View From the Pit 2016 week 10

Week 10 has arrived, and what a week.

What can you say, its just such as shock but at the same time so inevitable. How did we get here, how did some guy who’s just breezed though his entire career, ridden rough shod over everyone he deals with and been pretty much a tax exile go on to win? But enough about Jimmy, lets get to this weeks action.

Chargers and Falcons both got 43 points on the board but we’ve had the Falcons twice so lets go with this for the chargers:

time for this weeks match ups.

Panthers at Jaguars

4-5 Pilton Panthers face off against the 9-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars at Greendale Stadium.

Pilton Panthers were led in week 9 by a 18.70 point effort from Philip Rivers, Pilton Panthers can expect a 16.58 point effort from Philip Rivers in week 10.

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars were led in week 9 by a 26.18 point effort from Aaron Rodgers, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars can expect a 21.81 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 10.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 1-5-0 all-time series record against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars.

Rab is next to face the so far unstoppable Jags. He’s picked a really bad week to do it though as 4 of his players are on a bye week. Panthers are really struggling to get anything on the board at RB this week and really need to hope that Rivers can get it going on in the air and that his wideout pairing of Jordy nelson and Jarvis Landry get at least 3 Tds between them – if that doesn’t happen its surely curtains for Rab’s Panthers. Rivers has a decent chance against a sub perfect Dolphins D so there is a chance for a 25+ score there, but that is about it. The Chiefs DST have been a reasonable source of points too though – and seem more than capable of scoring some defensive Tds, Rab’s gonna need them.

Jimmy breezed through his big bye week and is getting close to being back to full strength. Aaron Rogers and AJ Green were good pickups at the appropriate point in the draft, and are proving their worth but Tyler Eifert could be a secret weapon here, coming off a bye week but before that a 100yd and a TD game, lots of stories reckon he’s back for good. Frank Gore is a loss at RB on his bye week for sure – but there should be more than enough points to make up for his place in the rest of the team.

This looks like just another walk in the park for Jimmy – but surely his luck has to run out sometime.

187s at Tigers

6-3 Kelso 187’s challenge the 4-5 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.

Kelso 187’s were led in week 9 by a 32.10 point effort from Melvin Gordon. Kelso 187’s can expect a 17.67 point effort from Dak Prescott in week 10.

Tranent Tigers were led in week 9 by a 22.54 point effort from Jameis Winston. Tranent Tigers can expect a 21.14 point effort from Tom Brady in week 10.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Kelso 187’s hold a 1-1-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

This matchup is all square after 2 years, and both teams could do with a win – Kelso could just about clinch the playoffs, or at least have set themselves up for a decent run at the divisional games. Tigers need a couple more wins to put themselves in pole for Shatner.

187s look solid this week ,Michael Crabtree on a bye but he’s been up and down like a yo yo anyway. The rest of the team are ranked about half in the top 10 and half in the 20’s, which is not too shabby. Perhaps a dilemma at flex – which could make all the difference of course. Personally I’d go with Chris Ivory over Tim Hightower, his numbers have not been stellar, but he’s been really hit by fumbles over the last 4 weeks which surely is more bad luck than a lack of skill. You’ve got to wonder if Euan knows something we don’t if he is sticking with the Giants D – there are better chances at points still on the wire

Tigers also have a decent lineup choice for week 10, no one on a bye so Tom Brady and Antonio Brown should lead out the Tigers to another 95 pts plus week. RB and TE are the shonkiest of the Tigers team, but even there there’s probably 250yds and a TD between them. Kapri Bibbs is the surprise package here, up off the waivers there’s lots of thought that he could be jumping up the depth chart in Denver, if that were to happen then it could be Grrrrreeeeaaaat for those Tigers.

All in all this looks fairly close, but the Tigers stats edge it. It could be a fascinating game with Devontae Booker on one side and Bibbs on the other – my bet is that the match up will be decided by no more than the difference in their scores – so whoever manages to convince Rick Dennison to give them more carries will decide the game. In fact the Denver at New Orleans game has nearly all the action worth anything in this match up – so expect both coaches to be glued to their seats Sunday form 6.

69ers at Bohemians

5-4 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 4-5 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.

SanFran-Gordon 69ers were led in week 9 by a 17.10 point effort from Julio Jones. In addition, DeMarco Murray was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 14.00points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured toe, which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 15.20 point effort from Carson Palmer in week 10.

Earlstonian Bohemians were led in week 9 by a 26.28 point effort from Russell Wilson. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 17.24 point effort from Russell Wilson in week 10,

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 2-1-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Its still hard to work out why the 69ers are just 5-4 – they have the second highest total score, and have faced the 4th lowest points against – so where does it go wrong in those off weeks? The problem is the boom or bust nature of the team, TD dependence across the board means that the week 4 huge total has skewed the stats somewhat. Still, every one of the team are ranked within the top 20 and over half in the top 10 – so there’s always a chance for another monster score. Luck and Vinatieri are on byes so it’s second string QB Carson Palmer that’s will get the start, he’ s had a few good weeks so far and has a decent match up against the 49ers in week 10. Julio Jones is still ranked highly at WR, and he needs Matt Ryan to continue his run of from as much as Pickaxe do.

Bohemians just haven’t really got started this year. This could have something to do with having 6 RBs who’ve played for the team with an average score of over 12 – but only 3 of them are still on the roster, perhaps Ally finally realising that he can only use 3 at a time. The scoring history page on MFL looks more like a game of battleships with all the wee x’s for players that have been moved on. Ally is likely to keep on streaming this week though and its worked well enough to keep him in with a good chance at the playoffs.

All in all, this is the best ranked match up across the whole league, with both teams likely to score over 100 one of them goes away disappointed, and the Pit prediction is for that to be Ally this week.

Avengers at Pickaxe

5-4 Kelsae Avengers play the 3-6 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.

Kelsae Avengers were led in week 9 by a 30.70 point effort from Latavius Murray. With Murray on bye in week 10, they’ll need to count on their second-string RB to carry the team this week. In addition, Jeremy Maclin was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 0.00points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured groin , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Kelsae Avengers can expect a 20.90 point effort from David Johnson in week 10.

Nitten Pickaxe were led in week 9 by a 28.76 point effort from Matt Ryan. In addition, Antone Smith was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed4.20 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 18.70 point effort from Matt Ryan in week 10.

Avengers could be the big loser in the league this year – with Jimmy sewing up his place in the playoffs Stuart and Stuart have to tough it out not just with each other but also with the other second place finishers across the league. Avengers have the 4th best score in the league, more than fog – but of course Fog have that all important divisional win over the mighty Avengers. Avengers Stu really has to make these last couple of games count. Latavius Murray is a bit of a loss this week, after last week’s 30 pt monster, but David Johnson is averaging nearly 20 pts a game, so there’s not too much to miss, the 3rd string RBs will only need to get 50yards or so if Johnson brings his A game. At WR its asimilar story, Mike Evans looks set to gain enough points so that the WR2 and Flex need only just about turn up.

Coach Gav is proper Ragin’. A top 3 scoreline, but facing the most points in the league by pretty much a whole games worth. Sitting at 3-6 is just not where this team should have been – there’s been some injuries, and its unlikely a Buccs RB will get anywhere near the Pickaxe roster next year, but even with those injuries, Pickaxe have been up to regulation points nearly every week. For 6 weeks now though they’ve face unstoppable luck for their opponents. That has to stop sometime but will it be in time to make the playoffs. Those 2 divisional victories in the early weeks will help – but Pickaxe have to get to 6-7 at the very least to stand a chance. Lucky talisman Zeke Elliot has been scoring well for the Cowboys, but how can you plan for him doing so well that he’s taken off in the 4th because they simply don’t need him any more!

Ah well, this game is the turning point for either of these teams, and really it surely has to be a week for the Pickaxe.

Fog at Earthquakes

5-4 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 1-8 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

Fog on the Tyne were led in week 9 by a 19.00 point effort from Jay Ajayi, w In addition, Matt Forte was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed15.70 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 17.24 point effort from Joe Flacco in week 10.

Earlston Earthquakes were led in week 9 by a 29.10 point effort from Mark Ingram. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 16.82 point effort from Jay Cutler in week 10.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Fog on the Tyne hold a 3-2-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

Fog are having a decent season, but still have a lot of work to do to qualify – almost certainly needing another 2 victories, 6-7 wont cut it in second place unless other games go their way. Derek Carr on a bye is a week having had a bit of a nightmare outing last week – not even making 10. Joe Flacco is the streamer of choice coming out for the Fog – Stuart has to hope he’s up to the challenge, he’s ranked 15th this week which is probably the best you can hope for a streamer with so many teams stashing 2 QBs. Jay Ajayi and Devonta Freeman are the best pair of RBs in the EFFL this week – neither is ranked super high – but both have a good chance at 15-20 pts, and surely they have a 10 pt floor barring injury. Gronk will bolster the scoring at TE for sure, its really only at WR that Stuart has any worries, but Edelman and Beasley both have 50 yards in them and perhaps at least 1 TD between them.

Quakes winning ways lasted just 1 whole week. Cozy has had no luck at all this season, and unfortunately that looks likely to continue for week 10 Sanders and Montgomery at WR are the only 2 lights in what appears to be a very dark tunnel for the Quakes. They are both ranked higher than any of Stuarts WR, but only just and even then – its more like 8 points each plus maybe a bonus TD. I’m being a little unfair – Jonathan Stewart and Mark Ingram would be snapped up by anyone should they fall on to the wire – they are just not quite as likely as Stuart’s pairing to get those all important TDs. Really though – there’s only a few yards in it, so if either team has a low TD week – it’s anyone’s game.

The stats say Fog for sure – but a win for Cozy would keep both Kirk and Uhura Interesting, so lets go with that.

Pirates at Fire

5-4 Tweedbank Pirates face off against the 3-6 Fife Fire at Balbirnie Stadium.

Tweedbank Pirates were led in week 9 by a 23.22 point effort from Colin Kaepernick. In addition, Todd Gurley was not injured before the start of his week 9 game, and contributed 7.40 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 10 due to an injured thigh , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 16.99 point effort from Andy Dalton in week 10.

Fife Fire were led in week 9 by a 24.72 point effort from Drew Brees. Fife Fire can expect a 17.91 point effort from Drew Brees in week 10.

Last but not least its the Pirates who are riding the crest of their wave at the top of Kirk division at Fire who are decidedly a damp squib at the bottom of TJ Hooker, and sitting on $92!

Pirates have had a couple of very bad weeks and though they are still in front in Kirk – they need this victory to see themselves through to the divisional weeks. Starting at the bottom, the Vikings are not ranked #1 dst for about the first time this year ,no need to panic though Paul as they are still 3rd and likely to keep most of their 10 starting points intact. Larry Fitzgerald is perhaps the best ranked of the outfield Pirates, but although they are not all top 10 – they have a real consistency across RB and WR – there’s no stand outs this week, but neither are there any real duds at least a couple of them should be getting a TD and we can imagine a good 60 yard average for RBs WRs TEs and Flex – so that’s a good 55 -60 points secured there. Andy Dalton looks set for a 18-22 pt game so Paul is looking at the best part of his regulation 95 pts without having to rely on too much luck at all.

Shaun’s Fire are really going to miss Theo Riddick and Marvin Jones this week, the 2 outfield players that have kept an average over 10 on the Fire Roster. Drew Brees should keep them in the game but elsewhere its reliant on DeAndre Hopkins and Doug Baldwin to get all of the receiving action in their games or this points tally is going nowhere fast. The whole outfield looks to be averaging more like 40 yds and less chance of TDs than the Pirates so Shaun’s Fire really needs a good bit of luck to win this week. Delanie Walker and Steve Smith are ranked just higher than their Pirates counterparts, and if either of them get a TD it will make the scoreline more flattering for Fire. Shaun’s one lifeline is that Pirates have been TD dependent.

The Pit is going with the stats though – and that’s Pirates all of the way.

And we are done for the week

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