EFFL playoff odds- Week12

64 possible result permutations were calculated.
The possibility of tie-games is NOT considered in the calculations.

NOTE: There were ‘weak division/no winner’ scenarios that may have impacted wildcard calculations.

6 is the minimum number of wins needed for any chance at a Wildcard spot.
Playoff Computer predicts that 7 wins are most realistically necessary for a Wildcard spot.

Earlstonian Bohemians (6-6-0)…. Fate uncertain. Division odds: 25%. Wildcard odds: 14%.
Kelsae Avengers (7-5-0)…. Fate uncertain. Division odds: 50%. Wildcard odds: 21%.
Kelso 187’s (5-7-0)…. ELIMINATED from wildcard race but still in division race. Division odds: 37%.
Tranent Tigers (5-7-0)…. ELIMINATED from division race but still in wildcard race. Wildcard odds: 1%.
Tweedbank Pirates(3-9-0)…. ELIMINATED from playoff contention.
Pilton Panthers (9-3-0)…. CLINCHED a DIVISION spot!
Earlston Earthquakes (7-5-0)…. Fate uncertain. Division odds: 75%. Wildcard odds: 18%.
Nitten Pickaxe (7-5-0)…. ELIMINATED from division race but still in wildcard race. Wildcard odds: 83%.
Fife Fire (5-7-0)….. ELIMINATED from wildcard race but still in division race. Division odds: 50%.
SanFran-Gordon 69ers (5-7-0)…. Fate uncertain. Division odds: 12%. Wildcard odds: -3%.
Fog on the Tyne(7-5-0)…. Fate uncertain. Division odds: 50%. Wildcard odds: 33%.
Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars (6-6-0)…. ELIMINATED from division race but still in wildcard race. Wildcard odds: 36%.

Upcoming round’s DIVISION paths-to-clinch (if any)…

Earlstonian Bohemians CLINCH a Division spot IF:
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Earlstonian Bohemians BEAT Tweedbank Pirates

Kelsae Avengers CLINCH a Division spot IF:
Kelsae Avengers BEAT Fog on the Tyne

Kelso 187’s CLINCH a Division spot IF:
Earlston Earthquakes BEAT SanFran-Gordon 69ers -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire

Earlston Earthquakes CLINCH a Division spot IF:
Earlston Earthquakes BEAT SanFran-Gordon 69ers; OR
Tweedbank PiratesBEAT Earlstonian Bohemians

Fife Fire CLINCH a Division spot IF:
Fife Fire BEAT Kelso 187’s

Fog on the Tyne CLINCH a Division spot IF:
Fog on the Tyne BEAT Kelsae Avengers

Upcoming round’s PLAYOFF paths-to-clinch (if any)…

Earlstonian Bohemians CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Earlstonian BEAT Tweedbank Pirates

Kelsae Avengers CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
Kelsae Avengers BEAT Fog on the Tyne; OR
Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Nitten Pickaxe BEAT Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Nitten Pickaxe BEAT Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire

Kelso 187’s CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
Earlston Earthquakes BEAT SanFran-Gordon 69ers -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire

Earlston Earthquakes CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
Earlston Earthquakes BEAT SanFran-Gordon 69ers; OR
Tweedbank BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians; OR
Nitten Pickaxe BEAT Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire; OR
Nitten Pickaxe BEAT Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars -AND- Fog on the Tyne BEAT Kelsae Avengers; OR
Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire -AND- Fog on the Tyne BEAT Kelsae Avengers

Nitten Pickaxe CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
Nitten Pickaxe BEAT Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars; OR
Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Fog on the Tyne BEAT Kelsae Avengers; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire -AND- Fog on the BEAT Kelsae Avengers

Fife Fire CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
Fife Fire BEAT Kelso 187’s

Fog on the Tyne CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
Fog on the Tyne BEAT Kelsae Avengers; OR
Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Nitten Pickaxe BEAT Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Nitten Pickaxe BEAT Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire

Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars CLINCH a Playoff spot IF:
Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars BEAT Nitten Pickaxe -AND- Fog on the Tyne BEAT Kelsae Avengers; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Tweedbank Pirates BEAT Earlstonian Bohemians -AND- Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars BEAT Nitten Pickaxe -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire; OR
SanFran-Gordon 69ers BEAT Earlston Earthquakes -AND- Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars BEAT Nitten Pickaxe -AND- Kelso 187’s BEAT Fife Fire -AND- Fog on the Tyne BEAT Kelsae Avengers

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