View From The Pit 2016 – Week 3

Week 3 is here and as always that means there are some teams yet to make their mark. Don’t be too downhearted though boys, plenty of time left. There simply has to be at last a couple of teams on 0-2  at this stage, and a few of them have gone on to the playoffs if I remember.

Week 2’s standout NFL team were the Carolina Panthers with 46 whole points again. Of course we could have gone with one of the numerous songs called ‘Carolina’, a quick youtube scan finds that Shaggy’s version is not even the worst of those, but who can resist an excuse for Steel Panther’s  Death To All But Metal (NSFW)

The one thing you really cannot control is your opponent’s score and it seems to be that those teams that make the playoffs quite often have the lowest points against scores. We can see that Richie’s 69ers have suffered a bit with 224 pts against so far and sit at 0-2 whilst Gav’s Pickaxe have only faced 144 pts and are 2 to the good thanks to that.

There’s no teams guaranteed to go 3-0 or 0-3 this week, and more than one division will be hoping that things start to even out – any of the current divisional leaders going 3-0 would be a bit of a problem for the rest of their division – all 4 of those games are divisional.

We’ll start with the  teams who need to get moving

Jaguars at Avengers

2-0 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars challenge the 0-2 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.

The Rest of the league will be willing on a bit on vengeance in this game, can Stuart’s A team start to deliver?
Jaguars were led in week 2 by a 23.00 point effort from the Arizona Cardinals Defensive Team. Jaguars can expect a 20.15 point effort from DeAngelo Williams in week 3.

Avengers were led in week 2 by a 30.82 point effort from Cam Newton. In addition, Virgil Green was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 4.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured calf , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Avengers can expect a 22.36 point effort from Cam Newton in week 3.

Stuart is perhaps learning the heard way that a couple of studs don’t make a team, Cam Newton and David Johnson have both performed to their #1 billing or thereabouts, but its the rest of the team that has been lacking. Benching Stefon Diggs for week 2 is a memory best forgotten too, might have beens will not get you very far. Lineup choice is key for Stuart as he seems to have a lot of low floor high ceiling players, and their matchups will be key all season – this week the choice may be between TJ Yeldon and Matt Jones at RB2 for example – they are ranked #30 and #31 on Fantasypros, and I wouldn’t want to call it.

For Jimmy, the lineup choices must be fairly straightforward, whichever lucky few he’s decided to keep that week – the new waiver rules haven’t dampened the Jags desire for new blood at every opportunity. Jimmy has a distinct advantage at WR and  TE with a range of receivers that will inevitably leave a stud on the bench, but will it be the right one?

In any case, even though Cam has a tougher game this week and His RB selection could be a stab in the dark, its week 3 that the Avengers will get back on track with a win over the Jags.

 

Panthers at Bohemians

0-2 Pilton Panthers challenge the 1-1 Earlstonian Bohemians at Bohemian Park.
Panthers were led in week 2 by a 24.80 point effort from Philip Rivers. In addition,Thomas Rawls was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 0.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured leg , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Panthers can expect a 18.13 point effort from Philip Rivers in week 3

Bohemians were led in week 2 by a 18.30 point effort from LeGarrette Blount, In addition, Donte Moncrief was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 0.90 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured neck , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Bohemians can expect a 14.91 point effort from Russell Wilson in week 3.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 2-3-0 all-time series record against Earlstonian Bohemians.

Rab’s coaching decisions last week could have given Rab the win – nearly 25 pts were left on the bench, more than enough to overhaul the Tigers , who only had a couple of pts on the bench. This week looks to be some easier decisions, Rawls could be banged up again and Rab should be looking elsewhere for his starters. WR will stay similar to last week , though danny Amendola’s rogue good week could put a spanner in the works, maybe….

For Ally, the good news is that there is potential in the squad – but it has to be used, 40+ pts left on the bench last week is a sting. Fantasy isn’t everything though so lets hope things settle and allow the commish to spend a few hard earned minutes picking the team.

WR and DST are the problems for Ally, though there’s been talk of trades during the week, so WR may not be such a problem come sunday afternoon. If that changes, and Ally keeps the right RBs it’s his to lose, however as it stands today Rab has the better team for week 3 and the Pit goes with the Panthers

EarthQuakes at Pirates

0-2 Earlston Earthquakes play the 2-0 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.
Earthquakes were led in week 2 by a 18.60 point effort from Eric Decker. In addition, Adrian Peterson was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 2.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Earthquakes can expect a 17.95 point effort from Joe Flacco in week 3.

Pirates were led in week 2 by a 15.50 point effort from Matthew Stafford. In addition, Rashad Jennings was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 4.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured hand , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Pirates can expect a 17.30 point effort from Matthew Stafford in week 3.

In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Earlston Earthquakes hold a 4-2-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

Earthquakes had a bit of a disaster against Pickaxe last weekend, injuries to 2 starting RB’s could put a stop to the playoff run – literally before its even started. However, Cozy wisely invested in Jerrick McKinnon as backup for Adrian Peterson  and Mark Ingram is no slouch either. Eric Decker is coming off a hot week and may continue to be a very solid WR2 for the Quakes. The big decision for Cozy this week is whether to drop any injured studs in order to pick up a backup – there’s going to be some interest on the waiver wire this week , but both Peterson and  Stewart are only going to be out for a couple of weeks tops, so are they droppable?

Pirates were the beneficiaries in a close call battle with the Bohemians last week and will look to make the best of that divisional victory by sealing the first divisional round with a win here. Matt Stafford didn’t have his best week last weekend, but look to him to bounce back with a solid 20 pts against the packers, it won’t be a 30 pointer but should still see him as the backbone of this Pirates team. CJ Anderson and Todd Gurley look to have RB sewn up for Pirates, and why not, as they are both ranked top 10 this week. WR is maybe a little harder to pick – though there are certainly some big scores to be had between the 6 of them – which 3 you gonna pick?

There will be some forced changes for Cozy, but as things stand the Pit cannot go anywhere but overboard on the Pirates – a win for Paul.

69ers at 187’s

0-2 SanFran-Gordon 69ers play the 2-0 Kelso 187’s at Compton Palace.
69ers were led in week 2 by a 24.32 point effort from Carson Palmer.  In addition, Julio Jones was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 16.60points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured undisclosed , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  69ers can expect a 17.40 point effort from Carson Palmer in week 3.

187’s were led in week 2 by a 22.80 point effort from Kelvin Benjamin.  In addition, Ameer Abdullah was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 3.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured foot , which might severely limit his fantasy production. 187’s can expect a 19.28 point effort from Eli Manning in week 3,

Richie wasn’t quite up to the challenge of taking on the 2014 and 15 champ, and will regret leaving Corey coleman on the bench, as he’ll likely not get another shot at  a big game till Josh McCown is back. Christine Michaels may get another chance at flex this week, after seemingly becoming the best of a bad lot in Seattle, but he’s got some competition from Giovani Bernard, who had a big game too and may becoming the Bengals starter – I’m not sure I’d want the decision – of course you could always go for a high upshot Wide instead.

Eli Manning will probably get the nod over Dak Prescott this week for Euan, even if last weeks scores suggest otherwise. The Cowboys offence just isn’t settled enough and Manning’s relatively low score was simply because there were no TDs. Euan went big with a 10 buck purchase of Will Fuller off the wire during the week – that paid off as he got more than his regulation 10 without a TD. Both those are good omens for the rest of the year, if you can get by with a no TD QB and a 100 yd receiver at flex then you are well on your way to the playoffs I’d say.

All in all though, this week could be a high scoring battle – If the 187s can add some TDs to their already bug enough yards, then they could take the game, but the stats show it as a more likely win for Richie, and that’s the way we are going.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 1-3-0 all-time series record against Kelso 187’s.

Pickaxe at Tigers

2-0 Nitten Pickaxe play the 1-1 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.
Pickaxe were led in week 2 by a 19.76 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger, who got by the Cincinnati Bengals defense for 259 passing yards and 3 passing TDs in addition to 14 rushing yards. Pickaxe can expect a 22.75 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger in week 3.

Tigers were led in week 2 by a 22.00 point effort from the Denver Broncos Defensive Team.  Tigers can expect a 17.74 point effort from Jameis Winston in week 3.

Things are looking good for Pickaxe, but there’s some hidden issues. Coach Gav has ridden his luck a wee bit with the lowest points against score. 2 solid weeks of 96 pts with a few left on the bench is  ok, but a 120 pt monster week hasn’t looked likely yet. This week Big Ben has a tougher matchup against the Eagles, but hopefully it wont be raining, so he may get a bit more action going. Zeke Elliot has a bit of a case of the drops – but still 10 pts in the bad each week is nothing to sniff at, though his talk of breaking the rookie rushing record seems a long way away now. Devante Parker seems to be back in action for the Fins and that could make for interesting decisions come game time this week for Pickaxe.

Coach Nicky is still waiting for Tom Brady to serve out that suspension, Jameis Winston Aced it in week 1 but came thudding to a stop last week  – showing the quality needed to make a week in week out QB like Brady – the experience goes a long way. Jamaal Charles fitness could make or break this tie – if he’s in and fully fit it will make maybe 10 pts worth of difference to the final score, however if he’s not available its slim pickings for the Tigers, Chris Thompson perhaps being the punt as he’s a receiving back, giving more options for a breakout TD? No such issues at WR where it will be business as usual for Brown and Jeffrey, though Brown coming off his worst game since 2012.

All in all, this game will come down to fitness to play, a game time injury anywhere in either lineup will be crucial. Pickaxe have the edge with slightly less to worry about and the Pit goes with them this week.

In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Nitten Pickaxe hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

 

 

 

Fire at Fog

1-1 Fife Fire challenge the 1-1 Fog on the Tyne at New St James Park.

In the only all square battle of the week one of these teams will be able to cement their pace as on pace for the playoffs, they are both 1-1 in their respective divisions, so wont be topping the division come tuesday morning, nevertheless another crucial game.
Fire were led in week 2 by a 17.30 point effort from DeAndre Hopkins. In addition, Doug Baldwin was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 2.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 3 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Fire can expect a 20.78 point effort from Drew Brees in week 3.

Fog  were led in week 2 by a 28.90 point effort from Matt Forte. In addition, Danny Woodhead was not injured before the start of his week 2 game, and contributed 3.10 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Fog can expect a 17.57 point effort from Derek Carr in week 3.

Picking 2 top 5 QBs might seem like a good idea at the time, but will inevitably leave you with a dilemma who to pick come game time, so far Shaun has picked his 50 50 bets wrong twice, who knows who he’ll go for this week – perhaps a trade for one of these guys in on the cards? In any case, even points on the bench are points your opponenets cant score, so its a pretty poor excuse for a problem. Shaun went WR heavy and that shows here, expect 30 points between Deandre Hopkins and Willie Snead at least.

Stuart has the best of it at RB though – Matt Forte and Devonta Freeman could match those WR scores from Fire.

Where does that leave the match up then? it comes down to whether Shaun’s second tier RBs or Stuarts second tier WRs will do the job. Stuart may want to take a gamble on Gronk being fit, which would leave him a player to drop for the waivers tomorrow – but most of the big names on the waivers are RBs anyway, where he is still strong.

It will come down to a couple of big plays, a couple of 30 yarders or a TD from the secondary players would nail this one. The pit thinks that is a bit more likely from Stuarts WR team, so we are going with the Fog for this one.

 

 

 

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