View from the Pit – week 15 – Semi finals

So we are down to the Fantastic 4 – just 2 games left to show who’s going to be Mr Fantastic and who’s going to be Invisible Girl (hey sorry Susan, I know you had an upgrade but that’s not the comic I remember)

four

First Up its a Kirk double header for Ally’s Bohemians vs Paul’s Flush. Boho’s have taken both of the previous 2 match ups this season comfortably with Paul having pretty duff weeks both times. Andrew Luck and Rob Gronkowski show no signs of letting up in their top QB and TE respectively so lets assume Ally has 35 -40 pts in the bag their. On the other side they are no slouches, and shoe in for pick up of the year Justin Forsett is facing the Jags who’ve given up the 6th most points to RBs this year. Although the match up looks daunting Paul really only needs just above average games from his RBs and WRs, Either that or just one of them to have a monster, all 4 of them look more likely  than the Boho set. Paul could have a secret 15 points with the Cardinals at the Rams, its not a definite by any means, but St Louis have given the 3rd most points to defence, Its telling that the Rams changed QBs through the season and both of them have given away a few interceptions. For Ally, if its business as usual for Luck, the Gronk and maybe just 4 of the rest, or any one of his seven also rans has a standout game, that should see him through to the final. Thursday night sees just the Cardinals defence in action, this divisional game could seal the deal for the Cardinals, so expect them to be in it to win it and pumped right up. On Sunday there are only a couple of plus minus games, mostly the teams avoid each other completely. Flush’s Forsett and Bohos Ravens defense are together of course, but there’s no reason their scores need be tied, I guess if the Ravens are in front they might run down the clock, giving Forsett more action and a few grinding yards in the 4th? The real killer could be the Dolphins Pats game; the Pats nearly have the AFC East sewn up, but the Dolphins have an outside chance at a wildcard. So, a must win game for the dolphins could mean that Ally’s Lamar Miller gets a few more chances, maybe even short 4th down plays. Alternatively, if the Dolphins go all out and screw it up, Tom Brady could be on the field for a long time, giving Paul the chance for more points, that makes this the 6.00 game to watch. Later on, ally has a lot more to watch in his three players, but still its Paul’s kicker that they’ll both be watching. Kickers have had a real tendancy to screw with the results, and the Broncos Chargers game is nearly a divisional decider, so expect a few more Pat’s and possibly some long FG attempts. That’s perhaps a little unfair, as Bohos have players that must do well ,but there’s a reason; its the Boho’s game to lose – the Pit prediction is a win for the Bohemians, Paul really needs to have everything go right to get his seat at the top table.

In the other Semi Gav’s Pickaxe line up against Jimmy’s Jerman Jaguars. Just 3 weeks ago the Jaguars crushed the Pickaxe by nearly 50 points, can this semi be a repeat of that horror story? Looking from the top – QBs are almost exactly matched, the predictions swing between the 2 of them, In fact between them the 2 teams have the #9,10,11 and 12 QBs (according to Fantasy pros anyway) that leaves both coaches with lineup headaches, fortunately none of the 4 are playing each other, though maybe that would make the choice easier? both teams have till 9 on Sunday to decide though, so expect a few changes in the coming days, there really is no obvious choice for either team, no one is through to playoffs yet and no one is definitely out. Further down the squad, Jimmy has a big advantage at RB, the heart of his top scoring team this season, but the triple threat Running team doesn’t always fire, and Gav needs to hope that at least one of them has a poor game. Lynch looks the most likely to fall this week (though not that likely!) with his back injury and playing the so far robust against the run 49ers defence. Pickaxe absolutely need their 2 early drafted WRs to fire together, something that hasn’t happened so far this season. Pickaxe might benefit from Cam Newton’s crash this week (get well soon Cam, Pickaxe star from 2013) as it puts Kelvin Benjamin at a bit of a disadvantage for Jimmy. Thats’ not to say he can’t pick up points from Veteran Derek Anderson, who is no stranger to the NFL big game. At TE Coach Gav looks to have the upper hand with either of his picks, but yet again last week he chose the wrong one, Given Jimmy’s scoring potential he just has to get it right this time. So how will it unfold? Thursday night sees the Rams DST take on the Cardinals at home. The Cardinals are division leaders but the Rams are listed as the #1 dst, this is where i’m lost; they’ve actually let in the most points in the division, so Gav is banking that the Cardinals keep it on the ground and grind out a massive victory. Gav has a lot to see in both the Colts Texans and Bengals Browns Games early Sunday, whilst Jimmy has the choice of three, if he decides not to Gamble on Benjamin, he could have wideouts on both sides of the Washington vs Giants game if Desean Jackson is fit, most likely he’ll go for something else though and give coach Gave even more reasons to hope for a massive Bengals victory. Later on there’s a few games to choose, Gav probably watching Stafford in the Lions Vikings clash whilst Jimmy perhaps checks in on Lynch in the Seahawks 49ers clash. Its over by Monday morning though, and both teams have a chance, the odds say Jags, but for some reason the Pit predictor pendulum swings towards Pickaxe!

The real important thing though – who is who in the Fantastic 4?

fourfantastic

Well Mr Fantastic has to be Paul, his flexible Flush have got him to the semis, despite coming last in the toughest division

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Human Torch is Jimmy, whose Jags have been on fire all year

The Thing is Gav and his Pickaxe, he’s made it this far on brute force and ignorance, but it could be ‘clobbering time’ again

four thing

Which leaves Ally and the Bohos as Invisible girl, certainly they’ve had the forcefields up to have the lowest points scored against them this season.

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In the other 2 games the Pit goes for Fog over the panthers and Touchdown over 69ers

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