View From the Pit 2015 – week 13

This is it then, the final games of the regular season – I kind of thought that the playoff spots would be booked by now, but it seems there are still plety of teams in the hunt. Rab can sit back and relax as the rest of us slug it out, even for the second seeded place and a week off, then again who wants a week off?

 

thanks to Ally’s useful playoff ready reckoner we have a good rundown of what needs to happen for each team to get a spot. In fact only Pirates are eliminated, though Tigers have just a 1% chance of a wildcared spot – in each case I’ve summarised this in the brackets after each match up team – percentage chance of a division spot /percentage chance of a wildcard spot. Of course these percentages are just based on 50-50 games, not on league average scores or anything like that.

 

Lets get going with the last of the complete 6 rundowns, I’m knackered after 13 weeks of writing – it will only be the teams in contention from here on in

We’ll get going with the only 50 50 game for a guaranteed playoff spot – Uhura will go to the wire, and both these teams have fate in their own hands

Fog (50/33) at Avengers (50/21)

7-5 Fog on the Tyne face off against the 7-5 Kelsae Avengers at Samuel Sawyer Memorial Park.
Fog  were led in week 12 by a 25.10 point effort from Brandon Marshall. Fog on the Tyne can expect a 15.52 point effort from Tyrod Taylor in week 13,

Avengers were led in week 12 by a 27.30 point effort from Calvin Johnson. B Kelsae Avengers can expect a 17.40 point effort from Alex Smith in week 13,

In week 2, Fog on the Tyne defeated Kelsae Avengers by 20.14 points, so coach Stuart is looking for revenge this week.

Talk about timing, Avenger’s monster score last week puts them in serious contention for a divisional win despite the lowest pts for total. Fog sit a bit more mid table in the points for league, and look to use that to their advantage in this match up. Those monster scores just cannot be predicted, and of course though its satisfying to get 130 plus, when you win by 50 points you maybe wish some of those TDs could have happened in weeks when your matches were closer. Anyway – none of those stats will matter come Sunday in the Stuarts Showdown, Uhura division is ripe for the taking by either of these teams. Eddie Lacy and Megatron  are in action for the Avengers on Thursday. Johnson has been quiet most of the season with the odd spike, however last week was a monster game for him and QB Matt Stafford, and the Lions will be looking to get a bit back on track – their season isn’t over yet, but would take a massive knock with a defeat this week. The best hope for Avengers Stuart is that Green Bay take the lead and force the Lions to play throw to catch up, that gives both his Thursday players the best chances to go big. Of course, Fog Stuart will be wanting the opposite, but his team is more than capable of takingthings into their own hands and not relying on a low scoring opponent. LeSean McCoy and Matt Forte will surely get 2 TDs between them? Fogs wideout team dont look too shabby this week either. The massive bulk of Fogs total comes before 9 on Sunday night – with only Amari Cooper and the Washington DST to come after, the early players could be enough, but Avengers look to score nearly half their points in the Sunday later games, so there may well be no sleeps for this pair till beyond midnight at the earliest. As for the prediction, the Pit is going with the season long record and giving this one to the Fog.

 

 

Next up is a game that both must win to guarnatee a place, but 69ers rely on other results

69ers (12/-3?) at Earthquakes (75/18)

5-7 SanFran-Gordon 69ers face off against the 7-5 Earlston Earthquakes at The Cauldie.

69ers were led in week 12 by a 18.10 point effort from A.J. GreenRob Gronkowski was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 14.80 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured knee , which might severely limit his fantasy production. SanFran-Gordon 69ers can expect a 20.98 point effort from Aaron Rodgers in week 13.

Earthquakes were led in week 12 by a 17.44 point effort from Carson Palmer. Earlston Earthquakes can expect a 16.63 point effort from Carson Palmer in week 13.

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2015. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, SanFran-Gordon 69ers hold a 0-2-0 all-time series record against Earlston Earthquakes.

Quakes are just about there, with a 3/4 chance of winning the division plus a decent chance of a playoff berth if not – however 69ers must win their division if they are to have any chance. Aaron Rogers will likely get things started for Richie on Thursday night and from last weeks action he looks like an unstoppable trooper, battling his way through miserable weather and pain to a reasonable 14 pts. This week should be easier assuming he’s not taken too big a hit with that elbow to the face. Along with Rogers the wideouts look to do the business for the 69ers all 3 will have their points well on the board by bedtime. The wheels finally came off the Earthquake bus last week, with a well timed (from everyone else’s point of view) defeat by the Bohos. Cozy will look to get back into winning ways and he has the better eanked players across the rest of the board – RB, TE DST and K. Its just TE Reed who waits till Monday night – Cozy may already have won by then, and will surely want that as no one wants to rely on a TE to win even if you only need a couple.

This could be close, but Richie would have to be pretty lucky, with the better rankings at the less unpredictable psitions, I’m giving Cozy the win, and Kirk Division.

 

Jaguars (0/36) at Pickaxe (0/83)

6-6 Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars play the 7-5 Nitten Pickaxe at New Victoria Park.
Jaguars were led in week 12 by a 13.90 point effort from Brian HoyerJeremy Hill was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 10.00 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured ankle , which might severely limit his fantasy production.  Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars can expect a 19.29 point effort from Tom Brady in week 13,

Pickaxe were led in week 12 by a 34.78 point effort from Matthew StaffordJimmy Graham was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 7.50 points, but he’s now on the injured reserve, which will prevent him from contributing at all this week. Nitten Pickaxe can expect a 17.59 point effort from Matthew Stafford in week 13,

This is the first game between these two franchises in 2015. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars hold a 2-2-0 all-time series record against Nitten Pickaxe.

Neither team can win their divisions, the rest of the league may be happy that our two former champions are not leading the pack – but either one of these coaches could still keep the trophy away from the Borders for a 3rd year. This game looks pretty even, Jimmy has the advantage at WR and QB, but Gav leads in RBs there’s really nothing to choose between the kickers and DST. thursday night see’s last weeks star QB Matt Stafford in action. Stafford looked like a great choice last week witha  good 30 pts on thanksgiving, but Gav could have had another half point from  Russel Wilson, who had his best game of the season, that could give pickaxe a dilemma, but at this stage it’s looking like Stafford for the early start. Jimmy waits till Sunday for his Jaguars to time their pounce, and all the action should be before midnight. Jimmy will need some TDs from his Wideout triumvirate if he’s to have any chance here – or one of them to have a monster game. That’s reasonable odds.The problem for Gav here could be TE, jimmy Graham suffered a possible career ending injury last week and although there are certainly TE’s available who will score 12 points, predicting who that will be is a little more difficult.

This one should be close, but it wont be, one of these teams will get those all important TDs, the other will just come up short – who will it be?

This week the Pit is going with the Pickaxe to see off the last ditch pounce from last years champions and take the first wildcard spot.

 

 

187s (37/0) at Fire (0/50)

5-7 Kelso 187’s play the 5-7 Fife Fire at Balbirnie Stadium.

187’s were led in week 12 by a 14.84 point effort from Eli Manning.  Kelso 187’s can expect a 16.38 point effort from Eli Manning in week 13.

Fire were led in week 12 by a 21.50 point effort from T.Y. HiltonAndre Ellington was not injured before the start of his week 12 game, and contributed 4.60 points, but he’s listed as questionable in week 13 due to an injured toe , which might severely limit his fantasy production. Fife Fire can expect a 23.24 point effort from Cam Newton in week 13.

In week 1, Fife Fire defeated Kelso 187’s by 0.88 points, so coach Euan is looking for revenge this week. Its the Tj Hooker hometown hoedown part 2. Week one looked to be going all Euan’s way but Shaun pipped him by the tinyest margin. At that stage we thought that Leveon Bell would define the Fire season, and in a way he has, by being absent for most of it! Caoch Shaun is on a 5 game losing streak and must be desperate for a win, and beating the 187s would eb doubly sweet. Euan himself must also be wondering where it all went so wrong, as the 187s have struggled along this season too. Cam Newton is number 1 ranked QB this week for fire though and though he’ll have to wait for Sunday 9.30 to see it, that should eb some solid numbers for the Fire, Euan has to wait even longer for their WR star Antonio Brown who is also ranked #1 this week – though in the much more unsteady WR position. Elsewhere across the match ups theres little to choose between the brothers, Darren McFadden perhaps giving 187s a wee bit more power play opportunities to seal the deal. Again, a TD here or there could seal it, and yardage might be similar. Newton running in TDs instead of passing them and staying interception free as he has done foir 2 weeks would be enough for Fire, but the Pit is going to go with the averages and call this one for the 187s.

 

Bohemians (25/14) at Pirates (0/0)

6-6 Earlstonian Bohemians face off against the 3-9 Tweedbank Pirates at Gun Knowe Stadium.
Bohemians were led in week 12 by a 20.20 point effort from Odell Beckham. Earlstonian Bohemians can expect a 18.67 point effort from Spencer Ware in week 13.

Pirates were led in week 12 by a 22.46 point effort from Blake Bortles. Tweedbank Pirates can expect a 18.05 point effort from DeAngelo Williams in week 13

In week 2, Tweedbank Pirates defeated Earlstonian Bohemians by 28.26 points, so coach Ally is looking for revenge this week. In the 3-year history of this rivalry, Earlstonian Bohemians hold a 3-4-0 all-time series record against Tweedbank Pirates.

Its an open goal for coach Ally, as Pauls Pirates have no chance to qualify – however,maybe they want to salvage a bit of pride, so this is by no means over. In fact, Ally has his work cut out here, Pirates have the lead in the rankings in a load of positions, this game could come down to a player on neither team, if Charcandrick West can play then Ally’s Spencer Ware may lose a shed load of points, if he’s out though that will be a huge boho bonus. Odell Beckham and Martavis Brynat will be carrying a big burden to get Ally through, no matter which RBs can go, but they seem to be up to that challenge

 

DeAngelo Williams is surely the Pirate captain, but so far this season a lot of pirates have been one eyed, one legged and into a bit too much grog perhaps. Its too late for Paul’s playoff hopes, but for the sake of the rest of the divisions, he needs to be the last man on the burning deck and steer this Pirate Galleon safely into harbour. Avast! former cabin boy David Johnson gets promoted to first mate as he steps into some RB1 shoes for the first time this season, could he do the job that West and Rawls have done elsewhere in the fleet? We’ll find out soon enough with both teasm in action on Thursday night. The pit prediction is for the Pirates to be battered and bruised but to go out with a big bang and sink the Bohos

Panthers (100) at Tigers (0/1)

9-3 Pilton Panthers face off against the 5-7 Tranent Tigers at Polson Park.
Panthers were led in week 12 by a 22.04 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger. Pilton Panthers can expect a 19.86 point effort from Ben Roethlisberger in week 13,

Tigers were led in week 12 by a 30.70 point effort fromAdrian Peterson.  Tranent Tigers can expect a 14.63 point effort from Adrian Peterson in week 13.

In week 3, Pilton Panthers defeated Tranent Tigers by 20.52 points. In the 2-year history of this rivalry, Pilton Panthers hold a 3-0-0 all-time series record against Tranent Tigers.

 

Rab’s Panthers are through, whilst Nicky’s Tigers have looked a pretty sorry state all season long, Adrian Peterson and Julio Jones have just not been enough to keep the Tigers ticking over. Panthers may have their feet off the gas, but will that mean that Nicky can salvage a bit of prise and finally get a win back on Rab after 2 years? the Packers DST will get the Panthers going, they are not predicted great things this week, but a good 10 pts would set the tone for Rab. Sunday early games are where this match up is decided, with the bulk of both teams points coming there. Jonathan Stewart and Doug Martin have the chance to put this game to bed before midnight for Rab, and if either of them gets a 2 td game it could be goodnight Vienna for the Tigers. TE’s could decide this game though – the rankings and predictions say very little about the reality here -either one of these getting a TD could swing it again. there’s possibliities all over tha park, but in the end, if it came down to pure yardage, the Panthers have enough of an advantage to make those Tigers cower. The Pit has to go with the numbers, its a win and an end to a great season for the Panthers.

That is your lot for the regular season. and will be the last preview for 6 of you, so for you guys, see you next year. For the big boys we’ll try to go a bit more in depth for the playoff games.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s