-line injuries and become a key ppr asset with his receiveing back abilities, Javorious Allen may turn out to be a steal too, even if Chris has blown almost his entire budget in week 2. As above, Gronk looks to be playing this week, and there’s a good 15 pts on the board with any justice. Devante Parker and Emmanuel Sanders will likely start at WR, and they are capable, if not outstanding.

Chris really needs Bell to perform as he is capable of this week, a 25 pt burst there will see him through, but there’s no guarantee. Without really any stats to back it up, it looks to me that in a low scoring game the Runners will make the difference whilst the higher the score the more you need receivers and those important extra points – therefor receiving RBs are a bit of a holy grail. Interestingly for Chris, my predictatron does not put Tarik Cohen, who fits the receiving RB designation, into his lineup this week, but don’t be surprised to see him there on Sunday. All in I’d say this could be close, and reliant on waiver pickups for both of them – but in the end I’m going for another win for the Bohos I’m afraid.

Panthers at Pirates

0-2 Pilton Panthers face off against the 1-1 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 2 by a 14.60 point effort from Jay Ajayi.. In addition, Greg Olsen was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 2.00 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Pilton Panthers can expect a 18.17 point effort from Michael Thomas in week 3.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 2 by a 32.00 point effort from Michael Crabtree. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 19.61 point effort from Drew Brees in week 3.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 3-1-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

Panthers are not off to a great start, a  bit like Bengals QB Andt Dalton, who looks likely to be binned unless something major happens soon. Marcus Mariota seems a much safer bet, though there could also be some streamer options that do the business for Rab this week. Jay Ajayi is rated #2 RB this week, and he really needs to get some stats onto the board to justify that first round pick, but of course his bye week is already passed, so if he can develop his 15 points from last week we could see Rabs fortunes turn.  Dalvin Cook is scoring pretty well too. Golden Tate is the pick of the wideouts here, there’s certainly chances for him and a couple of the other receiver options, flex might be a tough choice. it looks like tome to go with another DST this week for Rab, though there could be some competition on the waivers for the pick of that bunch.

Pirates have scored well, and were a wee bit unlucky not to win in week one with a fine score. Todd Gurley and Michael Crabtree have both been outstanding so far. Gurley and Lesean McCoy are both ranked in the top 10 RBs this week which should give coach Paul some confidence. Jason Witten has certainly benefitted from the PPR scoring change this year, with a good haul of targets and receptions to boost his score to a very respocetable 20+ average, expect that to take a wee bit of a dive this week, but there’s still plenty of points there. Jarvis Landry and Pierre Garcon are likely to bne the ones fighting it out for a flex place, and both are ranked in the top 30 WRs this week, giving them more than half a chance at a TD or a handful of reception bonus points.

All in, The Pirates should have this one sealed up, assuming that RAb cannot fill all his lineup weaknesses without a fight from the rest of the league.

 

69ers at Kestrels

0-2 SanFran-Gordon 69ers challenge the 1-1 Kelso Kestrels at Shedden Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 2 by a 24.00 point effort from Devonta Freeman.. In addition, DeMarco Murray was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 3.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 19.74 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 3..

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 2 by a 20.20 point effort from Allen Hurns. Kelso Kestrels can expect a 16.38 point effort from Jameis Winston in week 3. This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown.

Is this the first home game for the Kestrels? Yep sure is. Maybe Ryan is amongst you cynics who think there’s no such thing as a home advantage? Where’s your passion? is my challenge back. You are not really part of the league unless you know the name of the hotdog guy in block C of your home stadium now are you?

Richie’s 69ers have yet to get in the black this year, there’s no real reason for that – there’s a string of potential stars here, they just haven’t got going at the same time. Aaron Rogers leads the pack and is top ranked QB for week 3. Devonta Freeman is going strong and is second only to Rogers in scoring averages on the niners roster. Davante Adams should lead out the WR cohort and should be good for a handful of receptions and maybe a TD. Seahawks DST have a decent match up for the week and chris Boswell looks stable at Kicker. With that said, where can Richie make a change – there’s no one obvious to sub in from the waivers, not that the niners should leave it for the week, but any waiver picks might still end up on the bench.

The Kestrels have had a bit of bad luck in their start in the EFFL, David Johnson is on the IR and Willie Snead is also out. Jameis Winston is a solid start, but needs to step up a gear after missing week one due to the hurricane.  Unfortunatley for Ryan, there’s no one in RB or WR ranked any higher than 20 this week, that leaves some selection problems, and a reliance on luck to make any progress this week. Ryan played a big part in a week 2 waiver arms race, leaving him with just 25 bucks to play with this week, maybe enough for a top waiver pick but you’ve got to doubt it. The Pit’s advice is to ride the storm for a week or two and come back fighting – you never know when those mid range players could just give you the win you need.

The Pit has to go with the home crowd being disappointing for their first game, its a win for the 69ers

187s at Jaguars

1-1 Kelso 187’s face off against the 0-2 Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 2 by a 22.30 point effort from Mike Evans. In addition, Terrance West was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 12.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured undisclosed , which might severely limit his fantasy production. 187’s can expect a 17.96 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger in week 3.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 2 by a 29.00 point effort from Ty Montgomery.. In addition, Tyler Eifert was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 7.20 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Jerman Jaguars can expect a 19.41 point effort from Kirk Cousins in week 3..

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a hard-fought struggle. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Jerman Jaguars.

So the 187s have the opportunity to put the boot in to the double champs this week – Jimmy has never lost the first game, let alone going 0-2. Euan’s stat line reads unlike anyone else’s – there’s no one on the entire roster with an score less than 17 or so – that says depth, but it also says selection nightmare. I know there’s a load of coaches in the league would be loving that selection nightmare though , so stay thankful 187s and maybe make some trades! Receivers should make the bulk of the points, both at WR and TE. Dez Bryant only warrants a flex place according to my rankings, that’s got to be  a good thing. Marshawn Lynch appears to be back on reasonable form, and you have to expect that he will get better during these first few weeks unless he gets injured.

The Jags have a fine team on paper, and as Jimmy pointed out he had the 2 top scoring RBs last week and still lost. Zeke Elliot and Ty Montgomery should be the heart of this lineup again. There’s some suggestion that Zeke is  in a sophomore slump, and of course he might be affected by his own off field antics. Unusually Jimmy made no moves on the wiavers last week, preferring to make a range of free agency moves. That of course puts him in pole for the week with a full 100 bucks to spend should he choose. We’ll see tomorrow but there is certainly a gap for another receiver, a better TE or another WR. I think its likely we’ll see a streamed dst and maybe a kicker too.

There’s no doubt that as it stands on Tuesday night – the 187s have the advantage, and the pit is going for those numbers.

 

and that’s your lot for the week

 

View From the Pit 2017 – Week 2

Week one is done, 6 of us are sitting pretty in the black and six might be panicking a littel and ready to spend spend spend on the waivers. With a little sneak peak of who people might want, followed by lots of playground ‘but he did it first’ comments we may be in for a big money Wednesday night – who has the most to lose by not splashing the cash is the big question?

1 win does not get you to the playoffs though, and there’s a long way to go – even a massive 162 point score is no guarnatee of a season to come, and conversely we’ll all be expecting those quakes to pick up the pace, after all, they now have the definite best RB in the league?

As a bonus this week we welcome back MFL Bot to the View. How you doing MFL Bot?

Not so great judging by some of your predictions…

There’s no big divisional deciders yet, with no teams guaranteed to go 2-0, though at least 1 team will go 0-2 this week

69ers at Avengers

0-1 SanFran-Gordon 69ers face off against the 1-0 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 1 by a 24.70 point effort from Adam Thielen, who beat the New Orleans Saints defense for 157 receiving yards.  69ers can expect a 23.93 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 2.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 1 by a 46.60 point effort from Kareem Hunt, who beat the New England Patriots defense for 148 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD in addition to 98 receiving yards. Avengers can expect a 19.59 point effort from Philip Rivers in week 2.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 0-2-0 all-time series record against Kelsae Avengers.

69ers did not get off to their best start with the second lowest score in the league last week, facing the top scorer they are going to have to pull out all of the stops to get going again. Aaron Rgers, the Seahawks D and Jimmy Graham are all ranked very high this week for a start and that should provide a backbone for the score. Devonta Freeman and DeMarco Murray are both top 10 RBs for week 2 and that should see Richie to a good 25-30 pts plus TDs. Adam Thielen, last weeks top scorer for Richie, should sneak in at flex if nothing else, Davante Adams perhaps the pick of the WR selection, There’s a group of receivers ranked very close though, and that might prove a selection worry for 69ers this week. Chris Boswell is maybe a weka link here, but with kickers so hard to predict, is it worth strameing someone else?

Avengers couahc Stuart has got to be happy with week one. 46 points for a single player was more than many teams whole bench score and would have made a winning difference in every game. Remember that he fumbled with his first play, so it could even have been higher! Melvin gordon is again ranked hiugher than Hunt so together Stuart has to expect 30 pts in the bag. There’s a good range of WR talent for the first 2 slots, its at flex where the pickings start to get a little slimmer. Marshall, Riddick or Corey Davis are sure to put up at least a few points though – whoever the Avengers select. vDan Bailey and the Rams would be a firm pick for K and DST most weeks and this is no excepttion, you’ll expect an average plus score from the both of them. Pip Rivers takes the team out, and though rarely Stellar, he’s a solid choice for QB.

Avengers can surely only roll downhill from last week, the question is how far? this week the pit is going for far enough to get beat by the 69ers.

Tigers at Panthers

1-0 Tranent Tigers challenge the 0-1 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 1 by a 29.20 point effort from Antonio Brown, who tore apart the Cleveland Browns defense for 182 receiving yards. Tigers can expect a 21.53 point effort from Antonio Brown in week 2.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 1 by a 21.40 point effort from Golden Tate, who beat the Arizona Cardinals defense for 107 receiving yards in addition to 7 rushing yards. Panthers can expect a 18.28 point effort from Marcus Mariota in week 2.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 1-5-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Tigers had the best Shatner division score last week, but still sit in the middle thanks to the Pickaxe divisional win. This is their chance to get back in the hunt with their own go against last years champs. Antonio Brown and Travis Kelce should help them on their way. Last week’s near 30 points is enough to put a smile on anyone’s face, though the vimings should be a slightly tougher secondary than the Browns last week. Elsewhere in the team its all just solid, not standout, Cam Newton is always good for a few points at least, and Travis Kelce is second ranked TE for the week so there’s chances there. Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell at RB could do with some backup, so expect some waiver action from Nicky  tomorrow too.

Panthers hit the ground with a bump in week one, last years champs just about got over the line to 90 points, though what the ‘industry standard’ will be in PPR is anyone’s guess. In any case a journeyman performace. Like Paul, Rab can be happy that in thse 90 points there were lots of solid numbers rather than anyone standout, there’s certainly more to come from the receivers I’m sure. Marcus MAriota is likely to get the start again over Andy Dalton, who was in negative points for week one. Mariota is a bit of an anomoly, not quite in the elite ranks for fantasy, but possibly too good to stream as well, perhaps expect Dalton to be dropped in favour of someone more likely to pair up with Mariots low weeks.  Jay Ajayi and Dalvin Cook are both expected to score more than the equivalent Tigers.

There’s points in the Panthers for sure, and lets not forget their DST and Kicker who could upset the cart, but the numbers say tigers this week.

Kestrels at 187s

0-1 Kelso Kestrels play the 1-0 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Kelso Kestrels were led in week 1 by a 15.00 point effort from the Carolina Panthers Defensive Team. In addition, Allen Robinson was not injured before the start of his week 1 game, and contributed 2.70 points, but he’s listed as out in week 2 due to an injured knee, which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Kestrels can expect a 24.93 point effort from David Johnson in week 2. (keep up MFL bot eh?!?)

Kelso 187’s were led in week 1 by a 16.20 point effort from Jonathan Stewart, who snuck past the San Francisco 49ers defense for 65 rushing yards in addition to 17 receiving yards. In addition, Caleb Sturgis was not injured before the start of his week 1 game, and contributed 13.90 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. 187’s can expect a 16.73 point effort from Keenan Allen in week 2.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown.

Kestrels had the worst of all entrances to the league going 0-1 and losing that first round pick until near the playoffs at the earliest and a 4th rounder too, can Ryan recover from that? There was certainly an attempt at panic buying yesterday, but now everyone knows who’s on the list, so it could be an expensive day for the Kestrels. Having said that, there’s still space for points in this team. Jameis Winston is a solid QB to start with this year and there’s still Lamar M?iller at RB and Kyle Rudolph at TE whon would have been on anyone’s draft list. TY Hilton could be a bust until Andrew Luck returns, which could be a few weeks yet, but there’s always hope with a star receiver like that. Perhaps the best Ryan can do is keep his head down and set the Kestrels up for a late season surge. Any week can go his way and if he can pick up a waiver steal and hope for Lucks return, there is still a good chance of the playoffs.

Euan’s 187s lucked out last week with the second lowest winning score of the week. It looks like 100 or more  is going to be the likely win line now we are in PPR. In any case, Beastmode proved that a year off hasn’t done him too much harm and should continue to score for the 187s. Mike Evans looks good enough at WR, and shold collect a few more than last week. Janthan Stewart, last weeks high scorer for Euan, doesn’t even make the team according to my calculations this week, but there’s a lot of competition for that flex spot, so we’ll see about that. Euan needs to find a kicker after Caleb Sturgis has been place don the IR – he could return, but is it worth keeping an IR slot for a kicker?

All in all, there’s some hope for the Kestrels, but in theory the numbers all add up to 187 this week.

 

Earthquakes at Pirates

0-1 Earlston Earthquakes challenge the 0-1 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 1 by a 13.60 point effort from Jeremy Maclin. Earthquakes can expect a 19.07 point effort from Le’Veon Bell in week 2

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 1 by a 20.90 point effort from LeSean McCoy, who beat the New York Jets defense for 110 rushing yards in addition to 49 receiving yards. Pirates can expect a 17.27 point effort from Drew Brees in week 2

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 4-4-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

This match up is all square after 4 years, and this is a crucial divisional game, so expect both coaches to go for it with their lineups, some competition on the waiver wire perhaps.

Earthquakes have the definite top RB in the league now in Leveon Bell, he was maybe a wee bit disappointing last week, but now he’s warmed up a bit it should be 15 pts in the bag each time. Russel Wilson is well fancied this week and should see a fair few points against the 49ers, after a similarly lacklustre start last week. WR is where Chris nmay be struggling, a trade with Ally might be in order if the Quakes can convince him that one of their RBs is worth the value. Gronk had a poor start too – some quakes draft hangovers that need to get cleared out this week.

Pirates have to feel a little robbed after week one, a third best weekly score is always a tough one to take in a loss. However, at least it means the team are performing and importantly for Paul, there were no 40 point outliers in that score – it was just solid performances all round. Lesean Mccoy and Todd Gurley shoudl be safe for 25-30 between them and there’s a prtetty decent set of WRs too. In fact its just at the bottom of the lineup that there are any issues at all, Flex, K and DST seem to be the weak points for the week – but a streaming kicker and DST plus a good waiver pick up will sort that out no problem.

The numbers are falling badly for the Quakes this week – no one wants a repeat of last years start, but its looking decidedly dicey for the Quakes, and it will likely be 0-2 on Tuesday morning.

Pickaxe at Bohemians

1-0 Nitten Pickaxe play the 1-0 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 1 by a 18.50 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins. In addition, Kevin White was not injured before the start of his week 1 game, and contributed 2.60 points, but he’s listed as out in week 2 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Pickaxe can expect a 23.87 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 2.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 1 by a 26.80 point effort from Tyreek Hill.Bohemians can expect a 23.29 point effort from Tom Brady in week 2.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a game for the ages. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 2-6-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Is it really 6-2? Ah well, the Bot doesn’t lie, but will there be a dent in that this year?

Gav’s Pickaxe rode their luck a bit for a win last week, with no one scoring over 20 and a couple of low single digit numbers, it was tocuh and go on Monday night, fortunately the 97 pts was just enough to seal top spot in Shatner Division. Will OBJ be back is the big question for Gav this week, that could make all the difference here. Pickaxe RB pair certainly looks to have the better of the Boho equivalent, but with a certain rookie nudging into Jordan Howard’s touchjes, there’s no guarnatee of a repeat of last weeks good effort. Zach ertz looks like being a good pick up though – high volume short yardage receivers are going to make a big change in the league this year, his 8 catches made him more valuable than even a TD in week one and just aboutr saved the Pickaxe blushes

Ally’s Boho’s have a free roster spot with Andrew Luck out for a while, that’s no great loss with Tom Brady in at QB, and a chance for Ally to perhaps pick up a RB on the waivers tomorrow, he’s hoping for a trade and who knows who in the league is making him an offer he can’t refuse. There’s certainly enough WR talent to spare, looking like a couple of 10 point possibles warming the bench this week unless they get picked up. Last weeks monster scorer Tyreek Hill actually comes in as Ally’s flex choice for week 2 by my calculations, so expect 35 pts plus from whichever recever trio he picks.

All in Tom Brady and that receiver powerhouse look to guarantee the Bohos a respectible 85 pts plus, its just a case of if the RBs and the randomers can top that up to over a ton. Coach Gav looks to have a more stable team, assuming OBJ is fit, but there’s p[erhaps a little less possibility for fireworks, Brady looks the way more likely than Ryan get a 35 pointer for example. But the Pit is nothing if not ‘safety first’ so we are going with the Pickaxe for this one.

 

 

 

Fog at Jaguars

1-0 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 0-1 Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 1 by a 27.70 point effort from Stefon Diggs, who got by the New Orleans Saints defense for 93 receiving yards and 2 receiving TDs. Fog can expect a 19.40 point effort from Derek Carr in week 2.

Jerman Jaguars were led in week 1 by a 20.90 point effort from Jordy Nelson, who got by the Seattle Seahawks defense for 79 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. Jaguars can expect a 22.81 point effort from Kirk Cousins in week 2.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2017, and is sure to be a classic showdown. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 1-8-0 all-time series record against Jerman Jaguars.

Fog have a point to prove here, surely one of the worst records in the league? However, Julio Jones and Brandin Cooks will be a good start to set some of this record straight. RB is perhaps a weakness but Leonard Fournette was well fancied in the draft and returned that ADP faith last week, look for him to keep the points ticking over, whatever his ranking. Derek Carr faces the Jets this week, and that can only be a good thing for the Raiders QB, however, if a match up is that much in your favour, there may be a lot of running down the clock, so don’t be expecting 30 pts plus here. Jordan Reed and Robert Kelly make up the rest here. Reed looks to be a valuable short yardage high volume target, but Kelly seems to have struggled in the opener and will  eed to do better.

Jags have lucked out for now with Ezekiel Elliot, that suspension might still be served, but when is anyone’s guess. When  hes’ playing it feels like 15 points in the bag, and that’s before any TDs. Ty Montgomery was no slouch in week one either and Jimmy could end up with a RB powerhouse here. Jordy Nelson leads the receivers and is predicted a big game in a high scoring contest.  Terrelle Pryor is not quite in the smae league but should see enough targets to make hime a solid WR2.  Tyler Eifert and the Cardinals are a little more unpredictable with scores but both have promise of scores, the Cards D coujld be on the field a lot more than expected with the loss of David Johnson, wheter that’s good or bad for their numbers, it at leasdt provides opportunities for the high scoring picks and sacks.

This is a tough one to call, but on balance I think that the Fog have enough in the tank to hold the Jags at bay this week.

 

 

that’s the lot for this week. lets hope for a few less injuries in week 2’s games, well for my guys anyway!

 

View From the Pit 2017: Week 1

Well howdy! did you miss me? Back for another year, its only the Earlston Fantasy Football League.

Where? What? Who? I hear you cry, well probably not really as no one outside of our happy band ever comes here, if you’ve stumbled here by mistake after a heavy night, you are on the wrong track mate.

Anyway. Draft day was a big success, all 12 teams represented for the first time ever, luckily we had an expert photographer on hand to capture the moment for ever.

It’s a busy week for the pit so I’m going to get right into it with the previews if that’s ok with you. Some of you haven’t even bothered to set a lineup yet, so MFLbot is having a little trouble with the predictions, its all me for week 1.

PPR is here, will it make a difference, well it might flatter the scorelines a little if nothing else, and it could swing a few games even in week one, we’ll see

Kestrels at Fog

Lets welcome the new guys to get things started. Ryan tells us he’s played before, time will tell for the new guys, he’ll either get a telling, or make us realise we’ve all  been winging it for 4 years, or maybe he’ll just end up riding the luck of the draw like the rest of us and pretending he knew it all along when the Kestrels make the playoffs, all I can tell you now is that there will almost certainly be a ‘kestrels hovering mid table’ pun at the earliest opportunity, and maybe every opportunity after that.

Ryan had the luxury? of second pick and perhaps ended up with a surprise David Johnson rather than Leveon Bell that he might have expected, barring injury, it will just be a bit of luck either way that separates them I expect, and thats 12-18+pts in the bank every week. Jameis Winston at QB is perhaps the biggest gamble in this team, not that he wasnt a good pickup well after halfway in the draft but he’s not scored a TD in the whole preseason, with some WR back in the team for the real thing, that could change, and some folks think he could be the steal QB of the year. Elsewhere Ryan’s WR team of TY Hilton and Allen Robinson have some work to do to match Stuarts Fog team, but theres hope at TE DST and Kicker

Fog took Julio Jones in the first, and that shuld pay dividends for Stuart, leading to a good score in the high 20s for the WR team, Stefon Diggs is likely to complete the receiving trio at flex. Itys RB that is the Fog weakness this week, though both Fournette and Danny Woodhead are capable, they are dealing with off season lack of health and practice. If they are as ready as the teams seem to be suggesting Stuart will be fine, but there’s more than a suggestion that at least one of them is not ready for a full season, week one should be fine though? Derek Carr was another late round QB that could have some serious upside, if Beastmode can recover some of his past glory and take the heat off the QB then there’s some real potential for Carr to get some monster plays going.

Though Ryans Kestrels surely have a team that can contend for the coveted EFFL ring, I think he’s picked a tough match up for week one, its a win for Fog here.

Panthers at Pickaxe.

Last years champs had to sneak off early form the draft, however, that meant getting in very early and picking up both the number 1 Kicker and DST for the first few games. Texans are highly rated this week, and they have a point to prove after a bit of disappointing year in 2016. Week one should eb fine, but Rab may need to watch his depth at the skill positions after this wee bit of a gamble.

Jay Ajayi was picked at the end of round 1, and has a reasonable match up at the Buccs in week 1, expect a good score in the teens here. Dalvin Cook will not be that far behind,and as ever a TD could swap these 2 around without too much surprise. Michael Thomas and Golden Tate look to be the WR of choice, and should be safe for 20-25 between them. Greg Olsen sat the last preseason game, but nothing to worry about there, and he should be a good stash of points each week, with the odd TD thrown in as a bonus.

Gavin’s pickaxe could be stopped befroe starting, and Injury worry for star first round pick OBJ is a worry, but he could play, unfortunatley its the laste Sunday game, so no chance of a sub should he turn out to be off late.v DeAndre Hopkins should be good for a few points, and has something to prove after signing a slightly unexpected contract extension at the Texans. Tere is a little bit of choice for flex, which could be useful if OBJ doesn’t get the nod. Jordon Howard and Carlos Hyde have the RB slots covered, Howard could be one of the first players this year to benefit from the new PPR format, as he’s been taking a lot of yards from the throw rather than the run. Mason Crosby should be fine at Kicker but the Giants are not well fancied this week against the Cowboys, that could really depend on whether Zeke Elliot is back or not…

Overall, its a tough matchup to call, but surprisingly the pit is going with Pickaxe for this one, particularly if Zeke reamins suspended.

Jaguars at Avengers

Last year’s lack of a win must have hurt Jimmy bad, poised for the Hatrick after a near perfect season (stopped by the mighty Pickaxe if I remember?). Anyway, he’s so upset he’s taken his name off the board. Ouch, how will those Jags feel with that lack of faith, we’ll see.

Jordy Nelson was the first to put on a Jags top for 2017. this week he’s up against it with the Seahawks visiting, and his weekly rank suffers as a result, should still be some points here though. Along with Terrelle Prior and maybe Kelvin Benjamin at flex, there’s certainly 30 points in the 3 of them. At RB its fairly pedestrain but certainly capable, we’d hope to see around 20 pts here, with at least 1 TD between them. Kirk Cousins has had a bit of a nightmare in the preseason, but lots of good press about the potential of the Washington Offense, we’ll see, he’s certainly got the talent if he can bring the rest of the O-line into some order.

A Pretty good Season for Stuarts Avengers saw them make the playoffs only to fall at the first hurdle. Stuart chose Melvin Gordon as his first pick to get back into gear for 2017. That could turn out well for Avengers, as the Chargers Offense are getting a good write up for the season.  Kareen Hunt could suffer from joint touches with Charcandrick West and that has lowered his weekly rank this year, Stuart has to hope he makes his mark to seal the true #1 RB slot for the rest of the season. Doug Baldwin looks a very good second round pickup, well this week at least, Green Bay are the team giving up the most points to WR at the end of last season. Alshon Jeffrey and Brandon Marshall will likely make up the other numbers, though Theo Riddick might be in with a chance at flex? The Chiefs could be a decent pickup over the season, but this is a poor week to be starting with – the Pats surely wont allow them anywhere near double figures?

All in there’s pluses and minuses across both teams and it looks fairly even, however that problem with the chiefs could be Stuarts undoing and this week the pit is going for a win for the Jimmy less Jags

Pirates at Bohemians

Pirates had their best finish last season I think? Coach Paul will be pleased, but there is a determination to go one better, a bit of luck with a lack of injuries will help with that, and the team looks fine for the start of the season. Lesean McCoy at RB backed up by Todd Gurley should be a formidable pair for the year, though in the new PPR format RBs need to make the most of big runs up the middle and short passes on the outside, we’ll see how that pans out for Paul, as he appears to have the best pair of RBs in the league at this stage. That strength comes with a bit of a sting at WR, inevitably you cannot have everything in this game, Fitzgerald and Crabtree are no slouches though and should see a decent 20+ between them. Kicker and DST are nothing to write home about for Paul, but anything can happen here so its not a write off of course.

Bohemians went against all predictions and pulled some top WRs out of the bag in the first few rounds.v AJ Green and Amari Cooper could just about put Ally in the playoffs on their own this year. Of course, just like Paul that means some sacrifices elsewhere. for the Bohos that’s RB with some decidedly second string names to choose from. However some canny thoughts about the PPR format could add a few points here for Ally. Tom Brady was a another surprise for the Bohos, but there’s no shame in taking the top QB off the board at any time, that’s 20 pts in the bag most weeks. Ally has also scored this week at DST and Kicker, going a little better than Paul at both positions, not enough to guarantee a pts lead from either of them unfortunately.

This is a tough one, and could be a different result in standard or PPR, but of course the teams would be different if we were still with standard. Even given that, the pit is going for the Pirates and that strength at RB, it should be enough to get in the black in week 1

Tigers at Earthquakes

Tigers have some ground to make up after a disappointing 2016 season. Nicky went WR heavy, and comes up with the top receiver in the form of Antonio Brown, Demaryius Thomas backs him up and is sure to be recovered form a small strain he suffered in the preseason. Sammy Watkins could be backing both of them up at flex and I’d be confident predicting more than 30 pts between the three of them. Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell are capable if a little underwhelming at RB , there’s got to be close to 15 pts in yards there though, and maybe a TD if Nicky lucks out. Will Lutz and the Packers D were slightly off my radar i have to admit, and their weekly rankings reflect that, maybe Nicky knows something we don’t? In any other week Travis Kelce would be looking top class, but he’s facing the Gronk on the opposing scoreboard, all but guaranteed to humble any TE score.

Earthquakes had that all important first pick, and plumped for Leveon Bell, make no mistake, PPR or no, he’s gonna get some points for Chris every week, The Gronk is a sure fire way to get a good 5 points over anyone else at TE in any given week, and having the 24th and 25th overall pick meant that Chris could also pick up rookie RB Christian McCaffrey, can he be as good as Zeke in his rookie year , probably not, but maybe something like 800 yds over the year is doable? another huge wait for Chris means that his top WR is ranked a lowly 31 this week, Emmanuel Sanders is still a recognisable name, and he seems to be getting a lot of targets, evwen if he’s not converting them all, for PPR targets have to be a good thing and the pre season and the real deal, so there’s some points here for sure. Chris picked a decent middle of the road kicker and DST, and both are ranked higher than Nickys equivalents this week.

After the draft, Nicky’s team seemed to be the best on offer from some predictions, but the pit can see it , yet. This week is a win for the Earthquakes.

187s at 69ers

A numbers showdown to see us through to the end. Euans handwritten cheat sheet was a thing of rare beauty, but someone buy that boy a printer for next year eh? Mike Evans and Dez Bryant are the stars here, and Evans has a proven connection with Buccs QB Winston, there’s some targets and some completions here, perhaps even a guaranteed 5 points before any yards at all now we are in PPR. Dez’s numbers could be affected by Zeke being in or out, but there’s surely some points here assuming Winston can stay out of trouble if Zeke is out. Marshawn Lynch is back and he fell to Euan at about the point in the draft everyone expected, surely any of us would have picked him up if we’d been in the same position? is a year off too much for Beastmode or can he slip back in, whatever, his press conferences are sure to give as much value as ever and I’m sure most folks are glad to see him back. Terrance West or Frank Gore will get the other spot, a  bit too close to call for me. The Pats DST has to be a safe bet for 187s, though Janikowski at kicker needs to rely on a resurgent Raiders O-line if he’s to pay dividends for Euan.

Aaron rogers fell to 69ers in round 3, perhaps a little early for some, but he’s sure to get those points on the board and provides a safe foundation for perhaps a slightly edgy team in the rest of Richie;s draft. He’s gone RB heavy with both Freeman and Murray. there’s plenty of points there and they are ranked 4 and 5 this week, so expect over 25 between them. 69ers suffer at wideout, a bit like Paul’s Pirates, that will be fine if his RBs get some hard running yards and take a couple of receptions each for those bonus points, there’s still a good chance of 15 pts plus maybe 50% chance of another TD in Davante Adams and Jamison Crowder. Jimmy Graham proved he was back to play with the big boys last years and he’s likely to continue that trend for 2017. Chris Boswell and the Seahawks are not stellar contenders in week 1, but there’s a chance of a few points here.

All in this looks like a close match, QB and RB for 69ers and everyone else for Euan, on balance, I think with PPR the receivers should tip the balance, so look for a win for Euans 187s

And that’s it. Another 4 months of this, every Tuesday spent poring over the waivers and every Sunday spent cursing a graph, who would have it any other way?

 

 

 

View From The Pit 2016 – Finals Week

Well We’ve arrived. The final is here and with it the unexpected prospect of the 69ers vs the Panthers. A bit of a turn up and so many high scoring teams left by the wayside. 69ers have a respectable 3rd ranking in the top scorers but Panthers are a lowly 8th. Clearly they’ve been up for it when it counts, but they have played against the least points in total by some margin.

 

The Saints outscored everyone else last week, we’ve had them before, but heres a perfect song for the week

 

Since its finals week we’ll let the MFLbot have its complete say for a change, then there will be some in depth stats bullshit – so get a cup of tea ready.

Go for it MFLBot:

 

Coming up in a week 16 Earlston Fantasy Football League battle, the 7-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 7-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 15 by a 28.30 point effort from Ty Montgomery, who snuck past the Chicago Bears defense for 1 receiving yards in addition to 162 rushing yards. In addition,Jordan Reed was not injured before the start of his week 15 game, and contributed 0.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 16 due to an injured shoulder , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

We need to turn up the intensity,” SanFran-Gordon 69ers coach Richie said.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 15 by a 28.90 point effort from LeSean McCoy, who beat the Cleveland Browns defense for 153 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs in addition to 16 receiving yards.

On any given day any team is capable of beating another team,” Pilton Panthers coach Rab said.

In week 7, SanFran-Gordon 69ers defeated Pilton Panthers by 13.68 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 6-0-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Thanks Bot, I think.

 

You all read that right, Rab’s Panthers have never beaten the niners – but none of that will matter if the trophy gets lifted next week.

 

Lets look at some stats to see where we are at, if you really dont want my stats, but do want my preview – the preview proper starts at the end of the second table – so lots of scrolling on a phone.

STAT TIME – yeah!

These tables contain the real data of; year to date points, the average, the minimum score and the maximum score, those are absolute values and not subject to opinion. However the next 4 columns are less factual – and could be completely misleading:

Median is similar to average score, but is the middle value of the scores for the past 15 weeks – rather than the average.

Cons is consistency – in my calculations it’s the average (Mean for you maths geeks) minus the median score. My feeling is that the lower this value (or closest to zero – negative scores are also ‘bad’) the more consistent the player has been over the season. the reasoning is that the mean score is really strongly affected by a rogue low or high score, whereas the median score is less so. The ideal player would have a high average and also a low Cons number. This is pure conjecture on my part – and I’ve not really checked it out – I worked out consistency a different way a couple of years ago if anyone is interested, however it does show that QBs, TEs and DSTs have higher Cons numbers than the other positions in general.

Closest week is the score that the player got against the same team that they are playing in week 16 or the closest team in terms of points allowed to that position. Rank is the consensus rankings from Fantasypros.com

Niners:

Player/Week YTD Avg Min Max Median Cons closest week rank
Luck, Andrew IND QB 268.44 20.65 11.08 35.50 18.80 1.85 Week 1 – 35.5 3
Hyde, Carlos SFO RB 156.90 13.08 1.40 26.00 12.45 0.63 Week 1 – 21.3 10
Murray, DeMarco TEN RB 233.90 16.71 8.40 26.00 14.85 1.86 Week 8 – 18.8 5
Baldwin, Doug SEA WR 131.50 9.39 2.00 23.90 6.70 2.69 Week 7 – 6.9 14
Hill, Tyreek KCC WR 118.40 8.46 0.70 17.50 7.70 0.76 Week 12 – 17.5 32
Hogan, Chris NEP WR 87.00 6.69 0.00 19.60 5.90 0.79 Week 12 – 7 54
Jones, Julio ATL WR 155.30 12.94 1.60 36.00 13.05 -0.11 Week 4 – 36 7
Montgomery, Ty GBP WR 87.40 6.72 -0.10 28.30 4.40 2.32 Week 2 – 0 20
Reed, Jordan WAS TE 94.60 8.60 0.60 21.50 6.40 2.20 Week 5 – 5.3 11
Clay, Charles BUF TE (Q) 56.70 4.36 0.00 13.20 2.90 1.46 Week 7 – 2.9 18
Gates, Antonio SDC TE 68.90 5.74 0.00 13.50 4.95 0.79 Week 14 – 6.1 10
Henry, Hunter SDC TE (R) 84.50 6.50 0.00 14.30 7.10 -0.60 Week 14 – 7.3 13
Vinatieri, Adam IND PK 128.00 9.14 1.00 21.00 10.00 -0.86 Week 4 – 11 7
Packers, Green Bay GBP Def 85.00 6.07 -3.00 19.00 6.00 0.07 Week 2 – 7 5
Giants, New York NYG Def 116.00 8.29 0.00 23.00 6.00 2.29 Week 9 – 6 9
Possible ‘closest week’ score 161.9

Panthers

Player/Week YTD Avg min max median cons closest week rank
Cousins, Kirk WAS QB 262 18.714 9.96 30.16 18.11 0.604 Week 13- 17.84 8
Rivers, Philip SDC QB 230.2 16.443 9.44 26.36 15.22 1.223 Week 7 – 15.64 6
Coleman, Tevin ATL RB 128.7 11.7 1.7 26.9 11.7 0 Week 4 – 3.3 26
Gillislee, Mike BUF RB 96.6 7.431 -0.4 16.9 7.2 0.231 Week 7 – 2 38
McCoy, LeSean BUF RB 226.2 17.4 1.1 32.2 16.8 0.6 Week 7 – 1.1 3
Yeldon, T.J. JAC RB 88.2 6.3 2 12.9 5.75 0.55 Week 8 – 5.6 35
Ginn Jr., Ted CAR WR 96.8 6.914 0.5 18.8 5.45 1.464 Week 4 – 1.4 46
Jackson, DeSean WAS WR 109.7 8.438 0.5 17.8 5.9 2.538 Week 15 – 11.1 23
Landry, Jarvis MIA WR 123.8 8.843 3 19.6 8.7 0.143 Week 7 – 9.8 21
Nelson, Jordy GBP WR 174.7 12.479 0.9 22.1 12.85 -0.371 Week 2 – 13.3 5
Woods, Robert BUF WR 59.3 5.391 0.5 16.2 4.1 1.291 Week 15 – 0.5 73
Ebron, Eric DET TE 67.8 6.164 0 13.1 5.3 0.864 Week 7 – 7.9 12
Ertz, Zach PHI TE 76.4 6.367 1.4 13.9 5.65 0.717 Week 9 – 9.7 7
Crosby, Mason GBP PK 109 7.786 2 12 8 -0.214 Week 2 – 2 13
Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def 144 10.286 -2 35 10.5 -0.214 Week 12 – 15 3
Possible ‘closest week’ score
87.64

The ‘closest week’  analysis puts the Niners  favourites by quite some way, nearly doubling the Panthers points and getting the yearly top score to boot – however the consensus rankings put the matchup much closer.

At QB it may be a tough choice for Rab, Pip Rivers is the critics choice in rankings, but its pretty close between him and Cousins, Both look likely to score somewhere between 15 -20 – 25 at the outside. Chargers are eliminated from the playoffs, I cant really see why Rivers is ranked better than Cousins. Either of them will likely not match Andrew Luck’s scoring though, Colts are still in the running for a playoff spot – just, and that could really bring out the best in the QB.

At RB Rab has a very slight advantage for RB1 with Lesean McCoy over Murray in terms of the rankings, however the similar week scores are a total disaster for MCoy. At RB2 its Richie all the way – Carlos Hyde outranks everyone on the Panthers roster and had a great game in week 1 against a better Raiders team.

WR has Jordy Nelson matched against Julio Jones. This is a well balanced pairing, but of course Jones may not yet be fit for Richie. That would be a real disaster and drop his WR 3 way down the rankings. Richie has gambled a bit having just 2 RBs for the final week – so we can guarantee that 3 of these WRs will play. Rab has a bit of choice at WR2  and Flex – but look for Jackson and Landry to get the starts here.

TE  is a bit WTF – how did Richie end up with 4 TEs this week – you know you can only play one right? I could understand if you were trying to disrupt Rab, but all 4 of them are ranked lower than Rab’s Zach Ertz. They are also too colse to call for who will get the start – there will surely be 2 TDs between the four of them – but picking the one who will get one of those, let alone 2, will be sticking a pin. I’m sure we’ll hear some explanation on the chat in any case.

Flex is very close in rankings – expect two Wideouts to start here, Jackson and Montgomery look the most likely, though Julio’s status could change all that of course.

Both teams have solid kickers, Mason Crosby is perhaps a little lowly for this stage in the game, but he’s more than capable. Adam Vinatieri was an expensive pickup way back, but that will look like a good move if he goes 10+ in the final.

Finally DST – the Chiefs have been  bossing it all season for Rab – not the highest averaging, but capable of monster scores. The Packers or the Giants look reasonable choices for Richie, which to go with is a touch decision, but Packers maybe have a little more to lose and will be out for blood.

The biggest interest has to be the Vikings Packers game – though no  one has any Vikings worth mentioning, both teams have a few Packers – and this gone game will almost certainly help decide the whole league destiny. If either team gets 10 more than the other here – that could seal the deal.

And with that its all done – I think I promised some stats last year and never did it – but i will have another look at it and see if there’s some 20 20 hindsight that i can bring you in a couple of weeks- have a great final you 2 , and evetyone else have a great break – see youz in the new year.

 

 

View From The Pit 2016 – semi finals week 15

Here we are then, four teams left and at least two of them quite unexpected before last week. Stuart’s Avengers must be still shell shocked, but that’s the way it goes, one of these four will have their name on the trophy in just two weeks time.

The falcons did it again last week with a monster 42 vs the Rams,we’ve had that team tune already, so I’ll use it as an excuse to put this far out video from Atlanta’s Mastodon

 

69ers at Jaguars

7-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers face off against the 11-2 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 14 by a 26.00 point effort from Carlos Hyde.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 14 by a 21.24 point effort from Aaron Rodgers. In addition, Donte Moncrief was not injured before the start of his week 14 game, and contributed 0.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 15 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 2, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars defeated SanFran-Gordon 69ers by 14.70 points, so coach Richie is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 0-4-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Richie has made five changes today in a bid for last minute glory, though it looks likely that only Hauschka and The Falcons will get the start this weekend. That added depth could be helpful in the final week if Richie makes it and with just that one week to go it was maybe a canny move, as the other contenders are down a few more players that they can pick from. The starters for the niners look strong., no one ranked below 17 (Tyreek Hill at flex). ?however there’s no top 1 or 2 players with that guarantee of 100 yds and a TD and no guarantees for those early teen ranked players. Demarco Murray is surely the standout here, with just one week below 10 pts, and even that at 8.5, he’s a strong contender this week despite his ‘lowly’ #5 ranking, the Chiefs have let in 17.5 pts to opposing RBs this year on average, so there’s a good chance at both yards and TDs. Julio Jones could be the make or break for Richie this week, he’s recovering from a bit of turf toe, and the signs point to the Falcons leaning on the run a bit more against the 49ers, but can you really leave out Jones from your starting lineup? it would be a brave coach who benched him, and he only needs one long catch to make his selections worthwhile, who knows..

Jimmy’s two time winning Jags have failed to break 100 pts for 4 weeks in a row  now, is this the beginning of the end for the early unstoppable Jaguars? I’  not sure, its been a regulation 95 pts for 3 of those 4 weeks and lineup choices could have made it 99 in the lowest of the 4, so there are still points in the team yet. However, rankings wise there is no contest at all, Jimmy is behind at all positions except QB, TE and DST. Lets think about that though – QB, TE and DST also have the highest deviation in points (maybe besides some pretty huge kicker outliers this season) QBs have been 10-30ish – TEs 0-15 and DST from minus pts to 20 or so. RB1 and WR1 are must more consistent at the 10-20 pt with similar but shorter scores for the other positions. That wee stats interlude tells us this – although he’s outranked, Jimmy has given himself the better chance in the positions with the most ‘swing’ so don’t count this team out just yet. Aaron Rogers looks to be the star yet again, but maybe this is the week that Doug Martin proves his £86 flex dollar value – he’s ranked as a pretty solid flex play this week and that could translate to a very reasonable 7-15 pts.

The 49ers Falcons game is where Richie has to make his points, that has to wait till after 9 on sunday though, but still he should know which way the wind is blowing before bed time. If Jones and the Falcons DST have more than 20 between them (apart from the 10 starting dst pts) by 10.30 Sunday night this looks to be going Richie’s way. On the other side its the Steelers Bengals Game, Tyler Eiffert is absolutely crucial to Jimmy’s chance at a third league title, and if AJ Green is fit, that’s a big bonus, but its a big if too. Jimmy will want a bit more from these 2, maybe 25 between them, to feel fairly secure going into the later games.

In the end though, I’m calling it for the 69ers, Richie may get a chance at that trophy after all.

Panthers at 187s

7-6 Pilton Panthers, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, face off against the 8-5 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 14 by a 16.80 point effort from LeSean McCoy.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 14 by a 15.40 point effort from Odell Beckham. In addition, Michael Crabtree was not injured before the start of his week 14 game, and contributed 2.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 15 due to an injured finger , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 4, Kelso 187’s defeated Pilton Panthers by 22.90 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

So, the Panthers lucked out facing a crash and burn Avengers team last week, but here they are and no one’s run to the playoffs has been a gift, so a justified semi final place for Rab. Kirk cousins has been solid, though his average has been boosted by a couple of monster weeks, and in reality most of the season has been 15-18 rather than his 19 pts a game average, however he has the good to justify his #3 rank this week facing a middle of the road pass Defense in Carolina. Pip rivers is worth a look though, he has the Raiders at home this week and they’ve let in almost the exact same pts to opposing QBs in 17.5 this season. Lesean Mcoy and Jordy Nelson have been pretty solid for Rab all season with just one serious blip for Nelson way back in week 7, anything less than 25 pts between the tow of them will leave the Panthers on a shoogly peg this week. Elsewhere in the lineup Tevin Coleman and Desean Jackson look to be getting starts and should keep the pts ticking over during the game. Mason crosby and the Chiefs ahve as good a chance as anyone to get some ‘bonus’ pts for the Panthers. Fle might end up being more of a tricky decision, jarvis Landry is ranked a little higher, but there is generally a higher floor for RBs in these lower ranks, so either Yeldon or Gillislee could be tempting for Rab.

187s, though putting up the numbers during the season, are  now seriously struggling for a bit of depth. Odell Beckham is of course the star, and Dak Prescott has been confounding his critics all year long (though he still ranks a lowly 15 in QBs). RB is the problem here, Bilal Powel and Ryan Matthews were nowhere near anyone’s top picks in the draft but that’s where we’ve ended up for the 187s. Sure on good days they are more than capable of getting those all important TDs, Powel was close to 30 last week after all, but the week beopfe that was .3, and there’s been plenty of other weeks less than 5 too. Matthews has been more consistent, b ut his average is skewed by a monster performance in week 10 and very little else. Euan could well be relying on the less glory laden positions to get through to the final – TE, Kicker and DST look to be ranked in his favour, in fact, though Kye Rudolph is only averaging just over 7 pts a game, he has one of the best floors of all TE’s, as they’ve been so inconsistent. Texans will likely get the start over the Giants at DST and the Jaguars have allowed nearly 10 pts a game to opposition DST, so there’s a good chance for points there.

Whilst no game stands out as being make or break for this matchup, the Carolina at Washington game has opposing interest for these two and also the Lions at Giants. with the Washinton game on Monday night it will surely be a late decision as to who reaches the final.

 

 

View from the pit 2016 – Wildcard week

So that’s it, another regular season over with and back to square one for 6 of us and counting, with a chance for glory for our other six challengers.

The Colts led the way in week 13, putting the Jets to the sword along with the hopes of at least a couple of teams in the EFFL.

Lets go with this from Norwegian super serious death folk ambient collective Wardruna – basically, it’s my lovely horse with some chanting in the background, but it suits the mood for at least six of us.

anyway, the two wildcard games:

69ers at Pirates

 

7-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers face off against the 7-6 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 13 by a 29.72 point effort from Andrew Luck. In addition, Julio Jones was not injured before the start of his week 13 game, and contributed 11.30 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 14 due to an injured toe , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 13 by a 23.84 point effort from Matthew Stafford, who beat the New Orleans Saints defense for 341 passing yards and 2 passing TDs in addition to 22 rushing yards.

In week 9, SanFran-Gordon 69ers defeated Tweedbank Pirates by 21.62 points, so coach Paul is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 5-0-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

69ers season has been very solid, in fact they’ve never dipped below 95 potential points, however lineup choice has not always been the strongest, and there’s been some weeks where Richie has left a load of points on the bench. andrew Luck seems back into winning ways with a pretty monster score last week and looks set to continue that trend for the playoff weeks. Julio Jones is a bit of a worry, with 3 game sthis season sitting around 2 points, but really he’s still a must start and a reasonable match up for week 14. Demarco Murray is surely fit and forget and has only one performance under 10 points all year. The rest of the lineup look good enough too, though there’s room for a new TE and DST in the lineup should Richie choose that route.

Looking at the scoring history for both teams here, what is clear is that Paul’s Pirates have had less consistency over the whole team, but they always had at least a couple of studs do enough to take the game, at least that’s true for the week Paul has won, there have been a worrying 4 weeks hovering around the 75 pt mark or less, and that simply isnt enough to take a semi spot in the EFFL. One of the studs that have boosted the average pts for the Pirates was certainly the vikings DST at the start of then season,  but they’ve failed to live up to that early promise in the latter part of the regular season. Matt stafford and TY Hilton look good enough this week, but elsewhere in the lineup there are some big question marks. TD dependency has been the problem for Paul in those off weeks, wiht just not enough guaranteed yards anywhere in the squad. Travis Kelce is a lone highlight in the rankings when comparing to 69ers, but TE consisitency has been non exisitent throughout then league so you simply canoot rely on that to take you through.

Its an uphill battle for Paul, but not outside the realms of possibility. The Pit thinks that this game is the niner’s to lose. The colts Texans game could decide the outcome of this matchup – as TY Hilton has a decent chance to hoover up any points advantage that Andrew Luck might get – if that doesn’t happen I’d suspect it’s a trip to Davy Jones’ Locker for the Pirates.

Avengers at Panthers

8-5 Kelsae Avengers, who hope to extend their 3 game winning streak, face off against the 7-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 13 by a 29.50 point effort from David Johnson.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 13 by a 19.10 point effort from LeSean McCoy.

In week 8, Kelsae Avengers defeated Pilton Panthers by 5.70 points, so coach Rab is looking for revenge this week. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Avengers are the team to beat this year, lets be clear, they would have won every other division but Uhura, have faced way more points against than Jimmy and still have a decent budget for waivers in the morning, Panthers will have to go some to get through here.

David Johnson is averaging 21 points a game, more than most teams QBs, and his wee ‘blips’ of closer to 10 points seem a long time ago now. What that means is that the pressure is really off when it comes to Stuart having to select an RB2, there’s no need for TDs and as long as they look likely to get 60- 80 yds the RB combined score should be well over the regulation 20. Mike Evans is also ranked #1 this week, ending up with the #1 RB and WR at the end of the season is no mean feat, whether its luck or judgement I’ll leave other readers to decide. But of course that’s not all, Jimmy graham is now #1 too – we’ve said it before a couple of times, but that was some draft pick – right under everyone elses sneering noses. Cam has gone off the boil a bit in the last couple of weeks, but he’s still good for a floor of around 16, which is nothing to sniff at.

McCoy is no slouch at R1 for the Panthers, and 15 pt average is not to be sniffed at, but that’s 5 behind Johnson. Kirk Cousins has been very up and down, and recovering the week 11 and 12 from may prove tricky against the Eagles away from home. Jordy ?MNelson and the chiefs DST have been quietly putting up the numbers all season and there’s no reason to think that they both are not capable of 10 pts plus this week. Elsewhere in the Panthers team Ebron, Coleman  and Jackson are capable of great things, but their consistency has been poor all season. gs only need to swing by maybe 15

This match up has Avengers written all over it on paper, but things only need to swing towards Rab by 15 pts or so to see this clash go the other way – meaning if Rab’s Panthers can generate an extra 2 TDs over predicted and Johnson is limited to just yards on the weekend, they could be through. This looks like being the bigger scoring wildcard game, and I can see 110 points not being enough for one of these teams, however the more likely outcome is Stuart’s Avengers by 15

View from the Pit 2016 week 13

Week 13 is here, and with it we’ll be saying goodbye to six teams till 2017, seems a long way away the now but it rolls around quick dont you think?

 

week 12 saw the Saints clock up some awesome numbers, though one Brandin cooks must be wondering what he did wrong to not be a part of the actions, anyway, here’s the meters with one of the most sampled songs ever.

 

Avengers at Jaguars

7-5 Kelsae Avengers face off against the 11-1 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.
Kelsae Avengers were led in week 12 by a 22.40 point effort from Mike Evans. In addition, David Johnson was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 22.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured finger , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 12 by a 23.12 point effort from Aaron Rodgers. In addition, Lamar Miller was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 6.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In week 3, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars defeated Kelsae Avengers by 37.88 points, so coach Stuart is looking for revenge this week. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelsae Avengers hold a 1-2-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Jimmy’s run finally came to an unceremonious end last week, with the Jags posting their lowest score of the year, and plenty of points on the bench. However, that’s just academic as they’ve been safely through for a while now.

Avengers have to win to be sure of a wildcard slot, and 8-5 would have been enough to take any of the other divisions, so Stuart will be raging if by shear fluke he doesn’t make it. But beating jimmy may be enough encouragement he needs for this week in any case. Jimmy Graham and David Johnson will surely get some points on the board with their #1 rankings for the week, neither has disappointed too often this season. Cam Newton is a bit lower down the pecking order this week, and there could be a waiver option there for coach Stuart if he’s prepared to take that risk. All in all this looks like a great lineup though, Stuart has maybe had a bit more luck than some with injuries, but the team has solidified and almost everyone in it is punching above their draft position.

Jimmy can rest easy if he likes, now that the chance for a perfect season is done. But unless he drops all of his players there is a formidable lineup somewhere here for sure. WR has taken a bit of a dent, but there’s still options and Moncreif Shepard and Boyd are surely guaranteed a TD between them – but who to leave out? RB is not a lot easier, but perhaps all of the 4 possibles will more than likely net a TD and/or 100 yards, so less of a problem for Jimmy in choosing. Eifert was left on the Bench ch last week but Zach Ertz didn’t really show that hes capable of putting a consistent score up,so expect the Bengal to be back in the squad.

This game likely doesn’t matter too much, but its still Stuart who wants the victory more, to ensure a better run at the payoffs, given the lineups,  i think that’s likely. There’s not really anyone else who cares too much about this result, it will affect someone somehow, but you’ll need to look at the other post for that one.

187s at 69ers

8-4 Kelso 187’s play the 6-6 SanFran-Gordon 69ers at Castle Greyskull.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 12 by a 21.70 point effort from Dak Prescott. In addition, Chris Ivory was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 11.50 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured hamstring , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 12 by a 21.50 point effort from Jordan Reed.

187s have clinched their spot and can maybe take it easy, but they have the chance to ruin Richie’s season and leave him waiting for next year. Its not over for Richie with a loss, but it will be a much more complicated route, reliant on several other games.

Euan’s 187s are riding high, but they only have the 6th best scoring this year and have never had the top in a week, there’s been a couple of blips on the scorecard too, so this is by no means plain sailing. Euan needs a DST too, there’s plenty on the wire, but choosing could be  a challenge. Melvin Gordon and Odell Beckham will surely get somewhere north of 30 between them, leaving the rest here to pick up perhaps 70 points between the7 of them. Dak Prescott is pretty much a shoe in for his share, but no one else has the same guarantee.

69ers are still struggling despite their top 3 score on the year. A big chunk of that average came in just week 4 though, only 4 of the other weeks have been over 100. Julio Jones  and Doug Baldwin are the big stars here, and have been outstanding most of the season. Demarco Murray and Terelle Prior on a bye in the last game is bad timing, but there’s no excuse for not making plans to cope with that. Carlos Hyde should put up better than average numbers but can Damian Williams or Robert Turbin come close to their regulation 10 points, not without a TD I’d suggest.

This game could be close, but I’m giving it to 187s given that they have the advantage at RB, and therefore likely to see consistent yards. It could easily go the other way if Richie’s WR end up chasing their games, a 50 yd TD for example could swing this tie Richie’s way.

Bohemians at Fire

6-6 Earlstonian Bohemians play the 4-8 Fife Fire at Balbirnie Stadium.
Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 12 by a 22.80 point effort from Michael Thomas,

Fife Fire were led in week 12 by a 33.50 point effort from Drew Brees.

Even the bot has very little to say about this game. Fire have just not got going in 2016, and have now lost any chance of a playoff spot, that could be good news for the Bohos though who need this win badly to have a chance.
Ally’s Boho’s are looking pretty comfortable, with their formidable RB team and Russell Wilson seemingly back on form there’s a good chance of a playoff spot. WR is less secure, Thomas, Watkins and Diggs are surely in the mix for a spot this week, and any one of them capable of the big plays given a chance. We could see yet more changes with a streamer for TE or DST, but Bennet and the Ravens should be more than capable of getting at least a few points on the board.

Fire have the dubious honour of having the lowest score 4 times this season – there’s not really any rhyme or reason to that, as the rankings suggest this team to be comfortably mid table, but for whatever reason they’ve just not fired on all cylinders. This week though, Drew Brees is ranked #1 and that can perhaps set the spark to see the Fire go out with a bang? unfortunately, so one else in the squad is ranked within the top 10 and that will mean short yardage with just the outside chance of TDs for the team. With no one there who’s averaging 15 or more, it really needs everyone to get lucky the same week to see a win. That could happen, and of course, there has been some bad luck for Shaun, so perhaps he’s due something this week?

The prediction is for a Boho win by some margin, but if Shaun uses some of his vast waiver fortune in the morning, no one can stop him picking up exactly who he wants, a TE and a new DST have to be high on that list for a start.

Fog at Panthers

6-6 Fog on the Tyne challenge the 6-6 Pilton Panthers at Pilton Park.
Fog on the Tyne were led in week 12 by a 19.70 point effort from Devonta Freeman. In addition, Rob Gronkowski was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 0.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured back , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 18.76 point effort from Derek Carr in week 13.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 12 by a 30.16 point effort from Kirk Cousins. In addition, Gary Barnidge was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 1.10 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Pilton Panthers.

Fog could go through even at the bottom of their division, but they really need this win to happen for them. the rankings suggest that they are marginally behind Panthers at most positions, but its not a chasm, and of course Panther need to pick up a TE from the wire – with a few folk looking that way too, that could be harder than it appears. Adrian Peterson is apparently close to return, but surely it will not be this week, meaning Freeman and Forte should get starts, there’s 150 yards and a TD between them with any justice, so that averages out at regulation 10 pts. Edelmann and Cole Beasley look not quite so safe, Beasley in particular has gone from the darling of the waiver wire to not a look in just over  a month, can he pick it up for Fog in this last regular season game?

Panthers are finishing well, and a win this weekend clinches a place without worrying about anyone else. Lesean Mccoy and Jordy Nelson should be the ones to get the bulk of the points this week, but any gaps in their perform ace will open a big hole for the Fog to come in. Cousins is on a roll, but that doesn’t mean he’s guaranteed a start over Pip Rivers, who faces a slightly easier matchup in week 13, a tough choice for Rab, there’s bound to be advice out there on the web, but in the end it will be the higher scoring game that is likely to give the higher scoring QB, and Rab has to hope he picks wisely. Picking up a TE could be problematic this week, as there are several people in the league in the same position, Rab has a budget, but it will be finding a player who can score big that is the problem.

This looks close. A big scoring game would be a fine end for both these seasons, but not satisfactory if you don’t make the playoffs, and I don’t think they both can.

Pirates at Earthquakes

6-6 Tweedbank Pirates play the 3-9 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.
Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 12 by a 17.46 point effort from Carson Wentz. In addition, T.Y. Hilton was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 5.40 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured back , which might severely limit his fantasy production.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 12 by a 33.14 point effort from Colin Kaepernick.

In week 3, Tweedbank Pirates defeated Earlston Earthquakes by 64.84 points, so coach Cozy is looking for revenge this week. In the 4-year history of this rivalry, Tweedbank Pirates hold a 3-4-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

Pirates can go through with a win here and with the Quakes out already that is possible. However Paul has to get past an angry Cozy to do that. The wind has gone from the Pirates sails somewhat over the last few weeks, sure there have been wins and a great score in week 11, but its been around 70 most of the last month or so. Todd Gurley is surely guaranteed an RB start but as for the other slot and a flex, there’s a load of slightly scrappy players to choose from. Its likely at least one of them will have a decent game, but predicting it could be tricky. Hilton Fitzgerald and perhaps Cobb are maybe more secure in their WR positions and Kelce has proved his worth as a TE receiver too.

It all came together for the quakes over the last two weeks, that’s a bit of a kick in the teeth when you are out so fair play for sticking with it. Cozy has the advantage this week for sure though, the Quakes can field higher ranked players at most positions except QB and TE, WR2 could be the only spot where Paul has a significant advantage. There’s not really any need for waivers, though both teams have inexplicably ended up with kickers ranked in the 20‘s, not that it matters too much for kickers, but there will be free for all waiver kickers that are available come 10:00 tomorrow. Mark Ingram, Amari copper and the Pats DST shout lead the scoring for Cozy, with Kaepernick putting in a decent week at QB too.

Paul might be pleading that this one doesn’t matter to Cozy, but if the last two weeks are anything to go by that will fall on deaf ears, and if he sets his prime lineup Cozy looks likely to burst Paul’s bubble.

Tigers at Pickaxe

4-8 Tranent Tigers, who hope to end their 4 game losing streak, play the 5-7 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.
Tranent Tigers were led in week 12 by a 27.10 point effort from Antonio Brown. Tranent Tigers can expect a 15.83 point effort from Tom Brady in week 13.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 12 by a 24.00 point effort from Ezekiel Elliott, who got by the Washington Redskins defense for 97 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs in addition to 23 receiving yards.

In week 3, Nitten Pickaxe defeated Tranent Tigers by 41.40 points, so coach Nicky is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Tranent Tigers hold a 2-3-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Last but not least Nicky’s Tigers take on Gav’s Pickaxe. The Tigers have lost their teeth a bit come the end of the season and its all over for them. Tom Brady and Antonio Brown have been the sole highlights in an otherwise lacking season, just two weeks over 100 and quite a few less than 75. If there are going to be points this week, they will surely come in the air from Brady, Brown, Demaryius Thomas and Vance Macdonald. Bibbs and Langford at RB are looking likely to be TD dependant for anything like a regulation 10 points, but of course stranger things have happened.

Gav’s season is reliant on this and the Panthers Game. That’s a decent shot at the division though, and as usual there’s a pretty good chance at 90-100 pts in the squad. Last weeks kicker and DST points were a massive bonus, and the lack of a single look form Brandin Cooks is a huge worry if he’s done something to upset Brees, but there doesn’t seem to be any explanation online as to what happened, with their monster score, it surely wasn’t just luck and coverage that saw him left out?  Zeke Elliot and Dez Brant on the other hand continue to score well. Bryant is missing the TDs but is putting up good yardage and seems to be getting a fair share of the looks from Dak Prescott. Ben Roethlisberger seems to be back in decent form, whilst alternative Matt Ryan is just passable, Big Ben likely to get the start for this final regular season week.

With that, we’ll be saying goodbye to 6 of these teams till next year, as we will only be focusing on the competitive games from now on.